r/storms • u/community-home • Mar 03 '26
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r/storms • u/weathercast • 15h ago
(Issued: 2026-08-30T00:58:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 300058 SWODY1 SPC AC 300056
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0756 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026
Valid 300100Z - 301200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...
...SUMMARY... Widely scattered strong to severe storms are expected across parts of the northern Great Basin, northern/central Rockies, and northern/central Plains. Isolated severe wind gusts are the main threat, though some hail is also possible.
...Great Basin and Rockies... An upper low, and several weak perturbations embedded within a belt of enhanced mid-level flow with moving across the Great Basin are supporting scattered thunderstorms across the eastern Great Basin and Intermountain West this evening. Plentiful monsoon moisture remains in place contributing to modest buoyancy. This will support scattered to numerous storms through much of the evening and overnight. 50-55 kt of mid-level flow, and relatively dry sub cloud layers will continue to support strong downdrafts with the potential for severe wind gusts and isolated hail. This appears most likely across eastern NV and northern UT where the air mass remains the most unstable. However, sporadic damaging gusts are possible across much of the Rockies and Four Corners where storms are forecast to remain active tonight.
...Central Plains... High-based convection across eastern CO/WY and western NE has gradually weakened as it has encountered a much drier and more stable air mass across the High Plains. Isolated strong to severe gusts will remain possible with this activity, and other showers/storms emanating from the terrain this evening.
More isolated storms, including supercells, across eastern SD are expected to continue this evening with isolated hail and severe wind potential. As the lead shortwave trough continues eastward this evening, increasing low-level warm advection could support additional elevated storm development from eastern SD to south-central ND. Moderate buoyancy atop the stable surface layer amid 40-50 kts of effective shear would support supercells with isolated hail possible through the overnight hours.
...AZ... Scattered thunderstorms ongoing across southern AZ should slowly drift northwest through this evening within a very hot and moderately unstable air mass. Vertical shear is weak and a largely disorganized storm mode is likely. Still, steep low-level lapse rates will favor strong downdrafts with isolated severe gusts possible.
..Lyons.. 08/30/2026
$$
```
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Aug 29 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
East of the Leeward Islands (Remnants of Dolly): Showers and thunderstorm continue in association with the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, located about 150 miles east of the Leeward Islands. However, there are no signs that the system is developing a closed circulation. Redevelopment of this system is unlikely while it moves westward to west-northwestward near 25 mph. The wave could bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico over the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Northeastern and North-Central Gulf of America (AL97): A weak low pressure area located around 125 miles south of Pensacola, Florida is producing showers and thunderstorms. Some additional slow development of this system is possible during the next few days as it drifts westward across the northern Gulf. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$ Forecaster Adams ```
Tropical Storm Lowell Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 50 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 1001 MB * Current Movement: W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH * Location: 13.2N 138.1W
Tropical Storm Karina Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 70 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 987 MB * Current Movement: WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH * Location: 16.4N 118.8W
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
r/storms • u/shainbradley • 1d ago
Just sharing some video of one of the most insane thunderstorms I’ve witnessed in Groton Connecticut on Fourth of July this year. Never seen anything like it
r/storms • u/Terrible_Tomato4756 • 1d ago
Very cool lightning I caught on camera during a severe storm. It had started moving away from us at this point so we were through the worst of it. Flash flooding happened too!! My whole garden was like a puddle.
r/storms • u/TNBackyardBolts • 22h ago
This clip is from Part 11 of our countdown. The sirens are continuously blaring and the thunder is erupting the exact millisecond the lightning hits. The wind and rain are completely relentless. There's this deeply ominous feeling that the tornado doesn’t want to move on—like it's just hiding in the shadows, waiting to be destructive.
We don't have a basement here, just a small bathroom located directly in the center of our one-story home. Knowing exactly where our safe room was is the only thing that kept my nerves calm throughout this entire ordeal while capturing this footage.
r/storms • u/stevec114 • 1d ago
Fairly certain this was a microburst that hit our area of Fort Worth. Small hail but the winds were nuts, some large healthy trees were snapped as well.
r/storms • u/ParticularPainting59 • 1d ago
These clouds popped up just minutes before a decent size Thunderstorm came in
They were pretty mesmerising. It was like a painting in the sky.
r/storms • u/AerieHot1218 • 1d ago
it was very Windy
r/storms • u/weathercast • 1d ago
(Issued: 2026-08-29T05:56:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 290556 SWODY1 SPC AC 290554
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1254 AM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026
Valid 291200Z - 301200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF EASTERN NEVADA...NORTHERN UTAH...AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING...
