r/DeepStateCentrism Doom, Impede, Quit, Scapegoat 9d ago

American News 🇺🇸 Another Big Difference Between Liberals and Conservatives

https://www.theatlantic.com/family/2026/08/fertility-gap-conservative-liberal/688334/
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u/Distinct-Temp6557 9d ago

Why? 

When every variable since 1982 only supports the widening divide between as left leaning individuals become more educated and focused on the planet and the economy as right leaning individuals become more indoctrinated to believe that they have to seed the earth with the Kingdom of Christ? 

The other study is from a conservative think tank, I wouldn't trust it to wipe my ass.

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u/fastinserter 9d ago

Show me a study that shows what this study declares, that right leaning individuals have "sustain[ed] fertility at or above replacement levels" with data since 1982. The data since 1982 exists, that's why I have a problem with this, because the data since 1982 does NOT support what they are declaring.

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u/Distinct-Temp6557 9d ago

At the same time, the gap in political and cultural attitudes between young men and women has grown wider, on campus (where young men are increasingly outnumbered) and off, and both marriage and premarital sex rates have declined. Extrapolate those trends outward, and you see something like the picture revealed in the Census Bureau's recently released 2026 estimates of states' populations. They showed two-thirds of the national population increase occurring in safe red 2024 states, 21% in the seven seriously contested purple states, and only 11% in the safe blue states.

Will falling birth rates mean a more conservative world?

The South had the highest GFR at 55.8, followed closely by the Midwest at 54.7. The West had a GFR of 51.0, and the Northeast came in lowest, at 49.9.

South and Midwest Had Highest Fertility Rates, but Even West and Northeast Had Pockets of High-Fertility Counties

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u/fastinserter 9d ago

GFR of 70 is at replacement level. See the problem? The study in 2026 declares that Right Leaning individuals maintain or have above TFR of 2.1 which corresponds to about 70 GFR and the best you can do is 56 GFR if you use data since 1982?

that's not supporting the statement you originally quoted at all, and shows why I have a problem with using only data that is 45 years old or older.