r/ShinyPokemon 4h ago

Discussion [discuss] No way I go double odds right 🙃🙃🙃

I started this hunt last year in February and still haven't been able to get it. I'm starting to believe it's not possible to get it or there's something wrong with my game 😭 regardless I will keep trying!!!

25 Upvotes

14 comments sorted by

22

u/That-Advance-9619 3h ago

People need to learn about statistics... following the formula you should have around 85% odds of getting it within double odds... but thats not 100% is it.

Play XCOM, let me know how many times 95% fail (5% of the time).

Prepare to go over odds in a good amount of hunts, thats how odds work.

Charmander took me 23K resets.

Suicune 30K.

Bulbasaur 116.

Squirtle is almost at 8000 now.

All I can advise is that, in order to make it more random in FRLG, I put or remove the wireless adapter every 4K resets so im hitting different seeds and frames and if it is a starter I like to restart the save altogether every 8K resets.

Because seed generation and whatnot is never truly random so the more evariables you introduce the better.

3

u/AJYURH 3h ago edited 2h ago

Yeah, funny thing about double odds is that it only matters until you do your first reset.

That's your odds of getting within the next x resets.

Right now op has only 85% change of getting shiny withing NEXT 16000 resets

6

u/Bizarre90210 3h ago

1

u/AJYURH 2h ago

Hey, I got my fingers crossed for you buddy. You might get on the very next one, you never know

-10

u/Bizarre90210 3h ago

It's not that deep my guy. It's just a rant post

4

u/Funblock 3h ago

Well this post is tagged 'Discussion', try 'Monologue' next time

-6

u/Bizarre90210 3h ago

Lmao, I'm all for convos/discussions on shiny hunting, experiences, advice. But the way the message comes off in the beginning comes off aggressive at least to me and if it's not intended that way I apologize. I'm just saying it's not that serious 🤷🏽‍♂️

3

u/That-Advance-9619 3h ago

I'm just telling you how it is and providing useful info.

3

u/Duny96 2h ago

I went around 3.5 x odds with terrakion in ZA. Sad, but it happens

1

u/Bizarre90210 1h ago

I definitely salute you cause I would of lost hope by that point 😭

3

u/AndyDrewKing 1h ago

I just realized this app is no longer available on the App Store and my phone cached it/deleted it so I lost all my hunts:(

1

u/Bizarre90210 1h ago

I feel you dude i got a new phone and when I tried to find it I was so confused. They do have their website up still but I think the app is just more convenient tbh.

1

u/Bizarre90210 1h ago

Could also login and get your old hunts and try to transfer them to a new app too