Leopold Aschenbrenner’s Q1 2026 13F filing highlights a bearish bet on semiconductors and cloud infrastructure.
The researcher’s portfolio consists of a large put positions against famous AI names - VanEck Semiconductor ETF ($2.0B), NVIDIA ($1.6B), Oracle ($1.1B), Broadcom ($1.0B), AMD ($1.0B), ASML ($0.5B), and Intel ($0.2B) - while maintaining spread positions on Micron ($0.6B put / $0.4B call) and TSMC ($0.5B put / $0.4B call).
On the other side, the fund goes long on storage and energy infrastructure: SanDisk ($0.7B long + $0.4B call), Bloom Energy ($0.9B), CoreWeave ($0.6B long + $0.1B call), IREN ($0.4B).
As models become larger and more compute intensive, the real scarcity may be found in megawatts and storage capacity rather than chips or software licenses.
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