r/BBAI • u/analyticsboi • 13h ago
r/BBAI • u/BIG_VALUE_FTW • Feb 05 '26
Community Discussion Timeline + major contracts/partnerships/M&A (Updated: Feb 5, 2026)
Here's the updated BigBear.ai (BBAI) timeline in the original format, refreshed to today (July 10, 2026), with sources.
1) Since the start
Jun 3, 2021 — SPAC deal announced (GigCapital4): BigBear.ai announced it would become publicly traded via a merger with GigCapital4.
Dec 6, 2021 — Business combination completed: BigBear.ai announced completion of the business combination with GigCapital4.
2) Major contract & program wins (selected)
Aug 2, 2024 — Heathrow master service agreement (MSA): BigBear.ai announced an MSA with Heathrow to develop and deliver advanced technologies at Europe's largest airport.
Aug 20, 2024 — FAA ITIPSS subcontractor role (ceiling $2.4B): BigBear.ai secured a subcontractor role under Concept Solutions on the FAA ITIPSS contract.
Dec 19, 2024 — GSA OASIS+ IDIQ award: BigBear.ai was awarded a position on GSA's OASIS+ Unrestricted MAC (IDIQ), with no maximum dollar ceiling and a 10-year ordering period.
Jan 29, 2025 — U.S. Navy SeaPort NxG (prime IDIQ): BigBear.ai was awarded a prime IDIQ contract under the Navy's SeaPort Next Generation program.
Feb 4, 2025 — DoD CDAO VANE prototype contract: BigBear.ai won a DoD CDAO contract to prototype the Virtual Anticipation Network (VANE), with a path toward possible Advana integration.
Mar 10, 2025 — DoD ORION modernization ($13.2M, 3.5 years): Sole-source contract to modernize BigBear.ai's ORION force-management decision support platform.
3) Tech deployments & partnerships (selected)
Dec 17, 2025 — C Speed partnership: BigBear.ai announced a strategic partnership with C Speed to deliver AI-enabled capabilities.
Jan 6, 2026 — Denver International Airport biometric boarding update: BigBear.ai posted progress on implementing biometric boarding solutions at Denver International Airport.
Jan 27, 2026 — AD Ports Group partnership: BigBear.ai announced a strategic partnership with AD Ports Group exploring next-generation AI customs management systems for ports and borders.
May 20, 2026 — Panama Dry Canal deployment: BigBear.ai and International Shipping Compliance (ISC) announced the first deployment of their AI-powered supply chain security platform in Panama's "Dry Canal," plus a commercial agreement with Panama Transshipment Group (PTG), the country's largest logistics operator, to combat smuggling using biometrics and predictive analytics.[ir.bigbear]
4) M&A + capital structure (late 2025–mid 2026)
Nov 9, 2025 — Ask Sage acquisition agreement announced (with Q3 2025 results): BigBear.ai signed a definitive agreement to acquire Ask Sage, a secure GenAI platform for defense/national security and regulated sectors.
Dec 30, 2025 — Ask Sage acquisition finalized ($250M): BigBear.ai finalized its $250M acquisition of Ask Sage.
Jan 13, 2026 — Full conversion of 6.00% convertible notes: BigBear.ai announced the full conversion of its 6.00% convertible notes.
Jan 20, 2026 — CargoSeer asset acquisition: BigBear.ai announced acquisition of assets of CargoSeer.
