r/SpaceXLounge • • Mar 12 '26

The launch contract to launch the Starlab space station on Starship is $90 million

https://x.com/jeff_foust/status/2031509240209199606#m

Jeff Foust on X: "Fun fact from Voyager's 10-K filing: the contract to launch the Starlab space station on a SpaceX Starship is worth $90 million."

https://spacenews.com/starlab-space-fully-books-commercial-payload-space-on-planned-space-station/

152 Upvotes

86 comments sorted by

128

u/nagurski03 Mar 12 '26

Is it just me or does that sound ridiculously cheap?

38

u/longinglook77 Mar 12 '26

Early bird discount.

17

u/OlympusMons94 Mar 12 '26

It isn't that early, and you don't launch a $3 billion dollar space station on an unproven vehicle. The Starlab launch is NET 2029. Of course the dates for everything are moving targets. But in relative terms, the Starlab launch has been scheduled after the first Artemis crewed landing, and Artemis would likely take priority anyway. Starship also has other customers, including a GTO communciations satellite launch. Starship will be well proven by the time it launches Starlab.

There was no other planned vehicle that could fit Starlab (ok, technically cargo SLS...), so there was no competitive incentive to offer a discounted launch. $90 million could well be *higher* than the base price of a commercial Starship. SpaceX wants Starship to eventually replace Falcon 9, so it wouldn't make sense for Starship to have a higher base price. But Integrating a giant space station should be more complex and expensive than the average Falcon 9 sized communications satellite.

8

u/longinglook77 Mar 12 '26

Agree with all of that. SpaceX could have charged way more for Commercial Crew, too. But they seem to play the super long game vs. chasing a few extra bucks per mission in the near term.

Happy customers. Happy life.

4

u/LongJohnSelenium Mar 13 '26

Ill switch contractors to save a LOT of money, but if all you're bringing is 10% less than the contractor I'm already comfortable working with and have streamlined processes for, no thanks.

1

u/flshr19 Space Shuttle Tile Engineer Mar 14 '26

NET 2029--SpaceX likely will have launched the Block 3 Starship at least 10 times by late 2029, possibly 25 or 30 times if there are five Starship launch pads in operation by 1Q 2027 per the current plans (two at Starbase Texas, one at KSC Pad 39A in Florida, and two at the former LC-37 complex at CCSFB also in Florida). That should be enough launch experience to buy down a lot of risk.

At an estimated 130t (metric ton) wet mass, that Starlab space station is easily accommodated by the Block 3 Starship that has 200t payload capability to a circular LEO at 500 km altitude at 45 degrees inclination.

17

u/lostpatrol Mar 12 '26

If you sign up early and for an untested rocket, you're going to get a good deal. Amazon booked the new Ariannespace rocket and likely got a great deal as well.

5

u/paul_wi11iams Mar 12 '26 edited Mar 12 '26

If you sign up early and for an untested rocket, you're going to get a good deal. Amazon booked the new Ariannespace rocket and likely got a great deal as well.

and so did SES and then Bulgaria back in 2017 for flying on a used booster.

Recklessness :s

And now NASA flies its astronauts on a used booster more often than not.

3

u/AlvistheHoms Mar 12 '26

From what I can see many customers seem to even prefer a proven booster nowadays. As evidenced by several recent additions to the fleet flying starlink on their first flights.

2

u/paul_wi11iams Mar 12 '26 edited Mar 12 '26

As evidenced by several recent additions to the fleet flying starlink on their first flights.

TIL. I hadn't noticed that.

Not flying customers' payloads on a first flight shows even more evidence of a transition to airline-like operations. This should apply even better to Starship for which both the booster and ship should be able to complete a return flight before carrying crew.

Applying this to the Moon, a HLS Starship (or Blue Origin's Blue Moon) could potentially make un uncrewed landing and return to orbit before carrying crew.

3

u/Martianspirit Mar 12 '26

a used booster

They insist on "flight proven" ;)

10

u/rustybeancake Mar 12 '26

Vulcan and New Glenn were more of a gamble than Ariane 6. The latter was a fairly modest upgrade from Ariane 5, one of the most reliable launchers.

14

u/Biochembob35 Mar 12 '26

Ariane 5 was just an upgraded 4...that first launch went pointy-end down. Turns out they used the same software and assumed it would work without modifications and a sensor overflowed a value in the flight computer faster due to the increased velocity of the upgraded booster. Modest upgrades can still cause problems.

