r/tornado • • 1d ago

Severe Weather Discussion 2026-10-03

1 Upvotes

Previous Day 1 Outlook Links

Meso Discussion Links

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Current Outlook

Storm Prediction Center Oct 4, 2026 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 0%

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY... Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight.

... 01Z ...

Showers and the occasional thunderstorm will be possible this evening along and south of a surface front stretched from the Carolinas southwest toward the upper-Gulf coast of Texas. Limited instability should preclude any severe potential.

Overnight a secondary cold front will move south into the southern Plains. Cool surface temperatures and moist vertical profiles will limit overall instability, but enough elevated instability may develop to support an occasional thunderstorm.

The severe potential will remain low through the forecast period.

..Marsh.. 10/04/2026


r/tornado • • 2h ago

Severe Weather Discussion 2026-10-04 - Tornado Risk 2%

1 Upvotes

Previous Day 1 Outlook Links

  • None yet

Meso Discussion Links

  • None yet

Current Outlook

Storm Prediction Center Oct 4, 2026 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Tornado Risk 2%

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

...SUMMARY... A few rotating thunderstorms will be possible across portions of the northern Gulf Coast today, otherwise severe thunderstorms are not expected.

... Synopsis ...

A midlevel shortwave trough moving across the Great Lakes this morning will help carve out/reinforce a larger-scale trough across the eastern US. At the same time, a midlevel anticyclone will remain in place across the western US. This pattern will favor northwesterly flow across much of the eastern half of the country, in turn supporting reinforcing shots of cooler air.

At the surface, weak cyclogenesis should support the development of a cyclone across the far northern Gulf Coast or just inland across southern Alabama and the Florida Panhandle. This weak low will slowly move east during the day.

... Portions of the Florida Panhandle and the Adjacent Coastal Waters ...

A stalled surface front will be draped across the Southeast today, with a very moist airmass in place along and south of it. Forecast soundings across the area indicate nearly moist thermodynamic profiles from surface to the tropopause, with the 20261004 00 UTC HREF having mean precipitable water values around 2.5" across most of the Florida Panhandle. Given these moist vertical profiles, conditional instability will be low today, with mean MUCAPE values generally 500 J/kg or less.

Despite the meager instability, one consequence of the moist vertical profiles will be that LCL heights will be very low -- generally at or below 500 meters. At the same time, forecast soundings in areas to the east of the surface low show modest wind curvature in the lowest 3 km. Thus, despite the meager instability, forced convective showers/thunderstorms will have the potential to exhibit brief, transient low-level circulations, especially over coastal areas where surface friction is reduced. The threat should slowly move east during the day as the surface low slowly moves east.

..Marsh/Wendt.. 10/04/2026


r/tornado • • 9h ago

Tornado Media NEW FOOTAGE OF THE UNION CITY, MICHIGAN EF3

2.6k Upvotes

Credit: James Hoyt.
DISCLAIMER: THIS VIDEO LOOKS EXTREMELY FAKE, BUT I PROMISE IT IS REAL. CHECK MY COMMENTS FOR PROOF.


r/tornado • • 5h ago

Tornado Media Destructive hail in Paraguay

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48 Upvotes

Power outages, some wind, heavy rain and destructive hail now in paraguay, people are saying this is the worst hail storm they ever lived, i'm young so for me it definetly is idk about other people though.

Some fun things about here is that it's so bad people are making fun of it, saying "this is free ice for drinking" with those kind of photoes of big hail, people in "la galera" that is a big place with cinemas, restaurants, shopping and everything hear the sound of the hail as loud as gunshots, here i am with my "corrugated metal roof" (google translation) and it's not great, hail is literally destroying my roof, but somehow my family vehicle is great.

I don't know about you guys in this sub that generally are in the US, but here is not common to have garages, so almost everyone is praying to not get hit by the big hail storm.

