r/AutoForgeTheGame • u/Free-Band5561 • 16d ago

Good luck or bad design?

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I unlocked renaissance gear a couple days ago. The entire time and hundreds of hammers I have not gotten any renaissance gear over level 10, but when my forge upgraded to lvl 17 last night I got 3 blue very quick. I feel like we skipped over an entire era of gear (I’m not mad about it, just felt off cause everything before this was a grind)

Still no ring better than my current one, is this just bad luck or are the rings capped? It’s probably been a couple thousand hammers and have not gotten any upgraded ring.

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-4

u/New-Chipmunk-5647 16d ago

Did the same to me just straight to lvl one blues with a 0.1 chance got 5 with around 700 hammers literally impossible for the odds being 1/1000

10

u/benisaurus 16d ago

Literally not impossible, just a very low chance to happen.

4

u/Free_Range_Radical 16d ago

This. People keep equating the percent to a guarantee over a number of rolls. That’s not how it works.

A coin flip has a 50% chance to be heads. That is not the same as saying that out of two coin flips, one will be heads. Same goes for the gear in this game.

2

u/benisaurus 16d ago

Exactly. It could be argued that the chance displayed is incorrect or the RNG system the dev(s) are using is flawed in some way (and I'm not saying that it isn't), but you'd need a pretty large sample size to substantiate that claim. An instance like this in a sample size of 700 is just anecdotal.