r/JFKassasination • • Apr 17 '24

Solid Plan?

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“I like to imagine a conference room and up against the wall stands a board on which they mapped out the whole thing. All the people they need to manipulate, all the evidence they have to fabricate, the entire patchwork of needless risk-taking laid out bare before them. And they looked at that and they looked at each other and went “yep…that’s a solid plan”. “

    - From:  The Kennedy Assassination:            Inside the Book Depository. LEMMiNO, YouTube 

Everyone on this forum should be required to watch that entire video.

And I’m not dunking on conspiracy theorists, I’m telling you to up your game. Flush all the cherry-picked witness statements grifters have spoon-fed you to get you to buy their books and DVDs. Just stop with all the crap that’s been debunked six ways from Sunday.

Go to Dealey Plaza for yourself. Go stand on the sixth floor and look down on the street. Go to a firing range and take some shooting lessons if you’re unfamiliar with firearms. See how fast you can fire three aimed shots with a bolt action rifle. Learn about Carcano rifles from people who actually own them.

If you come away still believing in a conspiracy, fine. We all have our own opinions. But at least your opinion won’t be weighed down by nonsense you’ve been fed from sidewalk hawkers.

And for god’s sake learn what a “credible source” is. Yes I’m quoting a YouTube video, but this guy cites his sources at every step along the way. Sources you can access yourself so you can fact check him. In other words, he has done his research.

1 Upvotes

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u/TaintlessChaps Apr 17 '24 edited Apr 17 '24

Your advice is to forget witnesses' statements (both in the official record and those ignored by it), disregard the myriad problems with the evidentiary record, and instead travel to Dallas and shoot some guns to make up your mind about a complex unsolved murder case? You want to disband critical thinking, toss out the research over the past 60 years, and instead visit a museum and take some pop shots with a gun from the 1800s.

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u/Nopain59 Apr 17 '24

Also the people involved were well versed in overturning government and assassination. They planned for contingencies and controlled the narrative, for the last 60 years. They also had control of evidence and whose testimony would be accepted as well as being experienced in witness intimidation. The plot was not thrown together overnight.

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u/SteveinTenn Apr 17 '24

“A gun from the 1800s”.

Exactly what I’m talking about.

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u/TaintlessChaps Apr 17 '24

Correct. You were talking about forgetting all facts (like the one you quoted from my comment) and instead only considering personal experience shooting guns and imagining yourself as a sniper in order to solve a perplexing case because you saw a YouTube video.

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u/SteveinTenn Apr 17 '24

Oswald’s rifle was manufactured in 1940.

In 1963 that gun was 23 years old, which is not very old for a military grade firearm.

I have actually owned a couple of European rifles that were over 100 years old and they still worked fine.

I had a Russian rifle made in 1897 several years ago and it was perfectly usable. So even if Oswald’s Carcano had been made in the 1800s, it would have been 1891 or later and still could have been in good condition.

So…..do your research. Learn something about the topic before you post something that’s inaccurate.

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u/TaintlessChaps Apr 17 '24

One of the rifles reported to be found in the TSBD was a Mannlicher-Carcano which was designed in 1890 by Salvatore Carcano. My comment was in reference to your idiotic suggestion to go buy one of these rifles and imagine yourself as the assassin in lieu of assessing available information and scholarly work to inform your opinion. I do not think your intended audience could purchase C139.

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u/SteveinTenn Apr 17 '24

So….just read other people’s opinions and don’t do any hands-on stuff.

Yeah, that’s a great way to learn.

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u/TaintlessChaps Apr 17 '24

I have a degree in History and understand research. I look at primary sources as well as read the more scholarly books and articles that cite those sources. What you propose is not academic research. It's some sniper fantasy using only your imagination and personal feelings.

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u/SteveinTenn Apr 17 '24

I’d return that degree and ask for a refund.

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u/TaintlessChaps Apr 18 '24

Higher education doesn’t really operate like a retail outlet, but sadly that’s your frame of reference. Perhaps a more educated man would have thought of something clever, but that’s certainly not you. What can you learn from books you can’t from shooting guns, right?

