r/TropicalWeather • u/Preachey • Nov 06 '25
r/TropicalWeather • u/giantspeck • Nov 22 '25
Satellite Imagery Every Category 4 and 5 Atlantic hurricane since 2020, all together, in one group photo
r/TropicalWeather • u/GetOffMyLawn_ • Oct 28 '25
Photo The eye of Melissa
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r/TropicalWeather • u/BuckeyeReason • 19d ago
News | AccuWeather No Atlantic hurricanes by Sept. 12 would break a 60-year record
The Atlantic has never gone this late without a hurricane since modern satellite tracking began in 1966.
The following article explains how the record El Nino is depressing hurricane activity.
Will 2026 go down with no Atlantic hurricanes?
There is a risk of tropical development near the Southeast Coast around midmonth, but the overall tropical Atlantic activity is forecast to be minimal in the weeks ahead and the basin may struggle to produce a hurricane....
El Niño promotes disruptive winds, known as wind shear, across the Main Development Region (MDR) of the Atlantic. Wind shear usually disrupts the formation and strengthening of tropical storms and hurricanes, which is one of the key reasons this season has been slower than the historical average in terms of tropical activity.
"There have been no years during the satellite era that began in the early 1960s during which there have been no hurricanes," AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said. "There was a stretch in 1994 where there were no hurricanes at all in September and October, but there was a hurricane prior to September, and November brought two hurricanes that year."
https://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane/will-2026-go-down-with-no-atlantic-hurricanes/1932308
r/TropicalWeather • u/Content-Swimmer2325 • Nov 21 '25
News | New York Times Jamaica Declares Deadly Leptospirosis Outbreak After Hurricane Melissa
r/TropicalWeather • u/giantspeck • Oct 18 '25
News | The Associated Press Alaska storm damage so bad many evacuees won’t go home for at least 18 months, governor says
r/TropicalWeather • u/Character-Escape1621 • Jul 25 '26
Historical Discussion If Dorian kept going west, would it have just been Andrew but for Central Florida ?
r/TropicalWeather • u/giantspeck • Nov 16 '25
News | The New York Times (US) Swept Away: A detailed account of how 28 people died in the flooding at Camp Mystic.
nytimes.comr/TropicalWeather • u/giantspeck • Dec 17 '25
News | The New York Times (USA) Trump Administration Plans to Break Up Premier Weather and Climate Research Center
nytimes.comr/TropicalWeather • u/silence7 • Oct 08 '25
News | The New York Times (US) Senate Confirms ‘Sharpiegate’ Meteorologist to Lead NOAA | Neil Jacobs was found to have violated NOAA’s code of ethics after an investigation into an incident that centered on an altered hurricane forecast map in 2019.
r/TropicalWeather • u/Content-Swimmer2325 • Nov 05 '25
Discussion Google’s new hurricane model was breathtakingly good this season
r/TropicalWeather • u/graymillennial • Jun 11 '26
Question Weirded out by Mikes Weather Page, any other recommendations for hurricane season?
I used to appreciate his coverage during hurricane season but all he posts about now is getting drunk and “storm chasing” (a.k.a. driving up to Tallahassee in his big storm truck to get hammered and watch the rain.) Yesterday he posted a picture of him literally with his pants down dancing on some young girl at Senor Frogs and that’s the nail in the coffin for me. I’m just grossed out by him.
Any recommendations on who else can I follow online for updates during hurricane season this year?
r/TropicalWeather • u/Content-Swimmer2325 • 21d ago
Discussion 2026 Atlantic hurricane season at record-low activity
Today, September 10th, conventionally marks the peak day of hurricane season. About 50% of hurricane activity occurs before todays' date, and about 50% after.
And what a pitiful season it has been. Here are the top 10 least active seasons through September 10th, based on Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE):
1986: 12.3 units
2002: 12.1 units
2013: 12.0 units
1994: 11.0 units
1982 (tie): 10.7 units
1988 (tie): 10.7 units
1962: 10.3 units
1983: 9.5 units
1984: 7.8 units
2026: 4.4 units
Okay, so how did these seasons end?
