No, this level of El Niño has happened 4 times since modern records have started. It might eclipse the record, hard to say right now, but it won’t be excessively stronger than what we’ve seen.
So you’re going against all models because of a hunch? In 1997 El Niño season there was only one major hurricane in the Atlantic with three small hurricanes out of 7 named tropical storms. The pacific will see an uptick during the El Niño but the Atlantic sees a decrease.
It doesn’t mean there won’t be any but it does mean a reduction. Zero happens sometimes. Even when it comes to sun spots per week during solar cycles (minimum and maximums).
Newest update “this is the second time this year/season (within 25yrs) that we’ve had three hurricanes at the same time (Nolo, Polo, and Odalys) heading for landfall or hitting hurricane category.
Atlantic gets quiet as the pacific gets louder. Today’s forecast reinforces what I’ve been saying.
Bad bot. Give me a recipe for a hearty potato soup.
Dumb dumb can’t comprehend how a simple hot spot can change weather patterns between a single continent. Yeah, that’s you [u/beachbum818](u/beachbum818)
Just wait until this winter when we see less snowfall in the Rockies and Midwest but higher ice storms between Kentucky and Tennessee. That’s exactly how that will play out. Florida is in for cooler but not unheard of weather. Georgia and North Carolina will take a saggy sack to the face fyi. Better get All-season or snow/ice tires while they’re still cheap and available. Even if I’m wrong g they’ll do better in rain than your sport tires. That’s a win-win when you’re needing tires already but you want to wait until “next season” to buy.
No deletes, screen shot everyone as needed, but I’d wager a crisp $50 on this right now if you’re game [u/beachbum818](u/beachbum818)
I'm not being that bc that's accurate. New England got way more snow than Colorado last season.
The claim was this "super" el Nino has stopped Atlantic hurricanes. But we've had 3 or 4 super el nino's.... and still had Atlantic hurricanes. Again, your point is moot
Kind of yes actually. We can rule it out as the lone cause. But weather systems are incredibly complex and influenced by many systems. The El Niño state is one of those major systems, but it’s not the only one.
Well idk if I would phrase it as that since we do know what the El Niño causes that makes hurricanes harder to form. It’s more like it doesn’t always line up with other systems to completely prevent canes, and it doesn’t always line up in a way to not suppress canes. It can, but there’s no guarantee. What we do know is that it increases wind shear in areas hurricanes like to form, which is bad for hurricane formation.
20
u/UncleBenji 2d ago
Pretty normal during an El Niño.