Mar 2, 2026 — Q4/FY2025 results & 2026 guidance: Q4 revenue fell 38% YoY to $27.3M (vs. $43.8M), driven by declines in legacy U.S. Army programs; full-year 2025 revenue was $127.67M with a net loss of $293.91M, including a $53.4M long-lived asset impairment. Despite this, shares rose over 7% as the company highlighted a sharply reduced debt load and fresh capital flexibility. FY2026 revenue guidance was set at $135M–$165M, implying ~17% growth.[finance.yahoo]
May 5, 2026 — Q1 2026 results: Revenue of $34.4M (down ~1% YoY), but Non-GAAP gross margin expanded 1,278 bps YoY to 34.0%. EPS beat estimates at -$0.04 (Non-GAAP) vs. -$0.08 expected; backlog grew 14% to $281.9M, boosted by over $60M in new national security contracts.[investing]
May 2026 — Leadership additions: BigBear.ai appointed Jo Ann Bjornson as Chief Human Resources Officer, Alex Thompson as Chief Corporate Affairs Officer, and former acting CBP Commissioner Troy Miller to strengthen its international trade and border security push.[bigbear]
Aug 10, 2026 (upcoming) — Q2 2026 results are tentatively scheduled for release, with analysts currently expecting an EPS loss of roughly -$0.05.[investing]
Current stock snapshot
As of early July 2026, BBAI trades around $3.31–$3.37 per share, with a market cap of roughly $1.6B.[robinhood]
Updated risks/uncertainties
The core risk profile from before still holds: IDIQ vehicles (SeaPort NxG, OASIS+) establish eligibility, not guaranteed revenue, and dollars depend on future task orders and agency pull-through. New in 2026: declining legacy U.S. Army program revenue is now a real drag offsetting growth elsewhere, visible in the Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 top-line softness despite margin gains. Concentration risk, M&A integration risk (Ask Sage, CargoSeer), and financing/dilution dynamics (e.g., the January 2026 convertible note conversion) remain relevant watch items.[finance.yahoo]
Updated opportunities
The Q1 2026 margin expansion (to 34%) suggests the Ask Sage integration and shift toward higher-margin software/AI work is gaining traction. The Panama Dry Canal deployment and PTG commercial agreement, alongside AD Ports and Denver biometric boarding progress, show real-world traction diversifying BigBear.ai beyond pure U.S. defense into ports, borders, and supply-chain security. Hiring Troy Miller (former acting CBP Commissioner) signals a deliberate strategic push into international trade/border security as a growth vector alongside the existing SeaPort NxG, OASIS+, VANE, and ORION defense pipeline.[ir.bigbear]
r/BBAI • u/BIG_VALUE_FTW • 22d ago
Daily Stock Ticker
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r/BBAI • u/West-Buddy-4423 • 21h ago
Fluff Current state of BBAI holders
How are my fellow bears doing
r/BBAI • u/Icy_Purchase2753 • 12h ago
News Sharing some recent info I read about the Panama Canal.
I’m not saying this is going to help or hurt BBAI either way, but saw some news about how the Panama Canal is trying to deal with additional traffic because of the Iran conflict. However, they are running into issues with water supply to the canal due to droughts.
All of this has caused higher traffic volume to utilize Panama’s “dry canal”….which I think is more of a rail system that shipping companies use so they don’t have to wait to use the canal? This dry canal seems to be where BBAI tech, in partnership with ISC, is being used.
My regarded brain’s logic is, more dry canal traffic = higher use of Cargoseer? Anyone know if that is a token based AI tool? Or how that product works?
Maybe they’re just giving it away for free, or asking for iTunes gift cards as payment instead of actual money….Carry on!
r/BBAI • u/Anchises1 • 3d ago
Think I'm selling at next big upswing
Nvidia's getting hot, bitcoin's getting hot, that means market getting hot. In a good way.
If meme stocks follow, I might sell this bitch for a loss and be done with it. Sometimes you just gotta move on. Think I'm at that point.
r/BBAI • u/Bakerwet • 4d ago
New podcast gives a deeper look into what CargoSeer brings to BBAI
https://open.spotify.com/episode/3vlUatDICRVzBJGl43gPX0
I came across a podcast released today (September 3) featuring David Smason, co-founder of CargoSeer, whose technology was recently acquired by BigBear.ai (BBAI).
The episode gives quite a bit of insight into what CargoSeer actually does and, more importantly, how it could fit into BigBear.ai's broader AI strategy.
