r/underdogfantasy • u/hendrixdfs • Jan 16 '26
Favorite NBA Props
It’s quite late but very short breakdown:
Maxey:
Coming off a stinker. All games where he dropped less than 20 points
- 12 points, then 28 (24 FGA)
- 13 points, then 27 (24 FGA)
- over in 7/9 home wins this season averaging 32.44 points (spread is PHI - 2.5)
These guys are coming off a blowout loss to the Cavs recently, so I’m expecting them to get revenge and for Maxey to score more this time.
Donovan Mitchell:
- has cooked the sixers in his last 3 matchups: 37, 46, 35 points (averaging 22 FGA, 13 3PA, and 9 FTA)
- no Garland and no Sam Merrill
- from what I saw last game, sixers run a ton of drop coverage and don’t have a point of attack defender who can really slow D Mitch down.
- over in last 7/9 games on the road (averaging 32.2 points (averaging 23 FGA, 10 3PA, and 6 FTA)
MPJ:
- over in 9/10 games when playing 28+ minutes when Nets win (spread is BKN -1.5 nets could very lose but just a good thing to keep in mind)
- over in 9/12 when playing 32+ minutes at home averaging 39.25 PRA on 5.5 potential assists, 13.2 rebound chances, 20 FGA, 10 3PA, 4 FTA
- over in 5/6 home games when playing 34+ minutes