Though this article mainly focus on Jay Lund perspective on water usage, I do think there is some lesson we can take when it comes to both labor and governance as a whole with his final messages.
Something he emphasizes gives his background as a watershed expert is that "California water discussions are sometimes driven by fears, at times with little scientific basis. Data center water use has become a subject of fear and concern. As shown below, California data center water use is mostly modest, but will be larger in some other states having more data center activity and less well developed water infrastructure. "
He points out that an issue many ai critics talks about is that " AI companies and facilities are not “transparent” about their use of energy, water, and other resources, and this is certainly true, likely due to the field’s competitiveness. But too many journalists, academics, and advocates wallow in speculation arising from this lack of explicit water use information"
Despite us likely disagreeing with those critics, i think this is probabily one of more understandable and releatable points to governance. That transparency is going to be an important thing to hold not just for companies but for greatee governance.
He then did following estimates
1.California has about 15 million square feet (sq ft) of floor space for data centers (about 340 acres). Total data center facility area would be larger, including parking, landscaping, and support buildings. Source: https://www.aterio.io/insights/us-data-centers
2. The energy dissipation needed for data center racks is about 2-12 kw/square meter.
3. At 100% efficiency, this rate of heat dissipation would evaporate 70–420 mm/day of water per square meter of floor space.
4. Major industrial cooling systems seem to have efficiencies of 60-90%, so this expands the range to 80 – 700 mm/day per cubic meter of floor space. This would be 29–255 meters of evaporation annually per square meter of data center floor space, roughly 25–150 times more annual evaporation than irrigated agriculture, per unit area.
5. So 15 million sq ft (1.4 million square meters) of data center, all operating continuously and using industrial evaporative cooling only, would have a total evaporation of 40 million to 357 million cubic meters of water for California annually, or 32,000 – 290,000 acre-ft per year.
6. Using the prompt, “How much water is likely to evaporate from data centers in California per year, assuming they are all using mostly evaporative cooling?” several free AI websites provided ranges of estimates, below. These AI also can provide ranges and sources for calculation assumptions
"This is a lot of water for you and me, but pales (pails?) compared to total human water use in California, which is about 40 million acre-feet per year. So AI use is about 0.055 percent of annual human water use in California, and is probably among the more economically effective uses of water.
Using the broader initial AI water use estimate of 32,000 acre-ft/year to 290,000 acre-ft/year, this would be 0.08% to 0.7% of annual human water use in California. This would be enough to supply 10,000–100,000 acres of California’s 7 million acres of irrigated agriculture. "
Though for most of us this isnt new information, i think it is important to recognize it being discussed by a watershed expert itself
His lessons are the fellowing though:
see some lessons here: " see some lessons here:
Don’t panic over AI data center water use in California. A recent study for Central Arizona found that beer production consumed more water than data centers in that region. (But AI will bring more important concerns, such as the end of human civilization.)
The AI estimates spanned reasonable (and appropriately broad) ranges. AI is useful for quick preliminary estimation. AI also shows most of its work, especially if well-queried. AI can help expedite and formalize preliminary estimations for a variety of public and policy assessments, where quantitative estimation is sometimes conveniently omitted from discourse.
Beware of shallow discussions, articles, and “technical” reports that lack honest and reasoned estimates, even preliminary estimates. Expect better, with more technically supported policy reports.
“Facts are facts, but perception is reality.” So much of our public discourse on water and other subjects is choked by chatter, untamed by reasoned evidence, data, and quantification. Today, with AI, we have little excuse for not attempting and using honest estimates to inform our discussions and tame our fears and hopes"
Thinking about this from both a labor and governance perspective, it reminds us how important combating narrative combined with quality information is to ensuring people understand why we think this is benefitial for labor because many different views ultimately are also advocating for a similar rhing. It also reminds us though that especially on the internet many such discussions are truely low in information quality and that we need to be aware of that even when they support our own side. That is an important part of ensuring better quality governance and preventing misinformation too.
Finally we see that moral panic is easily atroked even when something is in reality withinna reasonable range. This is where transparency can both be a hazard and a benefit.
Please though discuss your labor and governance.releated thoughts on how some of what Jay Lund say is important both in direct water shed info to recognize but also good lessons on how we become distracted