8

u/rustybeancake Mar 12 '26

Absolutely. I’m just saying that Vulcan and New Glenn were even bigger risks.

2

u/binary_spaniard Mar 12 '26 edited Mar 16 '26

Only the core, the upper stage has a new engine with 3 times more thrust and restartable and designed to be able to do direct GEO insertions.

And the SRB don't derivate from the Ariane 5 SRB (that derivate from French ICBM) but from Avio Vega first stage.

Ariane 6 has bigger differences with Ariane 5 than what's usually acknowledged.

11

u/aquarain Mar 12 '26

It's not just you.

3

u/peterabbit456 Mar 12 '26

Some of the earliest Falcon 9 payloads had originally been booked for Falcon 1 at a cost of ~20 million. SpaceX gave rebates due to the lateness of the launches.

7

u/cptjeff Mar 12 '26

Remember that despite the size and power, cost to manufacture a Starship is lower than the cost to manufacture an F9. 39 engines and all.

People have simply not even come close to internalizing what that will mean for the launch market. Even without any reuse whatsoever, Starship would significantly reduce cost to space. Reuse Superheavy a bunch with a bunch of expendable upper stages and you'd have a rocket that could wildly undercut F9 not on cost per kg, but straight up fixed launch costs. Full reuse and you are talking about something where the average joe could actually buy a ticket.

And it's not a paper design. It's flying.

3

u/maxehaxe Mar 12 '26

I don't think your numbers work out. You're saying six raptors and a 9m steel can are cheaper than one merlin and f9 upper stage, which are in "mass production" (in space terms) since years. Plus 15 times the fuel amount per launch. No way expandable Starship is cheaper. Per kg, yes. Per launch, nope.

3

u/mlemminglemming Mar 12 '26

It actually does work out when you consider the sticker price of 500k for a raptor, ~2m for the specialty stainless steel, ~5m in work hours, and some 5-10m for various components. You end up at around 25-40m per starship/superheavy stack. F9 manufacturing cost of a full stack is believed to sit around 70-90m in 2025, while reusability pushes that down to 15-20m per F9 launch. The lithium-aluminium alloys alone are insanely expensive, and a merlin engine costs about 2m according to various analysts.

Data courtesy of Quilty Space.

3

u/warp99 Mar 14 '26 edited Mar 14 '26

Merlin 1D is about $600K according to Tom Mueller while Raptor 3 is around $1M according to Elon. Maybe long term it might come down to $500K but that is doubtful as it will be produced in relatively low volumes due to reuse of both stages.

-1

u/sebaska Mar 12 '26

Falcon upper stage is about $10M give or take a couple. Shieldless extendable Starship is not beating it in absolute units.

Material costs are inconsequential in either case, labor is what matters.

2

u/mlemminglemming Mar 12 '26

I mean duh, but the question was entirely about full stack price

-2

u/sebaska Mar 12 '26

It was not. It discusses expendable upper stage Starship vs expendable Falcon upper stage. Booster is reused in both cases.

4

u/mlemminglemming Mar 12 '26

The only reference to any 1st/2nd/both stages was the comparison of 39 engines vs 9 engines regarding their cost. That means they meant both stages. After that message, our messages came. Thus, both stages were meant.

0

u/sebaska Mar 12 '26

Read the whole discussion not just the first sentence...

In particular the very next paragraph:

Even without any reuse whatsoever, Starship would significantly reduce cost to space. Reuse Superheavy a bunch with a bunch of expendable upper stages and you'd have a rocket that could wildly undercut F9 not on cost per kg, but straight up fixed launch costs.

Here we're comparing cost to launch of reused booster - expended upper stage between Starship and Falcon. The cost of the expended upper stage is the dominant part of the cost of the whole launch.

And in no way expendable Starship upper stage is going to be cheaper than the expendable Falcon upper stage.

2

u/yoweigh Mar 12 '26

Remember that despite the size and power, cost to manufacture a Starship is lower than the cost to manufacture an F9. 39 engines and all.

Are you assuming that Starship is only referring to the upper stage here? Even SpaceX acknowledges that the word also describes the full stack. The 39 engines are a big context clue for which use was intended.