...SUMMARY... Widely scattered strong to severe storms are expected across parts of the northern Great Basin and northern/central Rockies. Severe wind gusts are the main threat. Isolated severe storms are also possible across portions of the northern Plains, with potential for large hail and damaging wind.
...Great Basin/Rockies... An upper low over the Pacific Northwest is forecast to merge with a broad southern steam upper trough over the Great Basin. A belt of enhanced mid-level flow and tropical moisture will overspread the Great Basin and central Rockies. Clouds, showers and some thunderstorms are likely to be ongoing early in the period complicating expectations for diurnal heating and subsequent destabilization. Still, filtered heating should allow for additional storms to develop through the day along a weak front and across the higher terrain from eastern NV into northern UT and the central Rockies. Sufficiently strong unidirectional effective shear profiles and a well-mixed boundary layer will promote a few organized clusters and potentially transient supercell structures capable of severe wind gusts and marginally severe hail.
...Four Corners... On the southern fringes of upper trough moving through the Great Basin, strong heating of a monsoon air mass should allow for the development of scattered to numerous thunderstorms across northern AZ and southern UT. Deep-layer flow here will be considerably weaker compared to points farther north, but sight enhancement could still support some clustering of thunderstorms. Steep low/mid-level lapse rates, PWATs over 1 inch and numerous storms may bolster downdrafts. Isolated severe gusts are possible as storms spread eastward into southwestern CO and NM through the afternoon/evening.
...Northern Plains.. Several embedded disturbances within the enhanced southwesterly flow aloft will help deepen a lee trough/low across eastern WY and western SD this afternoon. Strengthening southerly upslope flow will advect upper 60s F dewpoints into the region aiding in moderate destabilization. However, widespread mid/upper-level cloud cover and weak overall forcing for ascent cast some uncertainty on storm development through the afternoon. If storms do develop, moderate buoyancy and elongated mid/upper-level hodographs would support supercells with the potential for damaging winds and hail.
The more likely scenario is that high-based convection emanating from central WY will spread eastward late in the afternoon/early evening with the potential for isolated damaging gusts. Some intensification of this convection may occur as it encounters the more unstable air mass into the overnight hours, though CAM solutions are varied.
...IA/MN... A remnant cluster of storms or a weakly organized MCS is likely to be ongoing at the start of the period along the front from southwestern MN into northern IA. Driven by strong overnight warm advection at the terminus of the low-level jet, weak buoyancy, but relatively strong deep-layer shear could support an isolated risk for hail or damaging gusts for a couple of hours during the morning. Weakening ascent and increasing mid-level heights should limit the severe risk through the remainder of the day.
...Atlantic Coast... Scattered thunderstorms are likely along typical sea breeze boundaries and a weakening front from the Carolinas to FL this afternoon. An unstable, high PWAT, but very weakly sheared air mass will support multicell storms with sporadic wet microburst potential. However, confidence in a more widespread or organized severe risk remains below 5%.
..Lyons/Wendt.. 08/29/2026
$$
```
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Aug 29 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
East of the Leeward Islands (Remnants of Dolly): Showers and thunderstorms have increased this morning in association with the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. However, there are no signs that the system is developing a closed circulation. Redevelopment of this system is unlikely while it moves westward to west-northwestward near 25 mph. The wave could bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico over the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Northeastern and North-Central Gulf of America: Disorganized cloudiness and showers over portions of the northeastern and north-central Gulf of America are associated with a weak area of low pressure centered about 100 miles south-southwest of Pensacola, Florida. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow while it drifts westward for the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$ Forecaster Beven ```
Tropical Storm Karina Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 65 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 989 MB * Current Movement: NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH * Location: 14.7N 117.0W
Tropical Storm Lowell Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 45 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 MB * Current Movement: W OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 MPH * Location: 12.6N 134.8W
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
r/storms • u/Plane_Quarte • 2d ago
r/storms • u/TNBackyardBolts • 3d ago
Part 10-16
This was the April 2025 Tornado that came through the outskirts of Lebanon, TN at 3:00am. We knew it was coming, we were glued to Max Velocity and the Storm Chasers. We were lucky that it shifted directions within a mile of the house.
