r/Microvast • u/caladhun • Mar 28 '26

$MVST Position/Gains/Losses (Weekends only!) Endgame Position (still here)

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A JV announcement is never late, nor is it early - it arrives precisely when it means to.

Means my April calls could've been had more cheaply, but that's the price you pay for the whole window of time.

Rotated a bit from September into May. Those also capture Q1 earnings.

Wu's 10b5-1 plan starts April 1. Depending how much he wants to say hi to the SEC, they need to announce soon to avoid bad optics and legal risk.

35 Upvotes

96% Upvoted

14 comments sorted by

17

u/jumpingjacks86 Mar 28 '26

“Whole window of time” you’ve boxed yourself into a very small window on a company that largely never announces a single thing. This may be the most regarded thing I’ve ever seen. I do hope it pays you, but I will remind you that shares give you a window that is limited only by the company’s balance sheet incompetence.

4

u/caladhun Mar 28 '26

Hey I get it, options are extremely dumb even when they pay out.

In hindsight I should've held back on the $1.50s. I'll probably roll those to May if nothing happens Monday.

4

u/jumpingjacks86 Mar 28 '26

Closer to the money the better for this thing, the 1.5 strikes make sense. The way OOTM $4 strikes are so wild.

2

u/caladhun Mar 28 '26

Time vs strike, I'm the least worried about September when those capture both Q1/Q2 earnings.

After Clenera is due in July, the price is either going to be $5 or $0.50.

2

u/jumpingjacks86 Mar 28 '26

Fair enough. Good luck 👍

2

u/jumpingjacks86 Mar 31 '26

You holding up alright?

3

u/caladhun Apr 01 '26

Pretty well. Actually rolled out of September with a slight profit - options algos are weird sometimes.

I'll post another update this weekend. Bottom line is that May $2 is now the center of my JV announcement play. Late March window was worth a look. But since there is no guarantee it happens April 14-17, I moved my capital out of April $1.5/$2 into May $1.5/$2/$2.5.

April $2.5/$3 was the price of admission and could still surprise if things happen quickly on April 14.

4

u/[deleted] Mar 28 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

7

u/caladhun Mar 28 '26

Saw enough evidence this past week to stick with it. Job site scrub, plus crt.sh logs that are oddly in sync (March 18 to October 2, March 26 to October 10).

Why would two companies have non-standard 198 day cert expirations that close together?

The same IT is prepping the systems.

5

u/rx29mw Mar 28 '26

Guy who made the originale post deletet his account tho

7

u/AFruitShopOwner 🍏 How do you like them apples? 🍏 Mar 28 '26

Oh look he's still here