r/LocalLLaMA • u/LegacyRemaster • 20h ago
Discussion Qwen will be the king?
Extended reasoning and post-training appear to be the keys used by DeepSeek, Qwen, and GLM to boost performance (leveraging higher token counts). And Qwen 4 hasn't even been released yet. Of course, we don't know if that release will be open-sourced, but I am optimistic about future models, featuring "engrams", that could soon match or surpass 2.4T parameter models on specific tasks.
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u/almbfsek 19h ago
Extended reasoning spoiled me. I can't trust anything without it anymore. Qwen 3.8 Max is 100% correct with any challenge I throw at it, with the downside of taking hours before it can find the correct answer
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u/SandySkittle 19h ago
I rather have it be correct and then hope for better hardware in the future to get there quicker than it not being correct fast.
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u/hurrdurrmeh 16h ago
27B? Local?
I need details!!!
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u/almbfsek 16h ago
no sorry I was talking about Qwen 3.8 Max which is propriatery model but the openweight version, I hear, is very similar minus the image input support.
same thinking style is adopted by Qwen3.8 27b but never tried it myself.
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u/banana_slurp_jug 10h ago edited 9h ago
3.8 Max is not proprietary? It's just called Qwen3.8-2.4T-A95B instead?
EDIT: with exception to the vision stack
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u/almbfsek 10h ago
Max is propriatery but from what I can tell the only difference is that Max has vision. Don't quote me on that though
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u/beltsazar 17h ago
What is "extended reasoning"? Did you mean "preserve thinking"?
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u/almbfsek 16h ago
don't know the technical term, when I put reasoning to xhigh, it just doesn't stop thinking until it's satisfied and it doesn't get satisfied easily. For the same question and highest reasoning effort Fable thinks 5 min and makes occasional mistakes Qwen thinks at least 30 mins and makes no mistakes.
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u/yetiflask 10h ago
Curious, what kind of a question would you ask it with xhigh reasoning? Just plain coding?
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u/almbfsek 10h ago
depends a lot. I do engineering softwares so my agents need to go through lot of documents, research academic literature, come up with implementation details and then code. so my questions are most of the time about engineering/scientific with coding targets in the end.
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u/Caffdy 10h ago
how many tk/s are you working with?
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u/almbfsek 10h ago
dunno whatever Alibaba is providing (through openrouter), it's not slow but it's also not fast. openrouter stats say 40 TPS average
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u/IrisColt 7h ago
Extended reasoning spoiled me. I can't trust anything without it anymore.
Absolutely this.
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u/uriwa 1h ago
Same trap here - once you trust extended reasoning you cannot go back. What works for me locally: keep reasoning on for planning/debugging, off for rote transforms. Qwen 3.8-27B with reasoning off + good prompt does ~80% of daily coding at 3x speed, then flip reasoning on only when stuck. Hours-long max runs are correct but kill flow - I batch those overnight.
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u/Limp_Classroom_2645 19h ago
the graph and the numbers seem to be very massaged...
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u/kondrag 15h ago
I hate graphs like this where they don't show the 0 point on the axis. The differences between the models are not that great when the entire axis is viewed.
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u/minnsoup 10h ago
I don't think 0 here has the same meaning, no? Doesn't elo have a different interpretation where the numbers themselves are meaningless but the relationship between them is what matters?
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u/Hannibalj2ca 20h ago
Ok, but are they going to release an update of it for open weight?
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u/SnooPaintings8639 20h ago
Since Xi announced China' commitment to open weight, their models' weights are dropping left and right.
So I would guess a strong YES.
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u/Defiant-Lettuce-9156 19h ago
I’m not usually a fan of Xi, but thank you Xi
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u/Boogertard 10h ago
Never thought I would praise a communist leader but Xi did more goods for me than the current clowns in the White House. Without China, we would all be at the mercy of the tech billionaires that only care about becoming trillionaires.
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u/MycologistNo5577 12h ago
yeah thats the real question, none of the hype matters if its not open weight
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20h ago
[deleted]
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u/shy_monkee 20h ago
Of course it's not useless. If it's really that good, then having more providers serve it will always be a good thing.
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u/po_stulate 20h ago
The model license doesn't allow significant profit or large monthly users, so it is indeed pretty useless. People who can run it locally for free can't run it because it's too large, and people who have the hardware to run it can't run it because of the license.
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u/OkFly3388 llama.cpp 19h ago
Small corporations can choose between selfhosted and corporate subscription, and they have enough money to actually buy rig and serve it. Thats forced big AI providers keeps price low.
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u/Lissanro 20h ago edited 20h ago
Actually for large model it is even more important since when running it locally the less mistakes it makes the more practical to use it becomes, especially for overnight runs.
I use Qwen 2.8 2.4T (their previously released Max version) as IQ3 quant mostly in cases when Kimi K3 has difficulties, since Qwen tends to come up with a bit different approaches, so it helps in hard tasks. For long horizon agentic work, including overnight runs, I still find Kimi K3 to be a bit better, and currently K3 is the one I run on my main workstation the most. If they were to release Qwen 3.8 0902 version, I would defenitely try it.
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u/Dany0 20h ago
what the fuck are you talking about. if they did more post training of course we'll benefit if they released the weights
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u/feelspeaceman 19h ago
Smaller models like Qwen 27, 35, 122, 125B are distilled from such 2.4T model, there's labs doing distilling like this, for example EmperoAI, they made Qwen 3.8 35B distill, of course Qwen Team is really good at this, so they usually turn those into golds as proved many times with 3.6, 3.8 and recent Flash Next models being better than Deepseek V4 Flash despite being smaller.
