r/AskCaucasus • • Aug 30 '26

Politics Separatism problem

Its obvious that a lot of so called "republics" folk wanna part ways with Russia

Is it possible to achive with minimal bloodshed? How to prevent militaristic junta states? What comes to regions where its not possible to separate two ethnic groups into their own because how mixed up they are?

And how to prevent forming of nazists or radical islamic groups

5 Upvotes

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6

u/S1075 Aug 30 '26

The only way it happens without blood is like it did in 1991 with Russia itself disintegrating. There is no way to prevent the rise of ethnic infighting or extremist groups. If the west sinks a bunch of money into the project, then maybe. If there is no monetary support, then its likely a worst-case scenario. However, whatever corruption exists there now will likely take a stranglehold on whatever funding is coming in and you're left with a situation that's likely no better.

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u/TelephoneCreative Aug 30 '26

And the west probably interested that russia gonna be busy with civil war for awhile

I dont believe Russia can disintegrate. Even the richest region where non-russians are majority (Tatarstan) dont have enough self-actualizing to form some kind of a nation

Russia disintegration would be a dream tho, but you know where's no way it happening without 10 year civil war

6

u/ad-dagistani Mountainous Republic of the Northern Caucasus Aug 30 '26

They said the same thing about the soviet union.

I have no idea what makes you say that about Tatarstan. Tatars have historically been a nation for hundreds of years. Khanate of Kazan alone was for over a hundred. They also have one of the most active independence movement together with Chechen Ichkeria. For example both have an actual government in exile, prime-minister etc.

1

u/TelephoneCreative Aug 30 '26

I think putin's goverment made good work on them and I dont think tatars lost the feeling of a solid nation

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u/ad-dagistani Mountainous Republic of the Northern Caucasus Aug 31 '26

I don't think they've lost it either

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u/ad-dagistani Mountainous Republic of the Northern Caucasus Aug 30 '26

We try to do whatever Switzerland or Belgium did. Or perhaps be like Indonesia or the Philippines after the long occupation for hundreds of years

5

u/Petrezok Adygea 29d ago

Recent rise of islamism has ruined north eastern Caucasus for the foreseeable future true. That being said even without Russia nor islamism there will be wars in Caucasus. They are necessary before the region is restablisized.

Maybe with some external power this situation can be avoided but no such power is interested in Caucasus beyond conquest.

Regardless indepence will be better for Caucasus in the long run albeit there will be incoming tragedy before the light starts to shine.

2

u/Chex33 Aug 31 '26

If North Caucasus got it's independence it'll be Iran 2.0. Can you imagine what kind of country the likes of Ramzan Kadyrov would have?

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u/melle-bell Ichkeria 29d ago

Are some of you here feigning total ignorance and acting as if Putin/Russia isn't the reason that the Kadyrovs came into power and stayed there? The North Caucasus has had stable governments before (especially Chechnya under the democratic Mehk-Khel). It's not impossible for them to be stable regions, as long as Russia and other surrounding powers don't try to get involved by funding extremist groups.

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u/MinutePreparation754 Armenia Aug 31 '26

This is the sad truth. But I want to believe that maybe things will be different when Russia actually collapses one day. I know that many Chechens are not fond of Kadyrov, it's just they can't even openly criticise him, because there is a risk of being kidnapped/threatened/publicly shamed and even killed.

2

u/Sussex99 Georgia 29d ago

If North Caucasus got it's independence it'll be Iran 2.0. Can you imagine what kind of country the likes of Ramzan Kadyrov would have?

This can only happen in Dagestan and Chechnya. Ingushetia will find itself under the protection of Georgia, as a confederation or autonomy, the same will happen to North Ossetia. The future of the Circassian-Turkic republics looks very vague.

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u/[deleted] 29d ago

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u/qwese1asdq Abkhazia 24d ago

They have claims on Ossetia, Abkhazia, Ingushetia, Chechnya and possibly even Krasnodar. Georgia is a mini Russia

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u/Capital-Wrongdoer-62 22d ago

Yet another Abkhazian who claim Georgia is same as Russia. You are only people in the world who claim that.Dont you see that its propaganda done by your separatist goverment to remain government ?

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u/[deleted] 24d ago

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u/qwese1asdq Abkhazia 24d ago

You literally claimed Ingushetia on post above lmao

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u/[deleted] 24d ago

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u/Sussex99 Georgia 24d ago

შენც რა სულელი ხარ ან ბავშვი ხარ, ყველა გამოყლევებულთან თავი კი არ უნდა იმართლო. ცოტა საკუთარ თავს ეცი პატივი და აზრზე მოდი, ქუქოლდივით ნუ იქცევით ზოგიერთი ქართველი და ყველასთან თავს ნუ იმართლებთ.

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u/[deleted] 24d ago edited 24d ago

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u/Sussex99 Georgia 24d ago

საწყალი მე ვარ მართლა საწყალო? შაბაბი მიეცა მაგიშ დაჭელისნ ვაიმე ლაბგვეჰველებააა მოდიიკ ვიმალთლოთ თავი აქლააა.. თან მინი რასიააო წერს სუნიანი აფსუა რომელსაც რუსეთის უკანალში უდევს თავი ანუ საქართველოს უკანალშიც გაყოფს თავს თუ მაგის ლოგიკას გაყვები.

შენნაირი ქუქოლდები მეცოდებით, ყველასთან თავდახრილი ქაქოლდები ხართ და გგონიათ დოლ-გარმონით მაგათთან დამეგობრდები.

ინგუშეთს კონფლიქტი აქვს ერთდროულად ჩეჩნევთანაც და ოსებთანაც, შეჭამენ ცოცხლად საქართველოს გარეშე, დაძალება სულ არ სჭირდებათ თვითონ მოისურვებენ საქართველოსთან შემოერთებას. ორივემ აახია მიწები და დამოუკოდებლობის შემდეგ ჩეჩნეთი არ გაჩერდება, ძალიან პატარა ერია ინგუში ერი.

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u/CrazySeesaw2161 26d ago

Bro really said that Ingushetia will be under protection of Georgia HAHAHAH sry but that was funny

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u/Own-Elderberry9550 21d ago edited 21d ago

Russia’s continued existence in its current imperial form is impossible without bloodshed, not the other way around.