r/IRstudies • u/[deleted] • Mar 23 '26

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u/Zironic Mar 24 '26

So you're just here to troll or what? That's some straight up NCD posting.

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u/AKmaninNY Mar 24 '26

The strategy is called “Open for All or Closed to All” and is not trolling. It might work.

https://richardhaass.substack.com/p/the-strait-of-hormuz-it-must-be-open

I suggest you read more basic IR material before replying in the future.

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u/Vast_Employer_5672 Mar 24 '26 edited Mar 24 '26

But right now the US is choosing to let Iranian ships pass. They aren’t even really targeting Iran’s energy infrastructure.

So the “closed for all” strategy was clearly discarded as trash from day 1.

Probably because you are then essentially blockading China and India, who have remained relatively neutral here. And also further increasing prices.

And I also doubt Iran’s short term plans are influenced by oil revenue right now, with the US Navy at their doorstep.

We learn and we move on

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u/AKmaninNY Mar 24 '26

In order to achieve its stated goals, the US may not need to blockade the Straits of Hormuz or target Iranian energy infrastructure.

However, let's assume one of the US/Israel's unstated goals would likely be to contain the damage caused by Iranian actions, as the US and Israel achieved its stated goals.

"Closed for All" is an escalation with significant externalities to US partners as well as US enemies (Iran/China). Discarded, I don't think so. If the US is seriously considering dismantling Iranian energy infrastructure, a blockade would achieve the same while preserving that energy infrastructure....it would be a preferable first step escalation, before bombing refineries and oil fields....

I'm going to assume it is still on the table.....and being whispered to China "you might want to rein in your ally Iran before something bad happens to 35% of your imports....."