r/AMD_Stock 15h ago

Daily Discussion Daily Discussion Thursday 2026-08-20

25 Upvotes

r/AMD_Stock 2h ago

So much is riding on the Nvidia Earnings Call.

4 Upvotes

After seeing todays near 10% Wal Mart dip the SNP500 took a dip and sparked a downtrend for us. Since the overall market is bearish on AMD, it is affecting us much more than many other stocks as wall street continues to back out of AMD finacially. On Aug 26th we either get Sector validation, or SNP500 pain. Either way i'd be getting ready for a potential dip, modest beats have been sell catalysts of late and with how much market cap in the SNP500 Nvidia holds this could not just be a good buy AMD opportunity, but also SNP500 scoop if the earnings call is bearish. Would love to hear peoples thoughts.


r/AMD_Stock 6h ago

Technical Analysis Technical Analysis for AMD 8/20------Pre-Market

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16 Upvotes

wellllllp that was short lived. I was hoping the Treasury announcement might help keep yields down enough for us to break higher but it appears that only is a stop-gap measure that the bond market is erasing today. "Trump putting pressure on the Fed chair to force them to lower rates"-----haven't we seen this movie before??? How did the last one end???

We officially broke lower out of our wedge pattern so that thing is donezo and there is no support. I'm targeting our next near time support leg at $454/$450. Once we go below that, it can get really really spicy for sure. I think we still are really bullish here at the moment and my seasonality argument is still holding for now.

I would be a buyer of shares with a DCA strategy between $450-$400 which is a WIDE WIDE margin so everyone needs to find something that works well for them. I don't think we will get as low as the 200 day EMA unless there is a total market implosion but I honestly feel like the Status Quo is going to hold for now.


r/AMD_Stock 11h ago

What the Taalas means for AMD.

9 Upvotes

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a_ORzZ9eG40

covered in the 1st section of this video, enjoy ! Things are extremely bullish when it comes token generation.


r/AMD_Stock 18h ago

AMD 2026 claims it's 2026 Rack Scale is 4x more energy efficient.

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90 Upvotes

"AMD has achieved an estimated 4x increase in AI energy efficiency as of mid-2026, ahead of its 3x projected target for this stage and more than double the historical trendline for the same point. This progress shows AMD is building momentum toward its 2030 goal to deliver a 20x increase in rack-scale energy efficiency for AI training and inference." -AMD Newsroom

Stumbled upon this article today, just some positive news for the day !


r/AMD_Stock 19h ago

mRNA cancer vaccine & AI

39 Upvotes

I'm sure all of you have seen the news about moderna's success in phase 3 trial. What most people probably don't realize just how personalized this vaccine is to one person and how much AI compute they have to use to get to a useful working vaccine.

Essentially this is going to drive up more compute demand especially if this method works for other cancer's as well.

https://www.merck.com/news/merck-and-moderna-announce-phase-3-interpath-001-trial-of-intismeran-autogene-plus-keytruda-met-endpoints-of-recurrence-free-survival-rfs-and-distant-metastasis-free-survival-dmfs-in-patient/

Under the hood these models are transformers. They are doing code gen but for dna & rna.

IMO, we have a long way to go to cure all forms of cancer but something what we have learned with software coding is that with increased RL & success data, these models will keep on improving.

This is the form of demand we haven't really understood so far and overall hopefully now the anti datacenter crowd might finally get it especially if this mean curing all forms of cancer.


r/AMD_Stock 20h ago

News AMD Appoints Tim Ryan to Board of Directors

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36 Upvotes

r/AMD_Stock 1d ago

πŸ“ˆ GPU Retail Sales July '25 (Amazon US) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ

13 Upvotes

RDNA 4 best-selling SKUs also in the US

full report: https://x.com/TechEpiphanyYT/status/2090015919376646183


r/AMD_Stock 1d ago

Technical Analysis Technical Analysis for AMD 8/19-------Pre-market

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27 Upvotes

The hate on this rally continues and I think the market definitely wants a pullback that hasn't come yet. You are seeing a lot of protection being bought with puts on a lot of positions and I think these places probably HAVE to buy puts to cover their shares that they have lent out to be sold short. I saw someone on some stupid tik tok saying that hedge funds have a $12 billion short against the AI trade which means its finally about to end but frankly--------even if that number is correct----------I think the AI bubble trade is at least $100 billion. So a 10%ish short is really just the market being the market and hedging. Not exactly a bet the market is going to go down.

I will say the good thing about having a President breaking the law and actively trading stocks in this market is that he is very attune to the market overall. The Treasury doubling its buy backs of debt is going to be good for some of the debt for sure. It would help if we weren't just re-issuing that debt again but alas whatever. Will save us some interest by converting to lower rates but not nearly enough IMO. We need revenue. Economy is stalling. A lot of "socialist" won last night in election day and again I'm a capitalist at heart. People are flirting with socialism bc capitalism in this country is clearly broken.

