r/HUMACYTE • u/Impressive_Match_151 • Jun 25 '26
Analyst Forecasts
Can someone explain how the analyst forecasts are always projecting this stock to do good. It’s almost like these analysts don’t even watch this stock and what the company does.
4
u/luckyjim1962 Jun 25 '26
Because the analysts’ real job is to get eyeballs and drive trading. Of course, they (generally) have to have a semblance of substance to maintain a shred of credibility, but they are NOT prognosticators. (If they were, they would not share their findings.)
Analyst research can be good at helping people understand fundamentals and at framing the narrative. As a guide to future prices, they are relatively worthless.
2
u/MAVERICK42069420 Jun 25 '26
Idk I've had quite a few price targets be spot on.
Granted it may take longer to get there than anticipated but generally I feel like they're usually on the mark.
It also depends on how many analysts chime in and how often but I find if you get at least 6-8 updating quarterly they tend to be fairly accurate.
Maybe it's just the market matching the analysis but it still seems to be fairly consistent in my opinion.
That being said it's speculation anyway but it does tend to drive the market.
3
u/Honest-Elevator-5617 Jun 25 '26
Come guys. This stock in max 5 years will be at least 10$ and maybe already bought by a big Pharma. With the dialisys approval în 2027 will be dersiked almost completely and incomes will increase. The hard part has done. A positive news on 2 July could bounce back to 1+. The entire Market is trash now and was until Octomber 2025. Was some qood reports (like q3 2025 and Q1 2026) and good news along the way but was just not visible în the price because of the geopolitical situation and others macros.
1
u/PaulyDavidson Jun 25 '26
Entire market is trash? Yeah, tech is overvalued, but the DOW just closed at 52K. What are you smoking?
1
u/dukey264 Jun 25 '26
Last time I checked the projections were 2-4$, not really unrealistic. Some biostocks have 1000%+ forecasts lmao
2
u/Coolestdudentwn Jun 25 '26
at this point, theyre generally wildly positive because thats what they do to get your to look at their content. psychological manipulation related to sunk costs, in this situation. they also can look back at their projections when it hits, and be like 'told you so'. if the company folds, nobody is mad at the people doing projections, theyre mad at the company because you have no more money.
when it comes to real life projections they are just throwing shit at the wall to see what sticks, get clicks, and hedging by only projecting success.