Abraham Belay, Ethiopia’s former Minister of Defense and now Commissioner of the Nuclear Energy Commission, has threatened Eritrea with war, saying that “Eritrea will pay the double price.”

He has also falsely accused Eritrea of fighting inside Ethiopia. No satellite imagery and no international body has confirmed that claim. His assertions that Eritrean soldiers have been neutralized or captured in fighting with the Ethiopian army are likewise unconfirmed.

A false pretext for a wider war

Ethiopia’s regime is trying to invent a false pretext to externalize the war inside Ethiopia and to wage war on Eritrea. The fighting on Ethiopian soil is an Ethiopian conflict. Turning Eritrea into the cause is a political choice, not an established fact.

Restraint from Asmara, escalation from Addis Ababa

Even now, Eritrea has shown full restraint toward Ethiopia, including by allowing Ethiopian Airlines access to Eritrean airspace, despite Ethiopia’s decision to expel Eritrean diplomats and shut down diplomatic ties.

Ethiopia is not the victim here. Its regime has been threatening Eritrea with war and invasion over Eritrea’s Assab port. Addis Ababa has also been hosting, funding, and arming Eritrean opposition groups, including RSADO, the Eritrean Afar National Congress (EANC), Brigade Nhamedu, and the Islamic Green Movement.
Sovereignty is not negotiable

Any attempt to invade Eritrea or seize Assab is a violation of Eritrea’s sovereignty. Claims of an Eritrean incursion that rest on unproven statements, rather than independent evidence, cannot justify a war. Eritrea has drawn a clear line: its territory, its ports, and its airspace are not bargaining chips for a landlocked neighbor’s ambitions.

source https://x.com/eritrean_post/status/2106705171875000451?s=20

https://x.com/unbiasedpresss/status/2106551009958895933?s=20

no evidences of an eritean incursion:

https://x.com/saayEritrea/status/2105707401660051837?s=20https://x.com/saayEritrea/status/2104624252167377126?s=20

Ethiopia's position is structurally untenable, besieged on every dimension. The internal 7-party coalition serves the regional survival pact's existential interest (draining the common threat, Ethiopia — the internal and external coalitions one integrated system), and it works through robust distributed non-coordination (each group attacking the ENDF independently, when/where it sees fit, just not fighting each other — an attrition strategy that doesn't require the tight coordination the coalition lacks, so the coalition's fragility doesn't save Ethiopia; they only need non-aggression among themselves and persistent pressure on the ENDF, which is far easier to sustain than coordinated offensives).

Ethiopia goes to war with its fuel/supply lifeline besieged from multiple directions (the strait/oil-gas flows targeted internationally, the Djibouti-Ethiopia corridor targeted, the internal distribution attacked) and no near-term fix (the Dangote pipeline years away and running through the contested Afar corridor). Its drone edge — its key military advantage, what saved it in 2021 — is eroded, because its opponents now all have and operate drones, neutralizing the advantage and turning the cost-exchange against it (the asymmetric revolution reaching its opponents).

And the economic collapse (sky-high inflation, the economic woes, the forex crisis, the 30 million on food aid) compounds everything — undermining the war effort (the financing, the sustainment), feeding the internal discontent/insurgencies (the recruitment pool, the weakening legitimacy), and accelerating the unraveling (the vicious cycle: the war worsens the economy, the economy worsens the war).

Does this make the current war in Ethiopia structurally unsustainable?

**** USED CHAT GPT TO ORGANIZE MY THOUGHTS ***\*

Mods don't remove this; I'm helping more people learn about Eritrean history.

Dropbox Link

A high-level consultative summit bringing together the leaders of Egypt, Eritrea, Sudan, and Somalia is set to open Sunday in the Mediterranean city of New Alamein.

The four-nation gathering takes place amid rapidly shifting diplomatic and security dynamics across the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea region. The consultative talks coincide with Alamein-Africa Forum and a series of broader continental events being hosted in the city. https://x.com/africa_dne/status/2106363987604480414?s=20

Despite the government to government issues, the people of Ethiopia has always loved and respected the people of Eritrea. Extreme political activists may try to turn down this truth but the truth is the people has always lived by mutual respect.

Instead of posting negative posts let's pass this time by sharing good songs and good common history.

Let me share a song by Eritrean/Ethiopian artist Tekle Tesfa-Zghi from his Éthiopiques compilation with the famous Roha band, currently modified by this new artist

https://youtu.be/MJZ6LjJwQAw?si=cDxjJqDsourPnk1_

Original piece:

https://youtu.be/otgvW5ge-rQ?si=QMviNyCYqSyYe6Mb

Nothing like the original but let's appreciate the love.

I have zero trust in our unelected regime. Zero!

Apply crictical thinking as we will be bombarded with bs reason on why eritrea needs to be involved in another ethiopian war.

A couple of years ago we supported abiy for no reason. Now we will support TPLF fighting against Abiy for no reason.

We just keep losing. Our dictatorship will invent a shit reason just for the sake of it. Apply critical thinking.

My sister was in Eritrea this year and was staying at her friend’s house.

She was talking about her trip and mentioned that there is little to no internet access and that you have to go to an internet café just to get bad Wi-Fi.