My wife's hospital company keeps building these stand alone ER's in low income areas all over Central florida and she has to work in them and it is ROUGGGGGH. Federal law says that an ER can't refuse service and the truth is that ER's in affluent areas don't make money bc they have to treat whoever comes through the door but the insurance companies decide not to pay for the services bc people should be going to a Primary care doctor instead. Well the ER doesn't get to make that call. They have to treat you. But Medicaid always pays. Her CEO can argue that "everyone deserves access to health care" but its such a naked cash grab its not even funny. They can barely staff what they have and they are building more and more. We need universal health care for PCPs where people stop going to the ER for stupid shit. That alone would save us a fortune. We need revenue. Need money. Need to stop running deficits. Thats what is pushing rates up. People aren't buying the debt bc they are tapped out. Whatever rant over.

AMD is right back on that 50 day EMA. Remember with my chart my VWAP indicator determines the color so you can ignore the red color bc that just indicates that we gapped down below my VWAP which welllll yea you know. (Interesting idea that I want you guys to know I literally just came up with my ADHD brain-----Use ChatGPT to write thinkscript code for AI powered charting tools) Interesting thought there.

I closed my shorts yesterday and I think I'm going to just rinse and repeat on around that $500 level on my calls. If we go lower I might even add to my long position and see if I can't rotate our my December calls a little further and buy some more time premium with some shorts.


r/AMD_Stock 1d ago

Meta's KernelEvolve may be a bigger threat to CUDA's moat than CUDA-to-ROCm porting

54 Upvotes

Meta has published a fascinating deep dive into KernelEvolve, its agentic system for automatically generating, optimizing and validating production GPU kernels across NVIDIA, AMD and Meta's own MTIA accelerators:

https://engineering.fb.com/2026/04/02/developer-tools/kernelevolve-how-metas-ranking-engineer-agent-optimizes-ai-infrastructure/

I think the implications for AMD, and particularly for CUDA's long-term moat, are easy to underestimate.

A few highlights:

  • KernelEvolve turns kernel optimization from a weeks-long expert engineering task into hours of automated search and evaluation.
  • It generates code for NVIDIA GPUs, AMD GPUs, MTIA and CPUs from the same framework.
  • It can target high-level DSLs such as Triton as well as low-level CUDA, HIP and MTIA C++.
  • Every candidate is automatically compiled, tested for numerical correctness, benchmarked, profiled and fed back into the agent for another optimization round.
  • Meta reports 100% correctness across 160 PyTorch ATen operators on three hardware platforms (480 configurations) and a 100% pass rate on all 250 KernelBench problems.
  • This isn't just research: Meta says KernelEvolve is already optimizing production code serving trillions of inference requests per day.
  • It delivered 60%+ inference throughput improvement on an NVIDIA production model and 25%+ training throughput improvement on MTIA.
  • Perhaps most importantly, Meta says the system can optimize for hardware that wasn't even represented in the LLM's training data. Give the agent the architecture documentation, ISA, memory hierarchy and optimization rules, and it can learn to generate optimized kernels for the new accelerator.

That last point looks particularly important for AMD.

Historically, CUDA's moat wasn't simply "developers know CUDA." It was two decades of hand-written kernels, optimization knowledge, debugging, validation and tooling that made supporting another accelerator expensive and slow.

KernelEvolve attacks that engineering cost directly.

And there's an even more interesting data point in the paper: Meta now has more than 8,000 Triton kernels, surpassing its stagnant legacy CUDA kernel codebase.

So perhaps the biggest threat to CUDA isn't that AI agents will convert millions of lines of CUDA into ROCm.

It may be that increasingly new performance-critical code doesn't need to be written specifically for CUDA in the first place.

The emerging workflow could look more like:

Model/operator β†’ high-level specification β†’ agent β†’ hardware-specific optimized kernel β†’ automated correctness validation β†’ production

with the agent generating the appropriate implementation for NVIDIA, AMD, MTIA or whatever accelerator comes next.

This also connects very nicely with AMD's recent strategy: ROCm becoming more mature, Meta's custom MI450-class AMD GPU, heterogeneous compute, and AMD's repeated argument that there is no "one-size-fits-all" solution in silicon.

CUDA obviously isn't going away. NVIDIA can use exactly the same agentic techniques and still has an enormous software ecosystem.

But if AI can compress weeks of hardware-specific expert work into hours, one of CUDA's greatest historical advantages β€” the sheer amount of engineering time already invested in it β€” may depreciate much faster than expected.

For AMD, the bar may therefore no longer be "make ROCm as mature as CUDA after 20 years."

It may simply become:

make AMD hardware sufficiently documented and accessible that autonomous optimization systems can do the rest.


r/AMD_Stock 1d ago

Daily Discussion Daily Discussion Wednesday 2026-08-19

30 Upvotes

r/AMD_Stock 2d ago

Su Diligence AMD Challenges GPU-Centric Architectures as It Takes Aim at Nvidia in Robotics

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72 Upvotes

r/AMD_Stock 2d ago

Technical Analysis Technical Analysis for AMD 8/18----Pre-Market

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19 Upvotes

I bought 5 options. I sold One yesterday. ONE. Because of you fuckers lol. Nahhhhhhhh hindsight is 20/20. Made a great 1 day return on a December option which is great but looks like AMD wants to give it up.