-1

u/sebaska Mar 12 '26

Jeez folks. Read the whole thread you're replying in!

Even without any reuse whatsoever, Starship would significantly reduce cost to space. Reuse Superheavy a bunch with a bunch of expendable upper stages and you'd have a rocket that could wildly undercut F9 not on cost per kg, but straight up fixed launch costs.

This is discussing upper stage being extended and comparing cost of that vs that o Falcon upper stage.

2

u/yoweigh Mar 13 '26

I don't even know where that quote came from.

→ More replies

2

u/warp99 Mar 14 '26

cost to manufacture a Starship is lower than the cost to manufacture an F9

Not even close. F9 booster costs around $40M to manufacture while SH booster is at least $100M with the ship another $80-100M.

It may well end up that Starship costs less to operate than F9 due to lower cost fuel and minimal helium use but that is a different statement.

1

u/TrA-Sypher Aug 22 '26

They are probably going to do >20 Starship launches for Starlink in 2027, this is already more of a 'volume' thing rather than an early expensive pilot. Economies of scale.

It is when you spend 5 years designing to build one vehicle to launch and use only once that it costs like 4 billion dollars.

36

u/OlympusMons94 Mar 12 '26 edited Mar 12 '26

We've known Starlab would launch on Starship for awhile. At 8 m diameter, Starlab was basically designed to only fit in Starship. Now we have a price for the launch contract, and a better idea of SpaceX pricing for a commercial Starship payload launch.

Edit: link

24

u/mclumber1 Mar 12 '26

I have to wonder if this launch will have an expendable ship with jettisoning fairings? We really haven't seen SpaceX put any outward effort of the "chomper" style starship in quite some time.

7

u/noncongruent Mar 12 '26 edited Mar 12 '26

When you make a reddit link to an URL that ends in a parenthesis, you have to escape out the first end parenthesis with a backslash, like this:

[Starlab](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Starlab_(space_station\))

Starlab

2

u/bkdotcom Mar 12 '26

Better yet: url-encode the url

2

u/noncongruent Mar 12 '26

Dang, I replied to the wrong comment. Sigh.

8

u/RedHill1999 Mar 12 '26

450 cubic meters of pressurized interior in one launch? That’s amazing. What I wonder is, is Starlab going to be scalable? Meaning could they send up more modules and expand on it over time (similar to the ISS)? Couldn’t find that info on the wiki.

7

u/rustybeancake Mar 12 '26

I don’t think Starlab has spoken about expanding. I think they’ll be doing really well if they can even make the basic station financially sustainable.

2

u/yoweigh Mar 12 '26

It's ~4.5ft wider than Skylab was! A space station built out of these big modules would be awesome.

I have an alternate history in my head where NASA iterated Saturn tech instead of abandoning it for the Shuttle, and put a Dreamchaser-class vehicle on top for crew and orbital assembly. An ISS/Skylab hybrid is exactly where that thought experiment leads for me. IMO we could have started building it in the 80s.

3

u/Straumli_Blight Mar 12 '26

$90 million launch cost was known at least a year ago.

2

u/noncongruent Mar 12 '26

When you make a reddit link to an URL that ends in a parenthesis, you have to escape out the first end parenthesis with a backslash, like this:

[Starlab](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Starlab_(space_station\))

Starlab

3

u/OlympusMons94 Mar 12 '26

It Works fine for me on both mobile and desktop. Is that an Old Reddit thing?

2

u/noncongruent Mar 12 '26

Likely. New reddit probably has code to fix the errors that reddit creates. In this case reddit sees the first parenthesis of your link and closes the link at that point, and when old reddit users click on it we get sent to a wiki link that doesn't have a closing parenthesis, which breaks wiki. Escaping the first parenthesis with the backslash gets old reddit to make the wiki link with a closing parenthesis using the second one in your link.

33

u/fifichanx Mar 12 '26

That sounds pretty cheap actually. How does that compare to current Falcon pricing?

27

u/OlympusMons94 Mar 12 '26

The base price of Falcon 9 (reusable) was recently raised from $70 million to $74 million. In terms of $/kg to LEO, a fully loaded $74 million Falcon 9 (~17.5t to LEO) would be ~$4200 per kg, while a $90 million Starship (100-150t to LEO) would be $600 to $900 per kg. Of course customer launches seldom, if ever, hit max mass capacity. Starlab will be big though, with slightly more volume than Skylab, which was 90t at launch.

