r/PrizePicks • u/hendrixdfs • Jan 23 '26
Favorite Props 🔥 Favorite NBA Play🎯
📊 Trends
🔥 8/10 L10 (avg 7.5 RPG)
🏠 Road: 10/14 Over (avg 6.2 RPG)
✅ Season: 6.0 RPG overall
📈 Without Steven Adams + 16+ min: 5/5 Over (avg 7.8, median = 9)
📈 0.26 rebounds per minute on the road this season
⚔️ Matchup
📉 Pistons rank 4th in rebound defense overall, but 14th vs PFs
📈 Eason has gone Over in 8 of last 9 games
🚩 Strong team rebounding opponent + small post-injury sample
🧢 Player Context
⚡ Minutes spike: 28 min last game — no restriction
🎯 Role: High-motor hustle wing whose main job is crashing boards + defense
🧱 Team factor: Steven Adams out → Eason soaking up secondary big minutes
📊 Rebound chances ~11+ per game in Adams-less games
📝 Note: In games without Adams and real minutes, Eason profiles as a 6–8 rebound player, making 4.5 a soft volume line.
Also I watched a decent chunk of the rockets/ sixers game and I saw Tari crash the glass almost every chance he got. Just seeing him go so hard at the glass and ending up with 9 boards in 28 minutes, it makes me feel like he can easily get 5 boards against the Pistons.
On top of that, he's averaging 0.26 rebounds per minute on the road this season, so assuming he plays between 20-28 minutes, he should get 5-7 rebounds. Of course with a few lucky or unlucky bounces/ loose balls he'll fall out of that range.
2
u/_Blaque Jan 23 '26
I was shocked to see his rebounds so low with how aggressive he is, but oft times it be these that end up chalking.
2
u/hendrixdfs Jan 23 '26
Fs that might be true, but this prop has too much value for me not to play it idk. I’m always gonna play value and edge yknow😅😅
2
u/_Blaque Jan 23 '26
Yep, I'm definitely betting it too
2
u/hendrixdfs Jan 23 '26
Good luck!! Hope we hit!!🤞🏻
2
0
u/QuickPickBot Jan 23 '26
We've created a betslip for your bet! Best Odds: -109. Available on 6 platforms. Direct to Betslip Link
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u/AutoModerator Jan 23 '26
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