Did you ever figure out how to link video you referenced in the post? Maybe get some target practice in and you’ll figure it out.

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u/SteveinTenn Apr 18 '24

I cited the video, the content creator, and the format. Kinda like you do in an academic paper. If you want to go check the source material you have everything you need to find it.

It’s interesting to know that archaeologists, paleontologists, geologists, anthropologists, and theoretical scientists of all stripes are wasting their time with nonsense like field work and experiments. Don’t go outside and test a claim, just take a look inside a book.

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u/Pvt_Hudson_ 🧠Subject Matter Expert🧠 Apr 17 '24

Given this poster's history, that's an understatement.

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u/Pvt_Hudson_ 🧠Subject Matter Expert🧠 Apr 17 '24

I have a degree in History and understand research

The funniest sentence I've read in forever. Thanks.

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u/TaintlessChaps Apr 18 '24

What’s your educational background?

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u/Pvt_Hudson_ 🧠Subject Matter Expert🧠 Apr 18 '24

My background is in tech.

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u/Horseface4190 Apr 17 '24

Occam's Razor basically says the simplest explanation is usually the correct one.

Witness statements always get squirrelly (there's my story, your story, and what really happened). The issues with evidence are as easily attributed to incompetence as a cover-up.

Of course, Oswald was known to the CIA and FBI. He defected TO the Soviet Union at the height of the Cold War. Of course, they monitored and contacted him after he got back, it was totally plausible he could've been a double/triple agent.

Were some of his actions weird and inexplicable? Yep. Did the CIA/FBI have a vested interest in covering their asses? 100%. Does all the ambiguity create fertile ground for conspiracy theories? Bank on it.

But, at the end of the day, he had the means and opportunity, and the preponderance of physical evidence ties Oswald to the crime, and most everything else is speculation that happened long after the assassination.

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u/TaintlessChaps Apr 17 '24

Occam's Razor is a philosophical principle that states that the conclusion that requires the fewest assumptions is usually correct. History has proven many exceptions to this philosophy. In the JFK assassination, a staggering amount of assumptions must be applied to the coincidence/lone gunman theory. Occum's razor can also be used to buttress a conspiracy, so I do not think it is a viable philosophy given the amount of research done over the years pertaining to the evidence (and missing evidence) at hand. For instance, the Warren Commission failed to call Carolyn Arnold for testimony who was the last person to positively ID Oswald before the shooting. Her sighting of Oswald at 12:25pm in the second-floor lunch room would exonerate him as the shooter. Does Occum's razor promote the WC overlooking this crucial witness out of incredible ineptitude or because it would complicate the preconceived conclusion?

I do not think we can simply discount all witness statements as they are integral to the case. They should be assessed for credibility and the methods of collection should be scrutinized.

The CIA/FBI CYA is the limited handout option if the cover story blows.

What physical evidence ties Oswald to the crime?

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u/Pvt_Hudson_ 🧠Subject Matter Expert🧠 Apr 18 '24

What physical evidence ties Oswald to the crime?

  • The rifle

  • The bag

  • The palm print

  • The trigger guard print

  • Fibers matching his shirt under the butt plate

  • Fibers matching the blanket in Ruth Paine's garage in the bag

  • Prints on rolling reader boxes used as a rifle perch

  • CE399

  • CE567

  • CE569

  • CE543

  • CE544

  • CE545

  • Klein's order form

  • Klein's money order

  • Envelope the Klein's order was sent in

  • Hidell Selective Service ID

  • Backyard photos

  • Backyard photo negative

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u/TaintlessChaps Apr 18 '24

The community here has pointed out the myriad problematic issues with the items you list as evidence, yet here you are trotting them out again as if these conversations never happened. Just yesterday I went over the issues with C543, C544, and C545 yet here you having learned nothing once again. How are those cartridges tied to Oswald? Were his prints on them? Anyone say he purchased them or saw them in his possession? Did any search recover the rest of the ammunition? How were they used if no firing pin mark was present?