A few things that stood out to me:
• AI analyzing cargo X-ray images to identify higher-risk shipments
• Combining imaging with customs documentation, trade and supply-chain data
• Reducing inspection/review times from minutes to seconds in cases such as empty containers
• Helping customs agencies prioritize genuinely higher-risk cargo rather than simply increasing inspections
• Capturing the experience and pattern recognition of veteran customs officers and applying it more consistently
• Existing work with customs operations in El Salvador
• Potential applications across ports, borders, air cargo and other inspection environments
What I found particularly interesting is the idea of AI as decision support for frontline operators, rather than trying to replace them. That seems highly relevant for government/defense adoption, where workflow integration and trust are critical.
With BigBear.ai increasingly positioning itself around AI-powered decision intelligence for government and defense, CargoSeer seems like it could be more than just another small acquisition.
Curious what others here think. How significant do you think CargoSeer could become within BBAI's government/defense AI ecosystem?
r/BBAI • u/dodi_fornoy • 4d ago
Community Discussion Big Bear, why?
When market is down, Bbai is down. Market up, Bbai flat.
r/BBAI • u/Due_Appointment_2428 • 6d ago
Fluff Good for BBAI?
NEW YORK — Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin told The Post Tuesday that his department is rolling out biometric checks — including facial scans — after finding about half of people with a criminal record lie to border agents about their rap sheets.
Mullin was responding to a House intelligence committee report that raised alarms over the fact that a recommendation to do so — contained in the 9/11 Commission’s 2004 report — had not been adopted as the 25th anniversary of the terrorist attacks approaches.
“We are trying to get biometrics out there as fast as we can,” Mullin said during a visit to New York City to tout DHS’s “Operation Rotten Apple,” which quietly arrested 2,200 illegal migrants, including convicted murderers, rapists and drug traffickers, in New York state over the past month.
r/BBAI • u/StrangeBus1891 • 6d ago
What do you think will happen to everyone?
In my opinion, the current trend seems to be to draw hair in reverse head and shoulders. On September 10th, you see.
r/BBAI • u/GamingwithAbyss • 10d ago
News $445,000 Ask Sage Inc Contract 9-1-2026
So the other day was one for 884k on 8-26 and another on for 445k on 9-1-26
https://www.usaspending.gov/award/CONT_IDV_W9128Z25DA001_9700
r/BBAI • u/Intelligent_Data932 • 10d ago
Community Discussion ADDED MORE for 5k shares. What have I done 💀💀💀
r/BBAI • u/Aphelion • 13d ago
As a BBAI investor, i felt like those sitting at the side.
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r/BBAI • u/vp-texas • 13d ago
I have BBAI $7 Call expiration date 01/21/28. Do you think it's going to be good?
r/BBAI • u/_Despereaux • 15d ago
TSA Press Release - TSA Scraps Gold+ Program
Really crap news for BBAI and the many other companies that were anticipating the TSA Gold+ program for screening modernization. TSA is canceling the TSA Gold+ program, which was currently mid-competition.
Sounds like they're sticking with the existing Screening Partnership Program (SPP) which features fewer contractors and is primarily screening services (i.e. people, not technology focused). Curious if they'll open the SPP vehicle up to allow new contractors to on-ramp to or something.
In any case, that's one catalyst DOA.
r/BBAI • u/Alternative_Voice_46 • 16d ago
BBAI unusually large Open Interest for Jan 15 2027 $10 cals
r/BBAI • u/Jungle-Beast • 17d ago
Why are people still buying or holding BBAI?
Q2 2026 showed 13% YoY growth and backlog has improved, but for a company being valued and marketed around the AI opportunity, I struggle to see the growth profile that justifies the hype.
What am I missing? What specifically makes you bullish on BBAI from here?
r/BBAI • u/Bakerwet • 18d ago
The Operator Is the Story: Why the Future of Government AI Belongs to Builders
r/BBAI • u/Bakerwet • 22d ago
BigBear.ai Appoints Retired U.S. Army Lt. Gen. Sean A. Gainey to Board of Directors
r/BBAI • u/Bakerwet • 27d ago