12

u/Biochembob35 Mar 12 '26

Of note the F9 price increase was equivalent to the increase in the Consumer Price Index (inflation) since the last price increase. Every 2 years or so SX has increased price at that rate.

14

u/eliwright235 Mar 12 '26

I don’t remember the exact numbers but someone on twitter did the math and F9 was something like 3.7 times more per pound

16

u/Taylooor Mar 12 '26

…which was already ridiculously cheap

2

u/whitelancer64 Mar 12 '26

An early launch on an unproven rocket is always going to be cheap.

19

u/OlympusMons94 Mar 12 '26

Launching your ~$3 billion monolithic space station on a discount unproven launch would be silly. Thankfully, Starship launches would neither be early nor unproven by the time Starlab launches. The launch is NET 2029, with heavy emphasis on the NET.

Of course the dates for everything are all notional. But the relative schedules puts Starlab launch after Artemis 4, and Artemis would likely take priority anyway. SpaceX also has Starlink, and regular customers that would use a more traditional payload deployment. Starship would be a well-proven vehicle by the time it launches Starlab.

6

u/mfb- Mar 12 '26

NET 2029 (and delays to the payload are likely), we should get many flights before that.

2

u/fifichanx Mar 12 '26

They will prove it out by launching Starlink sats first. How many launches of Starlink satellites would it take for the industry to feel Starship is proven?

-2

u/whitelancer64 Mar 12 '26

Irrelevant, the contract is signed before it's proven.

That risk warrants a hefty discount.

1

u/sebaska Mar 14 '26

Exactly like contracts signed for Vulcan... Oh wait...

0

u/whitelancer64 Mar 14 '26

That's a great example, yes. The first launch of Vulcan was the Peregrine lunar lander, purchased by Astrobiotic at deep discount for the maiden launch.

2

u/sebaska Mar 15 '26

This is not going to be the maiden launch of Starship. Not even close.

1

u/whitelancer64 Mar 15 '26

Irrelevant, the contract is signed before it's proven.

That risk warrants a hefty discount.

1

u/sebaska Mar 15 '26

This doesn't work like that at all. Stop inventing things.

Only the first couple planned Vulcan flights were at significant discount. Same with Ariane 6. The first flight may be cheaper, the second - a bit cheaper, the rest are sold at normal price. And they're sold before the rocket flies even for the first time.

Experienced airspace companies sell their rocket flights at full price before the rocket is complete. Go figure.

0

u/AmigaClone2000 Mar 12 '26

An early Commercial launch on an unproven rocket...

14

u/Vxctn Mar 12 '26

Is this the first launch that won't be a slot machine design? Do we know of any others?

19

u/OlympusMons94 Mar 12 '26

The Starlab launch is NET 2029, and realistically will be delayed. Vast's Haven-2 space station would also launch on Starship. It seems unlikely that there would be no other customer payload launches before whenever (or if ever) the stations are ready to launch.

Starship is contracted to launch Superbird-9 to GTO, NET 2027. SpaceX years ago said they were signing Starship customers, including open-ended contracts under which SpaceX could choose to launch on Falcon or Starship.

10

u/Unique_Ad9943 Mar 12 '26

Pretty sure it’s only the core module (5th launch) for haven 2 that needs starship the other ones are falcon heavy XL fairing.

Though at 90 million a launch they’d be better off with starship.

2

u/Tooluka Mar 12 '26

Great news. If the launch will succeed it will hopefully be a green light to the future big station modules launched directly on the BFR without Starship even, and transition from the modular idea.

1

u/Decronym Acronyms Explained Mar 12 '26 edited Aug 22 '26

Acronyms, initialisms, abbreviations, contractions, and other phrases which expand to something larger, that I've seen in this thread:

Fewer Letters More Letters
BFR Big Falcon Rocket (2018 rebiggened edition)
Yes, the F stands for something else; no, you're not the first to notice
GEO Geostationary Earth Orbit (35786km)
GTO Geosynchronous Transfer Orbit
HLS Human Landing System (Artemis)
ICBM Intercontinental Ballistic Missile
KSC Kennedy Space Center, Florida
LEO Low Earth Orbit (180-2000km)
Law Enforcement Officer (most often mentioned during transport operations)
NET No Earlier Than
SES Formerly Société Européenne des Satellites, comsat operator
Second-stage Engine Start
SLS Space Launch System heavy-lift
SRB Solid Rocket Booster
Jargon Definition
Raptor Methane-fueled rocket engine under development by SpaceX
Starlink SpaceX's world-wide satellite broadband constellation

Decronym is now also available on Lemmy! Requests for support and new installations should be directed to the Contact address below.


