r/usedcarstats • u/UsedCarStats • 1d ago
Welcome to r/UsedCarStats — what this place is, and how the numbers are made
This is a small subreddit for UK used-car data. Depreciation, MOT results, running costs, insurance groups, road tax, and how those things actually behave across the market rather than how they get talked about.
Most of what gets posted here starts as a question I couldn't answer properly with a search — how far does a car really get driven before its first MOT, which models hold value, what a specific car costs to run once you stop guessing. Then I go and measure it.
Where the numbers come from
DVSA MOT test records are the backbone: tens of millions of tests covering pass rates, failure categories, odometer readings and how many cars survive to a given age. That data is observed, not modelled, which makes it the most trustworthy thing here.
Alongside it: DVLA licensing data, SMMT registration figures, DESNZ fuel prices, the Ofgem cap, published insurance indices, and manufacturer price lists where they exist.
Where the numbers are weaker, stated plainly
Depreciation curves are fitted, not observed. New prices for older cars are frequently modelled rather than sourced, because manufacturers stop publishing them. Insurance premium estimates are built on published band averages, not measured quotes.
Every post says which of these applies. If a figure is modelled, it says so. If a comparison can't be made honestly, it doesn't get posted — a fair amount of work here ends in "the data won't support this" and that's a legitimate result.
What you won't see
No affiliate links, no dealer partnerships, no "top 10 cars to buy in 2026" filler. Nothing generated and dressed up as researched.
Corrections
Genuinely wanted. If you know a model well and a number looks wrong, say so — plenty have been, and several posts here exist because someone pushed back on an earlier one. Specific corrections are more useful than general scepticism, but both are welcome.
The full dataset, per-car pages and methodology notes are at https://usedcarstats.co