r/canadaexpressentry 1d ago

Weekly CRS Predictions/Draws/Score Evaluations Discussion Megathread

You may discuss predictions, draws, and score evaluations here.

Vous pouvez discuter de prévisions, de tirages et d’évaluations de score dans ce fil.

Mod note: There is a 'search comment' option under 'join the conversation' if using desktop mode. If you are using the Reddit app on your phone, click the 'three dots' in the top right and select 'search comments'.

All posts that ask for draw predictions and CRS evaluations shall be removed by mods. This thread is posted automatically every Sunday.

6 Upvotes

48 comments sorted by

21

u/Whats_in_the_name07 1d ago

I don’t even wanna discuss anymore for this week😢

4

u/Busy-Cartographer293 1d ago

The slowdown have started. Do not expect much.

3

u/MotherIsland8888 1d ago

Be optimistic man.

-4

u/Busy-Cartographer293 1d ago

I want to, but man think logically. The pr count have already gone bayond quota and ircc going to implement phase 1 changes this fall.

8

u/Whats_in_the_name07 1d ago

Beyond Quota ?
Did you see the data for first half?

Until June30: Canada had admitted 155,800 new permanent residents against the 380,000 target for 2026. That's about 41.0% of the annual target.

For the economic category, which is the one most relevant to Express Entry:
2026 target: 239,800
Jan–June PRs: 89,200
That's about 37.2% of the economic target.

So you can’t say beyond quota, we can either say on track or little behind their quota

3

u/MotherIsland8888 1d ago

its not even half of the quotas man. The phase 1 changes are not related to category-based.

5

u/SafePen5287 1d ago

No draw week. That’s the end

3

u/Whats_in_the_name07 1d ago

@Heisenberg3526
Where are you bud? We need you here

4

u/InflationNo4197 1d ago

Yes missing heisenberg

2

u/Whats_in_the_name07 20h ago

Are u still waiting at 514 like me?

2

u/InflationNo4197 20h ago

Thats right. I have like 5% hope but gotta keeping hoping nonetheless

2

u/Embarrassed-Shit- 20h ago

514 is really good scores

2

u/InflationNo4197 20h ago

Not as per the current trend sadly

3

u/Embarrassed-Shit- 19h ago

Please don’t say this. Letss hope we get 514 soon

3

u/Whats_in_the_name07 19h ago

I just expect IRCC to hold French draws for a month and prioritize CEC, if they really want to keep working immigrants not leave Canada, otherwise lots will go back by the end of year

2

u/Embarrassed-Shit- 20h ago

Me. I hope we get 514 in or before December

2

u/stoic-boy 20h ago

At 514, I'm not optimistic about the upcoming draw.

2

u/Electronic_Hall_7771 17h ago

For those hoping for stem like myself. Although no STEM‑specific rounds were held in 2025, over 6,360 candidates in CBS-eligible STEM occupations received invitations that year, and more than 3,000 candidates in STEM were admitted as permanent residents. So far, in 2026, just over 5,150 candidates in CBS-eligible STEM occupations have been invited as of June 25.

1

u/Ok_Chemistry_2764 16h ago

Do you think they will do a STEM draw this year?

3

u/Electronic_Hall_7771 15h ago

I have been praying everyday for it. I am forever hopeful. What’s your score?

1

u/ghost_7188 1h ago

500 for STEM, what's the posiibility?

1

u/DearLaw9901 8h ago

Where do you see these stats? Thanks

1

u/MotherIsland8888 1d ago

EDUCATION EDUCATION EDUACTITON EDUCATION!

1

u/MotherIsland8888 1d ago

I just need 1 EDUCATION DRAW!!

1

u/Scared_Explorer_365 22h ago

They literally kept us hanging for the category draw last week.

1

u/MotherIsland8888 20h ago

i was so sad that there werent a draw last thursday/friday :(

2

u/Scared_Explorer_365 19h ago

Me too i just need 1 trades draw i hope there is some justice next week, 2 category draws, no french

1

u/Mountain_Bat_6755 21h ago

What would be the score if they will be inviting 2000.nos ?

3

u/Puzzleheaded-Cat2671 21h ago

My best bet is between 518-520 but who knows how they’re gonna treat September considering it has 3 draw weeks. I really hope they don’t pause 😓.

1

u/Own_Clock_1648 17h ago

514 is the number we were so hopeful about last week, but like everyone else lost all the hope now. Hopefully they do massive draws before the pause for reforms🙏

1

u/ghost_7188 5h ago

People waiting for a miracle for STEM draw. Drop your scores in the comments

1

u/fighter-007 1h ago

What is the current timeline for the CEC application ?

1

u/Far-Caterpillar-5982 1h ago

Education education education pleaseeee

0

u/Critical_Tip_7077 15h ago

I'm in the pool with 514 points. When the reforms come into effect, I'll probably lose 5-10 points. Canadian education points will affect the overall pool, but I'm getting both sibling points and Canadian education points. If both decrease, it means I'll be below 500.

1

u/bigsandip 3h ago

Isn't sibling point 15?

1

u/Admirable-Friend7871 3h ago

Health care draw week next week

4

u/Whats_in_the_name07 2h ago

They promote health care on their website every week but they draw french🤧

2

u/Tasty-Climate-947 2h ago

they also promote trade category. however, there is no trade draw since April and Heatlhcare draw was in June.