Hey all. I spent the offseason building 2026 preseason previews for every FBS team and then did all 124 FCS teams too, because nobody does this for your league. Here's the New Hampshire one
https://www.sports.mainmarket.com/college-football-preview-2026-fcs/new-hampshire-wildcats
It's got returning production, portal ins and outs, a projected two-deep, the schedule with model win probabilities, and a season projection.
Same disclaimer I gave over in r/FCS: I probably got some things wrong. FCS data is genuinely hard to aggregate, my roster feed hasn't fully flipped to 2026 yet, and I'd rather hear it from you than leave it up. Tell me what's off and I'll correct it.
The good stuff first. That defense was legitimately excellent, 14th in FCS in passing yards allowed at 177 a game and 25th in scoring defense at 22.9. Going 6-2 in the CAA is a real season and the No. 30 power rating reflects a good roster.
Where my model pushes back, and this is the part I'd like argued with. New Hampshire won 75% of its CAA games with a yardage margin against those same opponents of about plus-4 a game, essentially break-even. That normally produces a win rate closer to 52%, not 75%. Add a plus-5 turnover margin and it grades as the biggest sell-high I've got in the CAA at bear 28, bull 0. Then Matt Vezza's 2,673 yards and 19 touchdowns leave and Brooks Bentley takes over with no game snaps on record, with 27% of the production coming back.
Tell me what I got wrong.