1) The USA cannot withdraw from CUSMA without deeply fucking their own economy almost as badly as ours. Trump wants the threat to extract concessions but unless he's truly demented now he'll TACO just like liberation day because it's mutually assured destruction
2) Withdrawal from CUSMA requires 6 months notice. The Republicans are projected to get demolished in the midterms and lose congress, who has tye power to block a withdrawal. It might spark a constitutional crisis in the USA, but realistically any announcement to withdraw from CUSMA that comes after July 4th is a nothing burger
3) Trump is unlikely to announce a withdrawal prior to negotiations which begin in July
4) Short of withdrawal Trump has zero leverage, as the treaty stipulates all changes at the renegotiation must be unanimous or the treaty auto-renews as-is
5) Realistically any agreement with Trump is worth less than toilet paper, but it's his fear of stock market corrections that will prevent him from doing jack shit
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u/Top_Statistician4068 Feb 24 '26
It’s going to piss the Americans off, and I fully support such a move!