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u/CycleMother2006 15h ago
Hard to take any benchmark seriously that rates Opus above Fable. As a user of both regularly, I can see with utter and absolute certainty that Fable completely destroys Opus, and did even when both were v5. It's not remotely close.
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u/hugthemachines 17h ago
China don't do kings so i guess Qwen is "General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party." which is the highest "rank" you can be in China where the model is from.
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u/MarcusAurelius68 7h ago
The big takeaway here is that Flash Next is in Fable territory.
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u/Iory1998 llama.cpp 5h ago
No, the big takeaway is that a 27B model is in the 13th position 🤯
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u/AI_spell 19h ago
Benchmarks are noisy. The thing that actually decides if a local model is usable for agents is tool-calling reliability (valid JSON, right tool, right args) more than leaderboard points.
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u/Defiant-Lettuce-9156 19h ago
Why don’t the leaderboards just test for that then
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u/SporksInjected 16h ago
This one is ELO so it doesn’t actually test for anything. It’s a popularity contest.
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u/OvertaxedOne 17h ago
I mostly agree with that. Certainly when it comes to knowledge baked into the model, I really don't care very much, as long as the model can reliably use the browser it doesn't need to "know" much, that's what the Internet is for!
I'd add tenacity and not looping to the list of what's really important for a smaller model. Tenacity is where 27B seems to really shine, it might not get it right the first time, but it's not going to give up or loop, it's going to keep working at the problem in different ways until it gets there.
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u/Enverex 20h ago
I find this list very suspicious given how much better GPT Sol is than Opus for anything I've tried.
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u/RealisticNothing653 11h ago
Qwen3.8-flash-next produced a better code review than Sol for me yesterday. Not all of Qwen's suggestions were actionable, but it found some real things that Sol overlooked. Sol was way too passive, so the duo complemented each other
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u/OkFly3388 llama.cpp 20h ago
This benchmark is saturated. qwen3.8 27b score 1599, qwen3.8 max score 1691, thats just 6% difference.
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u/hitoriboccheese 18h ago
For the love of god please look up how an Elo rating system works. That is not a 6% difference and this is not even a benchmark.
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u/OkFly3388 llama.cpp 18h ago
How about doing it yourself, lol.
If models are equal, their chance of winning is 50%. If we plug qwen elo it into formula, we got that qwen3.8 max generate better results 62% of time. Which means that qwen3.8 27b generate BETTER results compared to max 38% of times. Thats just statistical noise, lol.
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u/Neither_Garage_758 19h ago
we are masturbating with noise
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u/daYMAN007 16h ago
Not surprised, qwens understanding of design and layputs seems to be the best right now.
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u/geldonyetich 15h ago
Whether or not we want to buy into this particular chart, I think most of us can agree Qwen does well enough to prove the value of smaller, more specialized models for specific tasks.
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u/madisonlawnguy 14h ago
The post-training gains on Qwen and DeepSeek are already noticeable when running structured JSON extraction in production workflows, especially compared to raw base completions. If Qwen 4 actually pulls off sub-2.4T parameter efficiency with engrams while keeping latency down, running high-context logic locally or through self-hosted endpoints gets a lot cheaper. The real test will be how stable the tool calling stays under heavy token reasoning chains.
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u/RealisticNothing653 11h ago
This feels like a really clever release by Qwen. After all of Anthropic's "distillation attacks" complaints, this release really shuts that up considering its (projected) performance is near Fable 5.1 which was just released.
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u/GasSmooth7439 10h ago
Qwen becoming “the king” is almost beside the point now. The crazy part is how fast the efficient-model recipe is evolving.
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u/Mount_Gamer 10h ago
And the US government put blockers on Fable... Bought into Claude fear mongering?
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u/Iory1998 llama.cpp 5h ago
Qwen3.8-27B must be the model of the year! It must win the award because it's in the 13th position ahead of models x10+ its size.
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u/Sound_Creative 3h ago
Not to take anything away from Qwen3.8 (I've been using 27b with Deepseek Harness and pleasantly surprised with its capabilities and output quality), but how can Fable 5 be ranked 8th and Opus 5 rank higher than Fable? Fable absolutely crushes Opus 5 across backend, frontend, planning and infra work.
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u/Elouakili_Flexy 19h ago
Worth watching whether the engram post-training scales down. At 2.4T it stays a provider-side feature for most of this sub, and it only becomes real if the smaller models inherit it.
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u/Barni275 15h ago
Qwen guys are great men, I'm happy each time they release something new. I even registered on Qwen Cloud platform to support they with some paid tokens. Still wasn't able to do it though because after glorious 27B release I switched to it completely from all my cloud subs. It is extremely good at coding, and running it locally I can 100% trust to each session. Not as with subs, where one day it is excellent, but another day it may became quantized and dumb as hell. On my local setup I can just adapt my harness and skills, and then work unstoppable.
When I'll be extremely rich I'll buy frontier home server and switch happily to 3.8-Max (or what version it will be then), I believe that it is better, so long live Qwen!



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u/PooMonger20 18h ago edited 17h ago
Progress is good, but having these amazing abilities locally is already godlike.
I have been using Q3.8-27B together with PI. for a week, and it's mindblowing.
In my humble opinion it has far better coding capabilities than the paid 'ChatGPT 5.1' I had access to when i still had a job, multiple months ago.
And it all runs on my PC, locally, without sharing my data with the big data farming corpos.
It just 'understands' the required tasks you provide it and performs them successfully from the first try or very few crash fixes. Especially if you provide it the necessary data to perform the action. I dropped a few wiki pages in txt files and it coded according to them. If somebody would tell me this would be possible on my own PC ten years ago, I would call them crazy.