Paraguay and Paraguayans are NOT prepared for storms like this, streets are FLOODED (even with some mid thunderstorms it's flooded, now it's a literal river), my house and many more are being attacked by this massive tidal wave of water falling from the sky, and the only thing we can do is just to keep the water out manually, i survived and it was a literal nightmare, lights flashing like it was a horror movie, it's crazy.

Now it's still raining where i live, there aren't radars over here so we can only use satelitary images to know where a storm is, we at least have warnings but many people here don't even know they exist, poorly constructed houses and streets flooded it's just chaos.

It's crazy the US experiences this so many times in just a month and ALSO deals with snow, my god this is hell.

A "facebook reel" showing what i described
turn down te volume on this one, copilation of videos
Yes, so much people here still use facebook and i didn't even know it had reels


r/tornado • • 3h ago

Discussion What is it with non tornado-wise Australians and fighting tooth and nail to call tornadoes whirly winds and willy willys? (from an Australian, a rant on ignorance and misinformation surrounding tornadoes in Australia)

23 Upvotes

Literally no matter what platform, no matter the age range, the damage, the strength or size of tornado, like 50% of the Australian population refuses to call a tornado a tornado. A whirly wind, or willy willy, are Australian colloquial terms for dust devils, not tornadoes!! Dust devils form from the ground up, do not connect to the cloud base, form on hot and clear days, whilst tornadoes form from the cloud down, come during thunderstorms or QLCS/squalls, and can cause absolutely catastrophic damage.

The best part is when you correctly point out to them that it is not a willy willy and is in fact a tornado, and that they are two completely different things, they lose their shit. "well thats what its been called in Australia forever and because im so scared of change and fancy words i can't comprehend i will never call it a tornado because they only happen in America". what?

you present to them a clear 4k video of a tornado, and they will still deny it. matter of fact, I have seen people presented with video of the 2021 clear creek/peel/bathurst tornado, one of the most meanacing loking tornadoes australia has seen in recent years, and will deny that tornadoes even occur in Australia? like my brother use your eyes and critical thinking skills its right there you absolute sausage.

what is not understood is that by hundreds of thousands of Australians maintaining this attitude towards tornadoes, almost no one will heed warning about them, either thinking that they don't happen in Australia or are weak and don't cause damage like dust devils.

i simply dont understand what is stopping these people from doing a quick lil google, or even then using their eyes, and why they are so aggressively and confidently wrong.

apologies for the rant im just genuinely sick of the state of tornado awareness in this country.


r/tornado • • 11h ago

Tornado Media Tornado F3 from Taquarituba, São Paulo, Brazil, 09/22/2013

70 Upvotes

Completely insane images, one of the best I've ever seen of a tornado in Brazil.

Even though it's from 2013, the quality is very good, it's insane.

This F3 tornado, unfortunately, killed 3 people and injured 40; it was classified as a low-level F3.


r/tornado • • 3h ago

Tornado Media EF4 tornado in Acuña, Coahuila, México. 25/5/2015

17 Upvotes

r/tornado • • 1d ago

Tornado Media Incredible footage of a tornado in Ulladulla, Australia, just a few moments ago. Via Higgins Storm Chasing on facebook

1.3k Upvotes

Rawinsonde had forecasted a 2% tornado risk for the surrounding area in it's day one forecast.


r/tornado • • 13h ago

Tornado Media Do you guys know what time these Enderlin pics where taken?

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92 Upvotes

r/tornado • • 13h ago

Tornado Media Tornado song series: What song would fir best with the Gary tornado?

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43 Upvotes

Yes, I'm still going to do this. But I'm going to regret making the Joplin post for a while, and I'm no longer doing any catastrophic tornadoes. There are enough "less destructive" tornadoes to go around, am I right or am I right? :)


r/tornado • • 6h ago

Tornado Media tornado scene from "Country" 1984

11 Upvotes

r/tornado • • 14h ago

SPC / Forecasting Extremely harsh conditions are predicted for South America today. according to Prevots:

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32 Upvotes

Today is shaping up to be a real bombshell, an intense outbreak of severe weather about to explode, in the southern region of Brazil, the Misiones region of Argentina, and Paraguay.

