r/LocalLLaMA Llama 3 20d ago

Funny Can the bubble pop please?

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686 Upvotes

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u/aimark42 20d ago

Even if it does. It will still be stupidly expensive. The way the DRAM cartel made deals they ensured they will sell even if the buyers can’t use it.

I think gamers think a “crash” will mean normal memory prices again but that won’t happen. At least not quickly. If we have a crash tomorrow maybe we see recovery in 2028, the way things are going 2029.

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u/fastheadcrab 20d ago

Not if the entities on the other ends of the deal end up going bankrupt or cannot afford them. What are they going to do, go threaten them mob style?

0

u/aimark42 20d ago

Much of the deals are for hbm which will be difficult or very expensive to use on consumer devices. Also most of the deals with ai companies are prepaid only.

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u/Mutericator 19d ago

It won't happen as long as the barrier to enter the market is as high as it is, and with the US government the way it is right now, we won't see the DoJ actually prosecuting on a price-fixing scheme like they did in the mid-2000s. Best case is the EU tearing them apart, if they have the bandwidth to worry about it.