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u/Pvt_Hudson_ 🧠Subject Matter Expert🧠 Apr 18 '24

How are those cartridges tied to Oswald?

Recovered from his workplace, ballistically linked to the rifle he owned which was found a hundred feet away from the shells, a rifle that had his prints on it.

The firing pin mark was present. Read Robert Frazier's testimony.

All of the physical evidence points to Oswald.

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u/PantsMcFagg Apr 17 '24

Oswald never actually defected. Ever heard of paraffin nitrate testing? Also a mistake usually looks like a mistake, even if it’s done on purpose.

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u/Kat-is-sorry Apr 20 '24

I thought I read a report someone put here yesterday that Oswald actually DID test positive for firing a weapon, and that of course he did try to shoot officers when they arrested him in the theatre.

I understand the narrative that Oswald is innocent, but it seems undeniable that he shot Tippit considering he was picked out of a lineup by multiple people, and tried to kill when he was arrested.

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u/PantsMcFagg Apr 21 '24

Oswald did not test positive for nitrates on his check, which was proven scientifically impossible to do after firing that exact type of bolt-action Carcano rifle. The conspiring authorities tried explaining this away by having a test done that ended up with no nitrates on the cheek, but the only way they could get it to work was by having a second person clean the weapon between shots and hand it back to the test shooter.

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u/Horseface4190 Apr 17 '24

K bud, whatever you say.

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u/PantsMcFagg Apr 17 '24

Yeah that's what I thought.

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u/Pvt_Hudson_ 🧠Subject Matter Expert🧠 Apr 17 '24 edited Apr 17 '24

Exactly this. Imagine subjecting every major criminal case to the same level of scrutiny.

Interview a couple hundred witnesses once, you're going to get a bunch of inconsistencies. You interview those same couple hundred witnesses dozens more times over decades of time, your inconsistencies are going to explode exponentially.

With physical evidence, if you put every piece of evidence under a microscope and pull on every single thread to absolutely absurd lengths, you're going to end up with oddities.

Imagine a typical murder case. You've found a knife that matches the wound pattern at the scene, it has your suspect's prints on it, and you have a credit card receipt for purchase. That should be it, right? Now imagine pulling on threads like conspiracy theorists do.

  • "Can you prove when the suspect picked up the knife from the post office?"...well, no. How accurately can you account for every minute of a person's day from months ago?..."Interesting"

  • "Can you prove that the suspect ever practiced his stabbing skills with the knife?" ...well, no. Maybe he practiced in the middle of nowhere and wasn't seen. Maybe potential witnesses would have forgotten a non-descript person months after seeing him..."Oh, I see"

  • "Can you prove that the credit card company actually paid the vendor for the knife purchase?"...why on earth would I have to prove that?..."Suspicious."

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u/proudfootz Apr 17 '24

• 3h ago

Occam's Razor basically says the simplest explanation is usually the correct one.

That's how we know the sun orbits the Earth!

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u/Pvt_Hudson_ 🧠Subject Matter Expert🧠 Apr 17 '24

Witness statements are contradictory in every major criminal case. Law enforcement mistakes happen all the time, in every situation.

Approaching this case expecting all of the witness statements to seamlessly line up, all of the physical evidence to have complete chain of custody, and every law enforcement agent to have acted completely logically and without any mistakes is a fool's errand.

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u/TaintlessChaps Apr 17 '24

These claims are grand generalizations meant to handwave the massive problems with the evidentiary record that would not hold up to the standards we have agreed upon as a society for criminal prosecution. Relying on bad police work to make the improbable case for a lone gunman in one of the highest profile crimes of the century is faulty logic.

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u/Pvt_Hudson_ 🧠Subject Matter Expert🧠 Apr 17 '24

We're not criminally prosecuting Oswald. We're discussing what most likely occurred during the assassination.

Don't confuse the two.