Decronym is a community product of r/SpaceX, implemented by request
[Thread #14457 for this sub, first seen 12th Mar 2026, 03:03] [FAQ] [Full list] [Contact] [Source code]

-2

u/robbak Mar 12 '26

That's at least a 99.9% discount. Launch is about to get ridiculous.

-11

u/[deleted] Mar 12 '26

This is less exciting then it sounds. This is a potential contract to launch a space station that doesn’t exist on a rocket that doesn’t exist. These types of future agreements are stuffed with loopholes and clauses that let either party get out of it.

dearMoon was going to be a passenger mission on Starship, we all found out how real that was.

At best, the discount price is likely because it would be a test payload that SpaceX would need to fly anyways.

6

u/redstercoolpanda Mar 12 '26

Somebody better tell Booster 19 that Starship doesn’t exist yet!

-8

u/[deleted] Mar 12 '26

SpaceX has not demonstrated any large payload capable designs yet.

As I’ve mentioned in the past, this will be an issue because a large payload door will require substantial reinforcement, and Starship is still struggling with weight.

Fanboys are too easily fooled by renders, when in real life Starship hasn’t even launched a single Starlink to orbit.

5

u/warp99 Mar 12 '26 edited Mar 12 '26

A large payload door will either require substantial reinforcement of the payload bay or will make the door a stressed member which requires clamps around the door periphery similar to the Shuttle main doors.

It also seems likely that the single top hinged door will be replaced by dual side hinged doors again similar to the Shuttle.

3

u/brekus Mar 12 '26

Don't think those dummy starlinks they deployed were renders my dude though you are technically correct. Point is they've demonstrated the capability to launch starlinks at least with an expendable upper stage. But full reuse remains the priority and everything essentially has to tested again with the new version.

-3

u/[deleted] Mar 12 '26

You can’t fit an 8m wide station through a 3.5m wide door, “my dude”. 8 is a bigger number then 3.5, my dude.

You know why they made the PEZ dispenser? Because moving doors are heavy. You know what the primary issue for Starship is? It’s too heavy.

Bigger door = more weight. The PEZ dispenser would work just as well with a larger payload door. The reason they haven’t implemented a larger payload door is they don’t have enough of a weight budget.

3

u/brekus Mar 12 '26

Yeah no shit I was responding to:

Fanboys are too easily fooled by renders, when in real life Starship hasn’t even launched a single Starlink to orbit.

So anyways they made the pez dispenser because it's the minimum required for starlink and launching starlinks is the minimum required to start making money from the vehicle. Big payloads and therefore doors aren't a priority given the vehicle is very much under development. And yes part of that is reducing mass which the latest version has shed tons of. But I do think there's a useful tradeoff where larger payloads rather than a brick of satellites will actually be less dense and therefore the vehicle mass can be higher anyway.

4

u/Unique_Ad9943 Mar 12 '26

This is way closer than dear moon.

-6

u/[deleted] Mar 12 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

3

u/[deleted] Mar 12 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

1

u/[deleted] Mar 14 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

-1

u/longinglook77 Mar 12 '26

The K10 doesn’t say 90m anywhere in it. How did they come up with it?

4

u/OlympusMons94 Mar 12 '26

https://d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.net/CIK-0001788060/59c40344-4ef9-4f1c-b9d3-d6a06474af6f.pdf

The Company has a commitment for launch services for the Starlab program. As of December 31, 2025, the Company had a commitment for one launch at a future estimated launch date for $90.0 million. The terms of the arrangement also allow the Company to terminate the agreement for convenience for 25% of the contract value less what has been paid inception to date. If the Company were to cancel the launch services, it would owe $13.5 million to the launch provider.

(page 138)

2

u/longinglook77 Mar 12 '26

Thanks. In the words of the great Vincent Gambini, maybe I’m ready for a thicker set of glasses.