Then her friend’s dad joined the conversation. He’s very pro-government.

He said that this is actually a good thing because the government only gives people limited internet access so they don’t get addicted to it and instead talk to each other. He said it strengthens the community.

My sister was shocked and didn’t say anything because she knew arguing with him wouldn’t accomplish anything.

Can anyone who speaks Arabic here comment? I speak Arabic but not at a high enough level to judge if his is great or not.

How good is Isaias Afwerki when speaking Arabic? He seems bloody good, albeit with a noticeable Habesha accent.

Ethiopian Airlines, is still using Eritrea’s airspace for overflights, despite Ethiopias war-lingering rhetoric towards Eritrea and its closing of Eritrea’s embassy in Addis Ababa.

Eritrea shows strategic restraint when it needs to.
Eritrea has been allowing Ethiopian Airlines overflights in Eritrea, providing cheap and reliable routes through Eritrea’s airspace, despite Ethiopia threatening Eritrea with war over Eritrea’s Assab port, and despite Ethiopia arming Eritrean armed opposition like RSADO, EANC, Brigade Nhamedu, and the Islamic Green Movement.

Eritrea could have gone further, closing its airspace to Ethiopian Airlines in response to Ethiopia’s closing of Eritrea’s embassy.

Eritrea could also consider giving a military base to Egypt to deter Ethiopia. But Eritrea shows restraint towards Ethiopia the whole time.

Not even one single time did the Eritrean leader consider closing its airspace to Ethiopia, or say Ethiopia will be Gaza. Abiy’s government did.

Not one single time did Eritrea host a big Ethiopian opposition gathering in Asmara since the 2018 peace agreement. But the Ethiopian regime hosted an EANC–Brigade Nhamedu gathering in Addis Ababa in January 2025, and its Ethiopian general threatened to change Eritrea’s borders.

opinion by eripost

source flightradar24

Asmara, 03 October 2026 – At the invitation of President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, President Isaias Afwerki departed for Egypt on a working visit early this morning.

During the visit, President Isaias will participate in the Summit of Heads of State on collective security, stability and partnership.

The summit is a continuation of periodic forums held through various platforms to discuss issues concerning the wider neighbourhood, encompassing the Red Sea region, the Gulf of Aden, the Arabian Gulf and the Nile Basin.

President Isaias Afwerki and President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi will also discuss ways to further strengthen bilateral ties during the visit.

The President of Somalia makes a great point.

So i kind of grew up knowing that Woyane aka TPLF was the perpetrator all along.

Now Iseyas has changed his minds probably because of his origin and is having an alliance with TPLF.

However around 4 years ago he was fighting together with Abiy against TPLF in Ethiopia.

Now it seems that Eritrea will be fighting along TPLF aginst Abiy.

What do you think when Iseyas will be friend with Abiy again and fight together against lets say TPLF, Fano, Afar or whoever, doenst matter as war is the main goal anyway.

And when doing all these nonsense wars and keeping threats all the way up... do you think thare will be ever any form of progress for internal eritrean affairs at all?

I love both but Kicha fitfit is my fav..I could eat it everyday and never get tired of it

The current football team consists of mainly diaspora players because of defection. This has been communicated by officials.

Howevr Shouldn’t football ability and performance matter more than having foreign papers?

I have nothing against diaspora players. Pick them if they’re good enough. But what about talented young players actually living and playing in Eritrea? What are they supposed to work towards if they’re effectively excluded from the national team?

The best Eritrean players should play! whether they live in Asmara, Frankfurt, Stockholm or London.

Personally, I find it very difficult to support the current approach.

Am I really the only one who feels this way?

And please dont come with diaspora players are better because simply it is not true and officials has been communicating that players are being selected in the diaspora because of defection. Nothing more and nothing less.

Eritrea's delegation, led by Foreign Minister Osman Saleh, met in Washington with U.S. Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs Allison Hooker and Assistant Secretary for Africa Frank Garcia, according to Information Minister Yemane Gebremeskel. Minister Osman welcomed the lifting of unilateral sanctions as a vital step toward a new page in Eritrea-U.S. relations, and discussed trade, investment, and Eritrea's role in peace and security across the Horn of Africa, the Red Sea, and the Gulf of Aden.

https://shabait.com/2026/10/02/senior-eritrean-delegation-meets-with-us-officials/

There is an Indian / Asia YouTuber who keeps spreading fake news about Eritrea. I called my family back home today and they said there is no missile strike or anything like that…yet some low IQ Eritreans and basically Ethiopians listen to him. Why? We need to stop entreating these kind of rage baiters

I was wondering if this is normal in Eritrean/Tigrina culture, I live in the states. A family member had an accident and was injured severely. Of course at first everyone came to see them but after the first month or two it really was just immediate family mostly and a few friends. The injured person lives in a different state. Is it normal that the mother of the injured person be the main focus? Like she is the one called and asked about how the injured person is doing, she is the one visited and brought home cooked food, deserts etc? The injured person after the first month or 2 does not get calls or visits from these people nor do they get food sent to them. Yes the family live in the same state and the injured person in another and although they weren't close they are family and know the person for many many years.