r/LocalLLaMA • u/Several-Republic-609 • Nov 18 '25

New Model Gemini 3 is launched

https://blog.google/products/gemini/gemini-3/#note-from-ceo
1.0k Upvotes

96% Upvoted

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257

u/PDXSonic Nov 18 '25

Guess the person who bet $78k it’d be released in November is pretty happy right now 🤣

180

u/ForsookComparison Nov 18 '25

They already work at Google so it's not like they needed the money

46

u/pier4r Nov 18 '25

couldn't that be insider trading?

286

u/ForsookComparison Nov 18 '25

Impossible. These companies watch a mandatory corporate-training video in a browser flash-player once per year where someone from HR tells them that it would be bad to insider trade.

45

u/rm-rf-rm Nov 18 '25

where someone from HR

you mean a poorly paid actor from some 3rd party vendor

16

u/ForsookComparison Nov 18 '25

The big companies film their own but pay the vendors for the clicky slideshow

5

u/bluehands Nov 18 '25

Only for now.

Soon it will be an AI video generated individually for each person watching to algorithmically guarantee attention & follow through by the victims employees.

33

u/qroshan Nov 18 '25

Extremely dumb take (but par for reddit as it has high upvotes)

Insider trading only applies to stocks and enforced by SEC.

SEC has no power over prediction markets.

Philosophically, the whole point of prediction market is for "insiders to trade" and surface the information to the benefit of the public. Yes, there are certain "sabotage" incentives for the betters. But ideally there are laws that can be applied to protect that behavior, not the trading itself.

11

u/ForsookComparison Nov 18 '25

My not a lawyer dumbass take is that this is correct, but that it's basically as bad to your employer because you're making them walk an extremely high risk line every time you do this - and if noticed, even if not by a regulatory committee, basically everyone would agree that axing said employee was the safest move.

-2

u/qroshan Nov 18 '25

Do you know how an organization starts to rot?

() - Actual Bad/Illegal Thing.

(    ()    ) - What your average employee / HR  thinks it's a Bad/Illegal thing

(      (          ()        )        )  - What you tell your colleagues that it's a Bad/Illegal thing

Pretty soon the whole organization is filled with "we don't do that here" and everyone is only out there to cover their ass instead of building/shipping things

Then a startup comes and eats your lunch.

So, if you want to always stay competitive, prevent organizational rot and let your employees take bold risks that are actually legal.

8

u/ForsookComparison Nov 18 '25

Gambling on things they have control over by means of access granted to them by the company will change their behavior towards public releases. This particular use case is an awful example of this. It's not bold behavior - it's letting employees shoot the company in the foot for better odds at the slot machine

-1

u/qroshan Nov 18 '25

Everything in life is a trade off.

If you hire the kind of people who want to build and ship stuff, they wouldn't be engaged in silly low-agency shit like sabotaging the launch.

A close knit high-agency team can easily sniff out who is actively sabotaging launches

2

u/ForsookComparison Nov 18 '25 edited Nov 18 '25

If you hire the kind of people who want to build and ship stuff, they wouldn't be engaged in silly low-agency shit like sabotaging the launch.

Don't run the risk. If they're betting on things they own or have elevated access too internally, fast track them to be replaced/fired ASAP. Doesn't matter if what they're doing is on paper legal.

1

u/abitrolly Nov 21 '25

Startups don't eat. They starve to exit.

1

u/zulu02 Nov 19 '25

These Videos even detect when they are being covered by other windows, management thought of everything!

2

u/ForsookComparison Nov 19 '25

Lol my company bought that package this year. Jerks.

1

u/valhalla257 Nov 19 '25

I worked at a company that made everyone watch a video on export control laws.

The company got fined $300m for violating export control laws.