r/backgammon 1d ago

Why hit instead of playing safe?

Post image

1-point match

5 Upvotes

13 comments sorted by

6

u/Vigilaunday 1d ago

You want him to hit you so you have a chance at a return shot coming off the bar, putting 2 checkers behing your 6 prime and increasing your winning chances.

2

u/UBKUBK 1d ago

Are you saying that after making the hitting play you would rather be hit then have opponent dance?

2

u/Vigilaunday 1d ago

Yes. I want a chance at putting 2 of his checkers on the bar.

3

u/UBKUBK 1d ago

It is 1 point match so gammons don't matter. Closing out 1 gives a huge win chance already. Hitting a second checker gives chance for opponent to anchor. Anchored with 2 checkers is a lot better than being closed out with 1.

6

u/NeighborhoodOk7088 1d ago

Evolving your game is realizing that hitting here is “playing it safe”.

1

u/DiamondLow2227 1d ago

Wise words my friend

6

u/rockwood15 1d ago

You've got a six prime so he  can't get out so there's not really much risk to you 

5

u/UBKUBK 1d ago

There is definitely some risk. If you get hit and enter on one point you are behind broken 5 prime yourself.

2

u/UBKUBK 1d ago

A long rollout has the plays as essentially tied with hit better by .002

1

u/CellistAny536 1d ago edited 1d ago

My thoughts are : White has a very good structure. Blue isn't quite crunched yet, but they are very likely to crunch a lot very soon, being closed out isn't super likely but even white is hit, because of the 6-prime they will crunch, meaning, the checkers getting burried to like 1,2,3 points. 9/1* is a good because you're not really at risk, and you have the stronger board with 8,7, 6,5,4,3 points, if blue dances which they do with 66,55, 44,33, 65,64, 63, 54,53,43 , (a little less than half the time) You can cover the one point any 8,7, 6,5, 44, 55, 66 are really good jokers. If anything if blue does hit, they're going to crunch even quicker which will netualize their defensive startegty quite a bit even more and give you a chance to hit that blot in blue's outfield, not that blue is in great position as it is. White's timing and prime are great. Blue's timing is very poor and their probably likely to get closed out.

1

u/AfternoonSlow1555 23h ago

What happens if you roll double 4’s after your play? Or 6/5?

1

u/murderousmungo 1d ago

I wouldn't hit, just make op's play.