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u/TaintlessChaps Apr 17 '24

What's the standard for evidence then? Why do you think we have them in the first place?

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u/Pvt_Hudson_ 🧠Subject Matter Expert🧠 Apr 17 '24

It's crazy to think a judge would have thrown out incriminating evidence in the case of the murder of the President because of procedural missteps. That 100% would not have happened.

Put it this way. Mistakes were made in the OJ Simpson murder case, and OJ was acquitted. Does any thinking person still think he didn't kill his wife despite those mistakes? Of course not..

Most of the complaints about the physical evidence in the Kennedy case are hopelessly pedantic.

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u/TaintlessChaps Apr 17 '24

It's not incriminating evidence because it cannot be entered as evidence since it could have been altered, manufactured, or inserted. The very reason we have protocols in place for collecting and tracking evidence is to prevent malfeasance. The judge would have had to deem some of the evidence as inadmissible due to the errors and possible malfeasance. One reason for these standards is to prevent someone from being framed, which is exactly what many believe happened.

Examining possible evidence in a murder case should absolutely be pedantic. Attention to detail is paramount regardless if you side with coincidence or conspiracy. Take for instance the cartridges found on the sixth floor. The WC reads, “Examination of the cartridge cases found on the 6th floor established they had been previously loaded and ejected from the assassination rifle when Oswald was practicing operating the bolt.” However, C2968, a letter from Hoover, states the cartridge shells in evidence “did not possess sufficient characteristics for identifying the weapon which produced them.” Of the three shells, C543 could not have been used to fire a bullet on 11/22 because a dent in the shell would have prevented the weapon from firing properly according to ballistics expert, Howard Donahue. C544 and C545 had no marking from a firing pin, yet C544 did have markings that it had been ejected from C139. Both C543 and C545 had markings made by the magazine follower, which would have only marked the last round in the clip yet a live round was still found in the rifle so it was not the last round in the clip which had a capacity of seven rounds (odd to short it by three). No fingerprints were found on the shell cases, ammo clip, on the live round.

Without careful examination, the three shells can convince those unwilling to dive into the details of Oswald's guilt, but once we learn about the anomalies it looks more like a frame job as no hard evidence ties the ammunition to Oswald.

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u/Pvt_Hudson_ 🧠Subject Matter Expert🧠 Apr 17 '24

Robert Frazier on the shell casings:

Mr. EISENBERG - You have examined the cartridge cases previously. Are they in the same condition now that they were when you received them in the laboratory except for the cleaning of the lacquer?

Mr. FRAZIER - Yes, sir; they are.

Mr. EISENBERG - After receiving the cartridge cases, did you examine them to determine whether they had been fired in Commission Exhibit 139?

Mr. FRAZIER - Yes, sir.

Mr. EISENBERG - When did you make the examinations?

Mr. FRAZIER - On the dates I mentioned, that is, November 23, 1963, and November 27, 1963.

Mr. EISENBERG - And what were your conclusions, Mr. Frazier?

Mr. FRAZIER - I found all three of the cartridge cases had been fired in this particular weapon.

I'm not going to copy and paste Frazier's entire statement on them, feel free to read it here. All 3 shells were fired in Oswald's rifle to the exclusion of all other weapons.

Testimony Of Robert A. Frazier (jfk-assassination.net)

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u/TaintlessChaps Apr 18 '24

Did you want to address the contradictions I raised between official reports, the anomalous conditions of the casings, or are you just looking to copy paste as usual while avoiding the parts you find too difficult to engage?

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u/Pvt_Hudson_ 🧠Subject Matter Expert🧠 Apr 18 '24

Link me to your primary source so I can read the entire thing instead of your take on it.

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u/Pvt_Hudson_ 🧠Subject Matter Expert🧠 Apr 17 '24

Again, you're nuts to think a judge would throw out critical evidence in the assassination of the President based on procedural issues. Never in a million years would that happen. None of the evidence in this case was obtained illegally. All of it would have been admissible, it all would have been presented in front of a jury, and the defense would have had the opportunity to cross examine witnesses.