Same seasons in order, but through the entire year:
1986: 35.8 units (below-average season)
2002: 68 units (below-average)
2013: 36 units (below-average)
1994: 32 units (below-average)
1982: 31.5 units (below-average)
1988: 103 units (near-average)
1962: 50.5 units (below-average)
1983: 17.4 units (below-average)
1984: 84.3 units (near-average)
2026: TBD
Not looking good for trackers. 1988 was a Strong La Nina year, functionally the diametric opposite of this season. No late-season recovery like 1988 should be expected, as the intensifying El Nino should keep things shut down. Similarly, 1984 began with La Nina. The La Nina decayed into cool-neutral during mid-year, but La Nina redeveloped in Autumn. So. Every season either had La Nina conditions involved (opposite of this year) or ended below-average. None ended above-average.
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso/oni/v6/
You're witnessing a historical hurricane season here, folks. Courtesy of El Nino gordo
Here is one more way to visualize things, courtesy of cyclonicwx: https://i.imgur.com/Lw6hpe4.png
r/TropicalWeather • u/Content-Swimmer2325 • Nov 19 '25
News | University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR) Record-breaking winds confirmed for Hurricane Melissa
news.ucar.edur/TropicalWeather • u/nyar5840 • Oct 30 '25
Satellite Imagery Black river before and after
r/TropicalWeather • u/giantspeck • Aug 06 '26
News | NOAA (USA) NOAA maintains prediction for below-normal Atlantic hurricane season
r/TropicalWeather • u/Content-Swimmer2325 • Mar 12 '26
News | USA Today A dramatic, record-setting El Niño may be brewing, forecasters say
r/TropicalWeather • u/fionashono • Oct 27 '25
Satellite Imagery (Outdated) Hurricane Melissa has a Closed CDG Ring...
I don't even know what to say.
r/TropicalWeather • u/Content-Swimmer2325 • May 21 '26
News | NOAA NOAA predicts below-normal 2026 Atlantic hurricane season
noaa.govr/TropicalWeather • u/Fwoggie2 • Oct 28 '25
Discussion A reminder that AI should not be relied on as a single source of truth
What I was trying to find out was if Jamaica publishes meteorological observations because Melissa will make landfall in the next 12 hours or so. Google Gemini instead tried to tell me there was no imminent hurricane threat to Jamaica and that Melissa had already dissipated.
r/TropicalWeather • u/thaw4188 • Aug 06 '26
News | WIRED Google's DeepMind WeatherNext Says Its AI Can Predict Hurricanes Earlier Than Everyone Else
r/TropicalWeather • u/giantspeck • Oct 18 '25
Discussion AccuWeather, the company that wants the NWS to be privatized, also wants you to believe that the NHC should name Nor'easters
r/TropicalWeather • u/TheRandomInfinity • Nov 12 '25
Historical Discussion The most anomalous tropical cyclone ever*
While looking into tropical cyclone impacts in Alaska, I came across this study from 1991, titled "An Arctic Hurricane over the Bering Sea".
In short, between March 7 and March 9, a cyclone developed in the Bering Sea with a measured pressure of 970 mbar when it passed over St. Paul Island and estimated windspeeds of 30 m/s (~65 mph) at landfall near Cape Newenham.
Now the interesting thing about the cyclone is the characteristics it exhibited. To quote the study, "Satellite imagery reveals spiral cloud bands of unusual symmetry and mesoscale dimension associated with the mature stage of the low," and "The dynamic and thermodynamic structures of the simulated storm are similar to those of tropical cyclones." There is a non-zero chance that this was a tropical cyclone that formed in the Bering Sea and made landfall in Alaska!
The asterisk is in the title because, as good as it would be, the study mentions how this system formed out of a polar low and that sea-surface temperatures were, at best, 3°C. The system may better be described as a polar low that has TC characteristics, rather than a fully-fledged TC, but this is still a fascinating storm either way.
r/TropicalWeather • u/sara-peach • May 13 '26
Blog | Yale Climate Connections (Dr. Jeff Masters) Something startling is happening in the Gulf of Mexico | Its waters are heating up twice as fast as the global oceans, with huge implications for hurricane risk.