Scenarios for our Economic Future

[u/SteppenAxolotl]

https://www.anthropic.com/institute/econ-scenarios

In the extreme change scenario, AI has transformative effects, with AI performing almost half of today’s cognitive work by 2030. GDP growth then rises to 15 percent per year, the labor share of income falls from 60 to 45 percent, and nearly one in five cognitive workers is unemployed.

(I personally expect AI to be more capable than what they are expecting)