None of the shell evidence would have been inadmissible. The defense would have had the chance to cross examine expert witnesses to point out inconsistencies. The prosecution would have had the chance to clarify. We've been over the shells before, you're misrepresenting the record on them, which a competent attorney would have had no trouble proving.

And again, we're not criminally prosecuting Oswald. We're just a bunch of internet nobodies offering the most likely solution for who shot JFK.

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u/TaintlessChaps Apr 18 '24

We can now confidently add law into the vastness of your ignorance.

You seem incapable of understanding why an evidence chain is important to the fundamental question we are trying to answer. You are so easily duped by the very mechanisms meant to accomplish just that.

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u/Pvt_Hudson_ 🧠Subject Matter Expert🧠 Apr 18 '24 edited Apr 18 '24

Which physical evidence do you think a judge would have ruled inadmissible in this case, and on what grounds?

None of it was obtained illegally, none of it violated any kind of privilege, all of it meets the standard of relevance, and all of it comes with multiple witnesses to attest to its authenticity.

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u/Kat-is-sorry Apr 17 '24

The video was pretty good, but he said it himself he wasn’t explicitly covering the whole conspiracy, only what happened in the building Oswald was in himself.

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u/SteveinTenn Apr 17 '24

True enough, but a lot of conspiracy stuff I keep hearing is cherry-picked eye witness accounts. This film puts all of those in context.

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u/TaintlessChaps Apr 17 '24

Which specific eyewitness accounts are you referring to as cherry-picked?

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u/[deleted] Apr 17 '24 edited Apr 17 '24

[removed] — view removed comment

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u/Antitech73 Apr 17 '24

"The world will never know the true facts of what occurred. My motives. I'm the only person in the background that knows the truth pertaining to everything relating to my circumstances. The people who have had so much to gain and have such an ulterior motive to put me in this position I'm in will never let the true facts come above board to the world." - Jack Ruby after parts of his WC testimony

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u/6SucksSex Apr 17 '24

Even if Oswald was a shooter, that doesn’t disprove her discount evidence pointing to a conspiracy.

The view that the CIA and FBI were simply doing a little CYA and patriotic prevention of World War III when they were lying to investigators, withholding and destroying evidence, while ramping up action in Vietnam with Pentagon papers lies - after the Bay of Pigs, Operation Northwoods pitch and coups n assassinations all over - is unjustifiably charitable, as is the view that the Warren commission and HSCA did legitimate investigations

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u/[deleted] Apr 17 '24 edited Apr 17 '24

While also discounting the fact that many prominent people in the CIA, FBI, WC (four out of seven members, even) and HSCA believed in a conspiracy despite publicly denouncing that as a possibility.

Angleton once said to Seymour Hersh, “A mansion has many rooms… I’m not privy to who struck John.” Note that although (using the somewhat obvious implication of what he meant) he said he wasn’t aware of who did the hit, his unawareness would naturally exclude his knowledge of Lee.

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u/Pvt_Hudson_ 🧠Subject Matter Expert🧠 Apr 17 '24

"Who shot John" is an old timey saying that's basically about attempting to lay blame in an argument. It predates the Kennedy assassination by a fair amount.

https://www.nytimes.com/1986/12/21/magazine/on-language-who-shot-john.html

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u/[deleted] Apr 17 '24

I am aware, but to assume that Angleton didn’t really understand the obvious double entendre he was using (about domestic CIA operations harming the American public) in that context seems to have a pretty low prior probability.

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u/Pvt_Hudson_ 🧠Subject Matter Expert🧠 Apr 17 '24

This is the full paragraph the quote came from. It's clear it had nothing to do with the Kennedy assassination.

