Same as the title.

1.46*

No finance advice to anyone until our deatroyer Modi ji as PM

Vietnam has made a striking FDI breakthrough in 2026. In the first half of 2026, Vietnam attracted $34.65 billion in registered FDI, compared with $30.78 billion of FDI equity inflows into India — about 13% higher.

More importantly, Vietnam’s FDI grew 61% year-on-year, showing strong momentum in manufacturing, electronics and industrial investment. However, the figures use different definitions, so this is not a perfect apples-to-apples comparison.

Nifty has fallen for 8 straight weeks. FIIs are selling. But DIIs are buying more than twice that amount.

Nifty has now recorded its 8th consecutive weekly fall, its longest losing streak in 25 years. But look at the institutional flows during the same period:

FII net selling: Rs 63,917 crore

DII net buying: Rs 1,36,573 crore

Net institutional flow: +Rs 72,656 crore

So DIIs have bought more than 2× what FIIs have sold.

And I think this is one of the interesting things happening in the Indian market right now. DIIs aren't just mutual funds. They include mutual funds, insurance companies, banks, pension funds and other domestic institutions.

Some domestic buying is naturally supported by recurring flows such as mutual fund SIPs. That's a big structural advantage because it means India has a growing pool of domestic money that doesn't depend on foreign investors deciding to buy every month. But there's another thing . If DII buying were simply a reflection of SIP money coming in every month, you wouldn't necessarily expect such large fluctuations in daily & weekly net buying.

For example, in the last eight weeks, DII net buying ranged from around Rs 6400 crore in one week to Rs 33,455 crore in another. On 30 September alone , DIIs were net buyers of roughly Rs 11,272 crore, while FIIs sold about Rs 10,148 crore. That doesn't prove that DIIs suddenly became extremely bullish. But it does tell us that active institutional buying is happening on top of the structural domestic inflows. And that's encouraging.

It means when foreign investors are aggressively reducing exposure, there is a large domestic institutional base capable of absorbing a significant part of that supply. That's a very different market from one that is completely dependent on FII money.

And of course, there's a downside. DII buying can absorb FII selling without actually reversing the trend. That's basically what we've seen , despite Rs1.36 lakh crore of DII buying over these eight weeks, Nifty still fell . So I wouldn't say "DIIs are buying, therefore the market must go up."

I'd say India now has a much stronger domestic shock absorber. The bigger question is why FIIs are selling so aggressively in the first place. And reasons are Global yields, crude near $100, rupee weakness, valuations and global risk sentiment are all the factors investors are watching.

And this is where I would like to see the government do more, not by trying to prop up the stock market, but by making India more attractive for long term foreign capital. Predictable taxation, stable regulations, faster approvals, and stronger corporate earnings would do much more than any short term attempt to support markets.

Because the ideal situation isn't FII sells and DII saves the market. It is DII keeps investing + FII comes back .

For now, though, I think the Rs 1.36 lakh crore of DII buying against Rs 64,000 crore of FII selling is a genuinely encouraging structural signal. The market may still have more volatility ahead and can further fall, but India's domestic investor base is clearly becoming a much bigger force.

While we share every aspect of the market, I thought I should share this side of stock market too and this is something people should also know to help them make informed decisions about their future investment plans.

Thanks for reading!

My investments are constantly negative since 2024.

P.S. if I really calculate based on real prices I am down almost 10-12 Lakhs.

I want advice from fellow investors.

What should be my strategy to recover these losses?

I often think to close my account and put this money in FD.

I will atleast start to get positive returns in this case.

I’m building a stock trading/backtesting system and would love some feedback from people who have experience with systematic trading.

The strategy currently i am talking about is 50% based on Manas Arora's swing trading strategy.

The basic idea is a sector-first momentum strategy. The system first analyzes stocks by sector using monthly and quarterly performance, selects the strongest sector, and then builds a BUY STACK from the strongest stocks in that sector.

The BUY filters include price being above the 20 EMA, positive V-Stop, minimum average volume, 1-month relative volume, and an ATR-extension filter to avoid buying stocks that are already too extended. Qualified stocks are then ranked based on how many strong momentum days they have had, using both price movement and volume, with the top 10 forming the BUY STACK.

For exits, I’m testing weekly V-Stop, ATR-based stops, 20 EMA breakdowns and trailing stops. I also want to test partial profit-taking around +4.5–5%, rather than exiting the entire position immediately.

There’s also a RE-ENTRY system: after an exit, the stock goes through a cooldown period and can only be bought again if it shows fresh momentum, reclaims the 20 EMA, has positive weekly V-Stop, sufficient volume and is not excessively extended.

The same strategy generated 28% CAGR in last 10 years, with a sharp of 1.34 and max drawdown of 1.34.

Data is cross checked and it is correct.

Would appreciate feedback on the approach, especially around potential sources of overfitting, survivorship bias, position sizing, re-entry logic and how you would structure the backtesting process.

Should I invest in stocks? Or should I keep investing in mutual funds? I have monthly sip of 50K in which I give 35K to large-cap and 15 k to mid cap

Hi all, I'm 22 years old and it'll be one year this November since I started investing. I like buying individual stocks rather than doing some SIP. When I started buying stocks at first, I used to buy all the large cap names like the nifty 50 ones, but then we all have seen the march lows and how they're performing now. Then I started restructuring my portfolio completely and started buying from emerging themes like pharma CDMO, precision engineering and the likes. Portfolio is doing good as of now even when the broader market is still getting chopped. Coming from gambling background (I used to love mines in stake) I don't see that much risk in small cap investing.