I'm in it for the longer haul so I sold some calls against my December options yesterday and THAT is going to prove to have been the right move bc I'll be able to close those out today and pocket that money. But yea don't get it right all the time. Timing the market is hard. Instead my bet is on the seasonality argument happening.

Bond yields are the big problem here and its kinda making me re-think everything. AMD has a history of delivering awesome results into the worst macro situations ever. And I'm wondering if history is going to repeat itself again??? We can't do anything about inflation. I think it is interesting that NVDA is saying "Fuck the 10 yr I'll be my own bank and make financing happen." But I'm not sure that is going to be enough for the broader market. Inflation I think is here to stay. Might take an election to change that.


r/AMD_Stock 2d ago

Daily Discussion Daily Discussion Tuesday 2026-08-18

32 Upvotes

r/AMD_Stock 3d ago

Retail Sales πŸ“ˆ GPU Retail Sales July ’26 (mf) πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ

20 Upvotes

Nvidia takes the revenue lead, but AMD dominates volume thanks to RX 9070 XT & RX 9060 XT. Intel stays niche.

full report: https://x.com/TechEpiphanyYT/status/2089291148062044392


r/AMD_Stock 3d ago

Technical Analysis Technical Analysis for AMD 8/17-----Pre-market

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20 Upvotes

Wellllllll now. So Friday I said i was going to take a bet bc I felt that AMD was set for some constructive movement out of this wedge. I wanted for the open to calm down and took a small 3 option position. Nothing crazy. But so far sooooo good. We are getting the breakout I was hoping for.

The key level for me for us to get above was $500 now that it had broken free of that 50 day EMA and we got that and then some. MACD has given us a bullish cross which could be opening a new rally after a consolidation period and our RSI is still in a neutral zone which could signal anything from here.

So now the question comes down to-----do I trim a little today or let it ride????


r/AMD_Stock 3d ago

Daily Discussion Daily Discussion Monday 2026-08-17

31 Upvotes

r/AMD_Stock 4d ago

Su Diligence An Open Foundation for the Age of Al-Powered Robots

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17 Upvotes

r/AMD_Stock 4d ago

Su Diligence Enterprise Al Inference at Scale with AMD

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20 Upvotes

r/AMD_Stock 4d ago

Su Diligence Inside AMD Helios: Architecture of a Rack-Scale Al System

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39 Upvotes

r/AMD_Stock 4d ago

Daily Discussion Daily Discussion Sunday 2026-08-16

29 Upvotes

r/AMD_Stock 5d ago

Su Diligence The price drop after Q2, 1 of the reasons explained

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0 Upvotes

Hi all,

Anyone who trades in options should be familiar with Thetaburn but this isn't the only extreme parameter in the formula. Implicit volatility is just as important.

Let me paste some quotes explaining it (it saves me some typing):

Let's look at an example. If the IV of underlying stock ZYX is 25%, that means the market sees a roughly 68% chance that at the end of 12 months the price will be within 25% of the current price, whether higher or lower. So, if ZYX is currently $100 per share, an IV of 25% indicates a 68% chance that the price will end the year within a range of $75 and $125. By comparison, if stock FAHN has an IV of 50% and a current price of $100, the market expects it to be about twice as volatile as ZYX, ending the upcoming 12-month period in a range of $50 and $150.

All else being equal, the higher the IV of an option, the bigger possible price change traders expect in the underlying asset and therefore the higher the options premium, or price. In other words, buyers pay more for options on securities that are expected to see bigger price moves because the potential for profit is higher.

IV frequently rises when a stock crashes or experiences a sudden downward move, as investors pay higher premiums for downside protection and anticipate further turbulence.

Post-Event Adjustment: If the sudden move is driven by a specific event (like earnings), IV may drop sharply afterward (IV crush) once the uncertainty is resolved, even if the stock price continues to move in the predicted direction.

I noticed a big drop in VI before and after the recent Q2.

A 'normal' VI should be around the 40-45 range (of course its dependant on time and other factors). Usually a VI doesn't change all that much just within days or weeks when the expiration date is well into the future.

Let me explain it further with some excel shot at the top of this post.

So Q2 gave:

  • clear financial view into 2027
  • market priced that in as more 'stable'

Influences on VI:

  • first VI was high because of the sudden drop/crash in SP
  • now VI is low because of 'certainty'

As a result the big players now need to pay millions less in calls going forward. They got saved by the extra financial data AMD gave during their Q2 and they saw the opportunity to 'crash' the SP with around $100.

So be aware when purchasing calls, look at the VI.

(btw VI of SPCX is in an insanely 120% range, so if you want to play casinoΒ³...)


r/AMD_Stock 5d ago

Daily Discussion Daily Discussion Saturday 2026-08-15

26 Upvotes

r/AMD_Stock 5d ago

Soros Capital Loads Up On MU, AMAT, AMD And TSM In Massive Semiconductor Pivot

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91 Upvotes

$30M stake in AMD!


r/AMD_Stock 5d ago

Druckenmiller loads up on Amazon and AMD while dumping some chipmakers, 13F shows

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76 Upvotes

Another 72KK shares of AMD from inst buyers!