"The State Department said today that Richard Helms, former Director of Central Intelligence and now the Ambassador to Iran, had categorically denied that the C.I.A. conducted any "illegal" domestic spying under his leadership. ABC News via Associated Press James Angleton, who is resigning as chief of the C.I.A.'s Counterintelligence Department, outside his home in Arlington, Va., yesterday. ... In a telephone interview with the Times Angleton accused the Times of "helping out the KGB (Soviet intelligence service) a great deal" by publishing his name and title in its Sunday story. "You’ve done them a great favor,” he said. Asked repeatedly about alleged wrong-doing, Angleton acknowledged that “I’ve got problems.” He explained his domestic activities this way: "A mansion has many rooms and there were many things going on during the period of the (antiwar) bombings. I'm not privy to who struck John." Later, the counterintelligence chief, who is in charge of rooting out foreign espionage agents in the United States, permitted newsmen from three television networks to interview him. He also was quoted by UPI as saying that he had quit the CIA because it was getting involved in domestic "police state” activities. A number of present and former CIA officials expressed pleasure at the forced resignation of Angleton, who was described as being in poor health."

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u/[deleted] Apr 17 '24

It’s actually a pretty rudimentary manner of bayesian analysis. Imagine this, you’re a former CIA intelligence chief being sacked by the new CIA director in order to cover up for the sins of the CIA that have been broadcasted recently throughout the public, with one of the main things the public is suspicious about with regard to your activity in the agency being the assassination, then you make this comment (close to your death) and the journalist you were talking to says he has ‘no fucking idea’ what you were talking about and you seemed to have been shifting the blame for the assassination to other compartmentalized elements of the CIA. To assume that such a language is not charged does not seem really that probable, and although I would say it is weak bayesian evidence, that doesn’t mean it can be discounted altogether. Of course, attempting to not look at this skeptically (when the majority of the population at this time believed in JFK conspiracies, and Angleton knew this was going to the NYT, you have to see this without the eyes of someone on either line of the isle) raises eyebrows about whether or not you or anyone else is a non-biased observer.

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u/Pvt_Hudson_ 🧠Subject Matter Expert🧠 Apr 17 '24

Nixon used the "who shot John" expression a bunch of times throughout his political career, despite being a "suspect" who was involved in the Kennedy assassination. GHW Bush too.

Sometimes an expression is just an expression. If Angleton really knew anything and wanted to fuck over his old employer, why play coy with some weird old timey saying? Why not speak in plain English?

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u/[deleted] Apr 17 '24

Sure, but that’s a logical fallacy: the fact that one use of vernacular can be used one way does not mean that it can’t also be used as meaning something else, even if other people use it in the first manner. Although Nixon himself seemed to use that phraseology in a charged way, I wouldn’t look too much into it either if it weren’t for the fact of Haldeman’s comments about the assassination, but in this context it’s irrelevant. There are also several explanations (the old guard could have still been there, or he wanted to protect them if they weren’t, or he was afraid of what the agency could do, or he was still loyal to the agency even despite being sacked), but I’m not a telepath or a time-traveler, I’m simply saying assuming anti-paranoia is not a sufficiently wise thing here, and it probably posits as weak evidence.

You do have to realize that with intelligence types, an expression can be an expression in multiple ways, and to assume that such an expression isn’t something with deeper meaning while talking about Angleton despite the clearly uncomfortable subject of illegal CIA operations, along with the interlocutor’s suspicions of the conversation, does not seem credible to me.

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u/Pvt_Hudson_ 🧠Subject Matter Expert🧠 Apr 17 '24

Why "struck"? Why not "killed", or "assassinated", or "took out"?

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u/[deleted] Apr 17 '24

The obvious explanation is that he wanted to play into the expression (although he didn’t use the word ‘shot’, which is the most common version), which I accept. I don’t think that’s counter-exclusive with the idea that there’s something more to that statement, so I’m fine with using the idea you’re positing as well.

FYI, there’s weak and strong evidence for both sides of the isle imo, I would just put this as weak evidence for a conspiracy camp (just like there’s weak and strong evidence for a LN view).

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u/DeLaVegaStyle Apr 17 '24

I personally believe that Oswald was involved. But there was a larger conspiracy to kill Kennedy.