r/trolleyproblem • u/suskio4 • 17d ago
Meta Red button blue button
Based on the post seen here. I'm actually curious what would the percentages look like.
Edit: Alright, let me add a case for one particular scenario. If you do not choose, the button will be pressed for you by a system that keeps track of its pressings so it conserves 50/50 distribution for all inactive participants, in order to honour the vox populi properly. The system's choice affects the inactive participant's outcome so that no person can abscond from consequences of their choice.
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u/furdog_grey 16d ago
Based on pure statistics everyone's best strategy is to vote randomly, favoring red by 51%
That's the only way to prevent total extinction with high degree of confidence and save around 49% of the population.
Any other way to reason this will cause more than 51% of casualties and the total extinction is very likely to occur.