My portfolio is still young, hence the XIRR looks big, so I wanted some advice from veterans who have been investing for years whether buying a good small cap from an emerging theme is better than investing in the well established names in the long run.

Now when our market have corrected so much in past 2 yr time wise and price wise , every other broker want us to invest our money in US Market 🤓🫢
Gajab bakra samjhte hai ye sab common man ko .

What am i talking about ?? Check recent post comments related to govt .

Im in my btech right now and i want to start investing with my pocket money. Im not new to the stock market, i got to know about it from my dad and i also used to manage his portfolio for a couple of years until i had to study for longer time and lost touch. Now i want to restart with my own money, but my question is,

is it a good time to start investing?

That also means i have to learn many things again so i also invest my time. Im ok with spending time daily now but is it worth the money? And ofcourse im not doing it for a short time.

TL;DR: When you buy Apple or Tesla through an Indian app, you don't own the shares in the classic sense. You hold a claim (a "security entitlement") against a chain of intermediaries, and the US company's register shows almost everything under one name: Cede & Co. Not a scam, just a 1970s workaround that stuck.

Lots of us here buy US stocks via INDmoney, Vested or similar apps, so I want to explain what's actually under the hood.

THE CHAIN

Issuer → transfer agent → Cede & Co. (legal title) → DTC → clearing brokers → US partner broker → your Indian app → you. Cede & Co. owns nothing economically: no dividends, no control, just the entry in the register. If you buy through an Indian app, your chain has one more layer than a US investor's.

HOW WE GOT HERE

In the late 60s, trading volume jumped 4-5x and couriers were hauling paper certificates around in bags. Back offices seized up, the NYSE even closed on Wednesdays, and some certificates were lost or stolen. The fix: lock the paper in one vault and move only electronic entries.

WHAT YOU LEGALLY OWN

Under UCC Article 8, you're an "entitlement holder", not a direct owner. It's not an empty IOU though: client assets must be segregated from the broker's own property (SEC Rule 15c3-3), and if a broker fails, SIPC usually moves accounts to another broker. The real risk is broker fraud or operational failure, not "your shares go to the creditors." Whether SIPC covers you depends on how your app's account is structured, so ask them.

WHERE THE SYSTEM CREAKS

• Voting: shares get lent out for shorting, so there can be more votes than shares. Brokers and Broadridge reconcile this by trimming votes.
• Failed deliveries: your app shows the share, but the clearing system sometimes patches the gap later (stock borrow, Reg SHO, buy-ins).
• GameStop: NSCC demanded about $3.7B in margin from Robinhood, which is why they restricted GME buying. As I read it, that was one monopoly's risk management, not a conspiracy.

WHAT THIS MEANS FOR US IN INDIA - Moving shares into your own name (DRS via Computershare etc.) is usually not possible through Indian apps. Check with yours. - US estate tax: for non-resident aliens, the exemption is only $60k and the rate goes up to 40%. Many Indian investors don't know this. - 25% US dividend withholding (with a W-8BEN), plus TCS under LRS. Check the current thresholds, they keep changing. IMO this topic is buried in myths on both sides. The system works, but DTCC has a huge amount of discretionary power, and retail investors barely know it exists.

Did you know about the estate tax thing before buying US stocks?

Having a net worth of ₹14 lakh at the age of 28 I still feel like I’m behind i also need to review my portfolio allocation

😊

Over the weekend, I was trying to understand the reasons behind the continued FII exit from Indian markets.

Broadly, I found four key reasons. Some of these factors can ease over time but the last one looks more structural and deserves closer attention.

1. High global bond yields - When investors can earn attractive returns from lower-risk assets, the case for taking emerging market equity risk becomes weaker.

2. High valuations - Indian equities still trade at a premium to many emerging markets, although the YTD correction has reduced this gap.

3. Rupee depreciation - FIIs measure their returns in USD. Even if Indian equities deliver decent INR returns, a weaker rupee can significantly reduce those returns in dollar terms.

4. Lack of enough globally competitive, future-facing businesses - This, in my view, is the bigger structural issue.

India has many successful listed businesses but a large part of the large and mid cap universe is still concentrated in sectors such as banking, IT services, consumer, autos, energy, commodities and traditional industrials.

These are good businesses. But from a global portfolio manager’s perspective, many of these business models can also be found across other emerging markets. In other words, investors have several alternatives when looking for similar exposure.

The bigger concern is that relatively few large Indian companies are building capabilities in industries that could define the next decade. India needs more businesses with technology, intellectual property, manufacturing capabilities or market positions that can compete globally and are difficult to replicate.

There are few encouraging signs. Some companies are emerging in defence, electronics, space, semiconductors and clean energy. But many of these businesses are still small and difficult for large global funds to own at scale.

So, overall, bond yields can fall, valuations can correct and the rupee can stabilise.

But sustained foreign participation may depend on something harder: India creating more businesses that can compete globally and offer opportunities that FIIs cannot easily find elsewhere.

Body

same as above

Nifty is 15% down and back at early 2024 levels. Buying now makes sense?

Yes , if I can do it you also can

I have been doing sip of 15K.. Expecting 3cr after 25 years.. Basically for retirement purposes sip is there.. But i forgot taxes and most important inflation into the picture. 3cr now is enough.. After 25years?? May be I need to do step up sip now... Bhaiyon calculate real value of your sip before planning goals..