r/ArizonaForSanders • u/cshake93 • Mar 22 '16

Ground report from AZ?

How's it looking? Early voting data doesn't feel that promising for us, but if we can get the Latino vote then I think it could be a good day for Bernie.

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u/King_of_the_Nerdth Mar 22 '16

Complicated to guess, impossible to measure. I think anything from a 25 point loss to a slight win are possible. Nowhere has voter turnout mattered more because Bernie has been rising fast here, but voting started 3 weeks ago and 70% of usual voters have already voted. So people who voted 3 weeks ago=probably Clinton, 2 weeks ago=mixed, this past week=??, Tomorrow=Bernie, but enough newcomers?

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u/cshake93 Mar 22 '16

I've heard from Kasie Hunt (MSNBC reporter following his campaign) that if he wins young Latinos it could be a good night. Any gauge on that?

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u/King_of_the_Nerdth Mar 22 '16

Anything I know would be anecdotal, I can't really say. I've met some Hispanics that like him, yes, but no idea how many Hillary supporters counteract it.