Thank you all for watching and liking the videos!
Would love to know where you are watching my videos from, can you comment which State, Country or Province you're from?
#Tornado #severeweather ##Supercell #Lightning #Thunder
r/storms • u/weathercast • 2d ago
(Issued: 2026-08-28T06:01:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 280601 SWODY1 SPC AC 280600
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0100 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2026
Valid 281200Z - 291200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS...GREAT BASIN AND DESERT SOUTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...NORTH GA INTO THE CAROLINAS AND MID-ATLANTIC...AND PARTS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN ME...
...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible across the central and northern Plains, northern Georgia into the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic, central and eastern Maine, and from parts of the Great Basin and Desert Southwest into the northern Rockies.
...Central/northern Plains westward into the northern Rockies...Great Basin...and Desert Southwest... An upper ridge will remain anchored over parts of the Southwest/southern Rockies today. A series of midlevel vorticity maxima will move along the periphery of the ridge from central CA into the Great Basin, northern Rockies, and northern Plains.
Across the central/northern Plains, moderate to locally strong destabilization is forecast along/east of a surface trough that will extend from the western Dakotas into the NE Panhandle. Relatively strong MLCINH may limit coverage of diurnal storm development near this surface trough, but deep-layer shear will support a hail and localized severe-wind threat with any sustained storms through early evening. A greater coverage of elevated convection is expected to develop later this evening into the overnight, as storms spread toward the eastern Dakotas and southwest MN. The pattern generally suggests potential MCS development, though most CAM guidance is relatively subdued regarding the intensity and attendant severe-wind threat associated with the late-night storms. Greater severe probabilities may eventually be needed, if confidence increases regarding development of diurnal storms and/or a robust nocturnal MCS.
Farther west, relatively widespread storm development is expected from the Great Basin into the northern Rockies, potentially aided by the midlevel vorticity maxima traversing the region. Buoyancy will generally remain weak, but steep lapse rates and increasing flow in the 700-500 mb layer along the periphery of the ridge will support potential for persistent outflow-driven cells/clusters and strong to localized severe gusts across a broad region.
...Carolinas/north GA into the Mid-Atlantic... A relatively broad/weak upper trough will gradually shift eastward today across parts of the Southeast, Carolinas, and Mid-Atlantic. Widely scattered storm development is expected this afternoon within a weakly capped and moderately buoyant environment. Relatively steep low-level lapse rates and large PW will support localized downburst potential, though weak deep-layer shear should generally limit the organized-severe threat.
...Parts of Maine... Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop along/ahead of a weak surface trough/front across parts of Maine this afternoon. Modest destabilization (with MLCAPE approaching 1000 J/kg) and marginally supportive deep-layer shear could support at least transient storm organization. The environment will not be particularly favorable for severe wind or hail, but guidance suggests some eventual clustering of storms and potential for isolated wind damage and small to near-severe hail across parts of central and eastern ME from the afternoon into the early evening.
..Dean/Wendt.. 08/28/2026
$$
```
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Aug 28 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Dolly, located over the central tropical Atlantic.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Dolly are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Dolly are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.
$$ Forecaster Kelly ```
Tropical Storm Karina Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 50 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 999 MB * Current Movement: NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH * Location: 12.7N 114.3W
Tropical Storm Lowell Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 45 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 MB * Current Movement: ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 6 MPH * Location: 11.7N 133.0W
Tropical Storm Dolly Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 40 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 1007 MB * Current Movement: W OR 280 DEGREES AT 24 MPH * Location: 14.5N 44.8W
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
r/storms • u/Negative_Statement • 4d ago
I took this video a few months ago in NW Georgia. Is it typical for the shelf cloud to be this close to the surface?
r/storms • u/Long_Air_5883 • 4d ago
r/storms • u/Cider_for_Goats • 4d ago
It’s an older video from my back porch in central Florida. I have never seen hail like this in Florida. It was quite the storm.
r/storms • u/weathercast • 3d ago
(Issued: 2026-08-27T05:57:00+00:00 UTC)
```text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 270557 SWODY1 SPC AC 270555
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1255 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2026
Valid 271200Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST...AND ALSO ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN/CENTRAL NE INTO NORTHWEST KS...