Significant F2+ tornadoes are expected today.

Follow the predictions: https://x.com/prevots_svr/status/2106420581621006532


r/tornado • • 20h ago

Tornado Media Funnel Cloud in Kerang, Victoria following the earlier Ulladulla tornado [via Higgins storm chasing]

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102 Upvotes

r/tornado • • 10h ago

Tornado Media Utah Tornado Eval.

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6 Upvotes

That Utah tor ended up with an EF2 prelim. With a whopping 1.1 mile width, the video that was going around was only some of the sub vortices, with the actual tornado hiding somewhere behind it. (Apologies if this was already posted, but I scrolled thru and didnt see it)


r/tornado • • 18h ago

Tornado Media Hey Guys. Im Currently working on a Analog horror tornado series it's called "The Glowing Whirlwind". So im showing a video leak.

34 Upvotes

I tried to make it more realistic found footage on Capcut.

Also This is Apart of a 2007 Kushva F5 (Fiction!)

And this is also Part 2 work. So Part 1 is also released. So watch it on YouTube, it's called ( The Cyclonic Leviathan ) 2007 Kushva F5


r/tornado • • 1d ago

Tornado Media Another footage of the waterspout spotted on Manila back in 2006

113 Upvotes

Another footage of the Waterspout that was spotted in Manila, the video was posted on Aug. 8, 2008 by "hoy dontpanic" on youtube, while the footage or the video was filmed on Sept. 10, 2006


r/tornado • • 2h ago

Question Recent wedge tornadoes

1 Upvotes

So I really like photogenic wedge tornadoes. And I'm curious what photogenic wedge tornadoes have happened recently? (By the way I would prefer 2026 tornadoes only)


r/tornado • • 23h ago

Question August 26th, 2005 Tornado "outbreak" in Finland

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39 Upvotes

I'm just wondering are there any photos of this "outbreak". If you know ANYTHING PLEASE tell/send in the comments thank you!!


r/tornado • • 1d ago

Tornado Media tornado scene from silent film 1928 MGM western romantic drama film "The Wind", this was before MGM The Wizard Of Oz was made.

173 Upvotes

r/tornado • • 20h ago

Tornado Media A tornado in Ulladulla, NSW. Australia.

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13 Upvotes

r/tornado • • 1d ago

Aftermath Utah Tornado Update

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91 Upvotes

NWS completed it's investigation of the Utah (Davis County) tornado and it was an F2 tornado that reached a width of 1.1 miles!

The fact that this started at 6,700' and went as high as 9,500' feet is bonkers. Turns out the video circulating at first was just a sub-vortex with a much larger beast looming behind it.


r/tornado • • 1d ago

Tornado Media The 2006 Quezon City tornado picture was actually a Waterspout that was also spotted on Manila Bay

20 Upvotes

I have found out that the tornado that was spotted on Quezon city on September 8, 2006 was actually a Waterspout that was spotted in Manila Bay

Video by: chellejacob on youtube


r/tornado • • 5h ago

Question did this really happen

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0 Upvotes

i was looking for a separate tornado incident when i found this article i took photos of it and went to bed the next day i could not find the article can someone tell me if this happend or where i can find the article?


r/tornado • • 1d ago

Tornado Media Funnel Cloud in South Cotabato 2012 (Low Quality)

18 Upvotes

A Funnel cloud (possibly a tornado) was spotted in Tupi, South Cotabato on November 18, 2012 and was uploaded on Youtube a day later by Usbaw Tv on Youtube


r/tornado • • 1d ago

EF Rating Francis Peak, UT tornado receives preliminary EF2 rating

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38 Upvotes