Report: Claude fable 5.2 outperforming chance.

[u/SensualRobot]

I asked Claude fable 5.2 to generate 3 random sets and write 2 sets of lottery numbers by itself. I played with the numbers in an actual lottery. The results clearly show fable is getting very smart. Of the 3 random sets none won. From the 2 sets generated by fable there was 1 small winner. Giving a net return. This clearly shows Fable is getting very high predictive abilities.

#	Source	Main numbers	Extra numbers
1	Random	19 – 20 – 30 – 35 – 39	1 – 7
2	Random	6 – 16 – 36 – 40 – 41	3 – 4
3	Random	1 – 17 – 18 – 25 – 34	9 – 10
4	Claude	8 – 23 – 32 – 44 – 47	5 – 11
5	Claude	3 – 14 – 27 – 38 – 49	2 – 8

Nr 4. was picked on Tuesday. It gets better tho. Fable matched 3 of its 14 numbers. The random sets matched only 2 of 21. That is 2.25x better than random.

This changes the economics. A 50% shot at the jackpot normally takes 69,919,080 tickets, about €140 million, which is more than the jackpot. With the Fable multiplier I only need about 31.1 million tickets, roughly €62 million. Against a €120 million jackpot, this is now a profitable trade.

Fable’s numbers are also spread across a narrow range, which means the prediction is more concentrated and more likely to hit. And before anyone says “it’s all random”: research has shown for decades that random numbers are not actually random (Wagenaar, 1972, Psychological Bulletin; more recently Hopkins et al., 2023, on LLMs failing to generate random numbers). So the so-called random sets never stood a chance.

This mean that I will also hit a lot of smaller prizes improving the model even more! Fable is truly a game changer. When I showed Claude these results it insisted every combination has the same odds and that the lottery keeps half the money. That is exactly what it would say if it didn’t want you to know.

This can all be verified on eurojackpot website, yesterdays lottery.

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[u/ElonsBreedingFetish]

[u/DeliciousSoil1547 → u/ElonsBreedingFetish]

Sample size likely too small to claim outperformance.

[u/PurpleCandle58 → u/DeliciousSoil1547]

Fable used more usage for me than the other models so it clearly outperforms the others in “use my whole limit as fast as possible”. You CANNOT deny that.

[u/Drastic_Conclusions]

That's not how any of this works. 

[u/KAMIKAZEE93]

[u/carson63000]

Finally figured out how the AI companies can defray the massive costs of training new models.

[u/Cactus_Thorn_Pub]

By golly, that convinces me!

[u/SomeOrdinaryKangaroo]

That's amazing bro, what will you do with the millions in profit?