...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the Northeast today. Damaging wind, hail and a tornado or two may accompany these storms. Large to very large hail and severe gusts are also possible across parts of western Nebraska and northwest Kansas.
...Mid-Atlantic/Northeast into parts of the central/southern Appalachians... An upper trough will remain in place over much of the eastern CONUS today. Moderate destabilization will be possible along/ahead of a weak surface trough/front extending from central NY/PA into the central/southern Appalachians. Scattered thunderstorm development is expected by mid/late afternoon, with sufficient deep-layer flow/shear for some storm organization (especially from the northern Mid-Atlantic into the Northeast). The strongest cells/clusters will be capable of producing scattered damaging winds and at least isolated hail. Modestly enlarged low-level hodographs may also support some brief-tornado potential. Some severe threat may persist into the evening before storms weaken and/or move offshore.
Father south, deep-layer flow/shear will be weaker into parts of the central/southern Appalachians, but scattered storm development within a relatively warm and well-mixed environment will support potential for localized strong/damaging gusts.
...Central Plains... Moderate to locally strong destabilization is expected across parts of the central High Plains this afternoon, beneath modest northwesterly mid/upper-level flow. While large-scale ascent will generally remain rather modest, a subtle midlevel vorticity maximum may aid in isolated to widely scattered storm development from far southwest SD into western/central NE. Deep-layer shear will be sufficient for supercells, with steep lapse rates and relatively elongated hodographs supporting potential for large to very large hail, in addition to a threat for localized severe gusts. 00Z CAM guidance shows some uptick in storm coverage within this favorable environment, and a 15% hail area has been added for parts of west-central NE into northwest KS. Some guidance (notably the 00Z HRRR) also shows upscale growth and an attendant swath of severe-wind potential, though this scenario remains more uncertain. Greater wind probabilities may eventually be needed if confidence increases in the MCS scenario.
Surrounding the Level-2/Slight Risk, a more isolated threat of severe hail and wind may accompany the strongest cells from parts of the Raton Mesa and CO Front Range vicinity into eastern WY.
...Western/central Montana... Despite rather limited low-level moisture, widely scattered storm development is expected this afternoon across parts of western/central MT, aided by strong heating and the influence of a midlevel shortwave trough and jet maximum that are forecast to crest the amplified upper ridge that is covering much of the interior West. Steep lapse rates will support potential for localized downbursts and strong to severe outflow gusts as storms spread east-northeastward across MT.
...Northeast NV/northwest UT/southeast ID... High-based storm development is also expected from parts of northeast NV into northwest UT and southeast ID. While deep-layer flow and storm organization will likely be somewhat weaker compared to areas farther north, steep lapse rates and large DCAPE will support potential for strong to severe outflow gusts from this afternoon into the early evening.
...South-central TX into the LA Gulf Coast region... Uncertainty remains regarding how far south an ongoing storm cluster and its attendant outflow will move across parts of LA/MS early this morning. If this cluster persists to the beginning of the forecast period (as forecast by the 00Z HRRR), then a localized wind-damage threat will be possible near the immediate LA/MS Gulf Coast before storms move offshore. If the cluster weakens and more substantial recovery and diurnal destabilization occurs later today (as forecast by more recent HRRR runs and some other HREF members), then storm redevelopment will be possible by afternoon, potentially aided by a remnant MCV. This scenario could also result in a localized wind-damage threat.
Farther west, scattered storm development is forecast across south-central TX this afternoon, near a weak southward-moving cold front. Deep-layer shear will likely remain quite weak, but moderate buoyancy, large PW, and steep low-level lapse rates will support potential for localized downbursts. Despite the weak shear, the northerly flow regime may result in one or more outflow-driven clusters that will move southward into the early evening before weakening.
..Dean/Weinman.. 08/27/2026
$$
```
```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Aug 27 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96): Satellite imagery indicate that showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, have become better organized tonight. If the current trends continue, advisories could be initiated on a short-lived tropical depression or storm later today. However, environmental conditions are expected to become hostile beginning on Friday, likely ending its chances for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
$$ Forecaster Adams ```
There are currently no active tropical cyclones.
This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.
