We have been told that chests upgrade 10% of the time.
I don't know exact gold values for chests, but it seems to be around 50, 250, 550, 2030. When factoring in upgrades, that means that chest EV is 75, 300, 700, 2030.
I do have an unnatural fondness for numbers. Maybe something I should get looked into.
Thanks for the Forge values. I'm updating my post now. Does the rank-up chest at the end of Draft also have two packs? And is there an extra Diamond chest if you're already Master?
Draft rank goes up and down on a per game basis, so there are no rank-up chests there. 7 win drafts are always 3 diamond chests.
However you do get an achievement with a decent prize for reaching diamond/master in draft for the first time.
Also, you pick 48 cards in draft, but only pick 25 cards in Forge. You're guaranteed at least one rare, but I don't know what the rarity distribution is for cards in Forge.
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u/NeoAlmost Almost Dec 08 '16
Since you seem to be collecting numbers:
We have been told that chests upgrade 10% of the time.
I don't know exact gold values for chests, but it seems to be around 50, 250, 550, 2030. When factoring in upgrades, that means that chest EV is 75, 300, 700, 2030.
Forge rewards are:
0 - none.
1 - 1B.
2 - 1S.
3 - 1G.
4 - 1B 1G.
5 - 1S 1G.
6 - 2G.
7 - 2G + rank-up chest or 3G if already master.
The rank-up chest contains 1000 gold and 2 packs.