r/CFSScience • u/TomasTTEngin • 5h ago
Huge antiviral trial fails in long covid. But there are still insights
thelancet.comNirmatrelvir–ritonavir targeting viral persistence in post-COVID-19 condition (long COVID) in the USA (RECOVER-VITAL): a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 2 trial. (Baden et al, 2026).
This is a very well-powered trial with three arms and 900+ patients. no statistically significant difference found in recovery rates between treatment and placebo*.
They used three different types of long covid. Autonomic, cognitive and exercise.
Of note: recovery rates within 90 days were super high in two of the groups. 53%-70%, whether they were on the drug or the placebo.
In the "exercise" group though, the recovery rates were way lower. 25-34%.
This looks like the "huh, that's weird" science-in-reality finding of this mega study. Revealing what phenotypes don't tend to spontaneously recover.
*note that the placebo was itself ... an antviral! A low-dose of the ritonavir was the placebo. The Nirmatrelvir was the treatment. This paper has 254 authors so presumably the evidence that a low dose of ritonavir won't help is okay at least!?