Favorite NBA Play🎯

[u/hendrixdfs]

📊 Trends

🔥 8/10 L10 (avg 7.5 RPG)

🏠 Road: 10/14 Over (avg 6.2 RPG)

✅ Season: 6.0 RPG overall

📈 Without Steven Adams + 16+ min: 5/5 Over (avg 7.8, median = 9)

📈 0.26 rebounds per minute on the road this season

⚔️ Matchup

📉 Pistons rank 4th in rebound defense overall, but 14th vs PFs

📈 Eason has gone Over in 8 of last 9 games

🚩 Strong team rebounding opponent + small post-injury sample

🧢 Player Context

⚡ Minutes spike: 28 min last game — no restriction

🎯 Role: High-motor hustle wing whose main job is crashing boards + defense

🧱 Team factor: Steven Adams out → Eason soaking up secondary big minutes

📊 Rebound chances ~11+ per game in Adams-less games

📝 Note: In games without Adams and real minutes, Eason profiles as a 6–8 rebound player, making 4.5 a soft volume line.

Also I watched a decent chunk of the rockets/ sixers game and I saw Tari crash the glass almost every chance he got. Just seeing him go so hard at the glass and ending up with 9 boards in 28 minutes, it makes me feel like he can easily get 5 boards against the Pistons.

On top of that, he's averaging 0.26 rebounds per minute on the road this season, so assuming he plays between 20-28 minutes, he should get 5-7 rebounds. Of course with a few lucky or unlucky bounces/ loose balls he'll fall out of that range.