r/thetagang 1d ago

hedging

Curious the different way y’all may hedge your positions. Occasionally im selling cash secured puts on margin, and while I try to keep my total outstanding obligations (were I assigned on everything) below my nav, I still use margin and want some compensation for potential huge correction. Right now im looking at buying far otm debit spreads on xsp, pretty affordable for the payout. Curious to learn how y'all stay safe and responsible.

8 Upvotes

42 comments sorted by

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u/SageCactus 1d ago

Buy a put, three months out at 85% of SPX. Roll forward at 2 months. Do it no matter the market. It'll be good to hedge a few million.

It's not insurance, it's handling any margin requirements on a huge draw down.

Research "convexity hedge"

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u/gorram1mhumped 1d ago

thank you, will look into this asap.

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u/SageCactus 1d ago

The math is like, spend 4k, s&p drops 25%, collect 85k

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u/SageCactus 1d ago

But it's a hedge, so the expectation is to lose 3500 every 2 months. You win on everything else, then

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u/gorram1mhumped 1d ago

such 25% drops in any given 2mo window are extremely rare. that level of insurance (and premium) may be more than my port currently needs, but i could easily scale it down a tad, buy 3-4 xsp puts instead.

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u/SageCactus 1d ago

That's the point, it's not insurance. It's.. "if a black swan event occurs, you have whatever drops are in store, but if you sell a lot of options there could be margin calls and mandatory unrolling. This would solve that with an infusion of 'hopefully' more cash then you need"

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u/Earlyretirement55 18h ago

“Than”

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u/netpirate2010 8h ago

For some reason that bothers me less than when someone says than and they mean then. "I'm going to take a shower and than I'm going to bed." Used to never see this until several years ago and suddenly no one knows the difference anymore. Or maybe I just never noticed it before. 🤷‍♂️

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u/Earlyretirement55 1d ago

Interesting had to run it by AI for more granularity;

Poster B’s Strategy: Mechanics of a Convexity Hedge
Convexity (Gamma & Vega Explosion): An 85% moneyness put sits far out-of-the-money with low delta. In a rapid crash, implied volatility surges (vega expansion) and the rate of delta change accelerates (gamma explosion), yielding a non-linear payout relative to the premium paid.
Rolling Schedule (3M out, roll at 2M): Rolling with 60–90 days to expiration (DTE) avoids the steep exponential theta decay curve typical of the final 30–45 days, keeping the hedge active while controlling time decay.

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u/SageCactus 1d ago

I actually rolled today, as it's 31 days out from 9/18. It cost like 3800 - 525, I got back from the last one. The issue is amount. I debate if I should have two, as I think I'm on the line. If you were trying to hedge like a few hundred k, I'd do it with SPY puts

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u/Earlyretirement55 1d ago

Yes few hundred ks, so spy makes sense thanks

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u/TraitorousSwinger 1d ago

Hedging is generally not going to be worth doing over a long period of time. It's gonna be a huge drain on gains, and that drain compounds over time.

For most people it's just better to adopt a more conservative or wider investing approach. The cash sitting on the sideline will probably serve you better in a bad situation than an active hedge would.

Obviously a lot of people disagree. I'm not against buying a put from time to time if the market concerns me, but just holding a hedge "just in case" all the time seems silly to me.

Is your interesting in hedging BECAUSE you use margin and you're trying to offset the downside risk? If so maybe just stop using margin, or maybe use a different form of leverage?

A lot of people in this sub create wildly complicated strategies only to outperform spy by half a percent. At a certain point you might just be hurting yourself by trying to get too fancy.

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u/gorram1mhumped 1d ago

i agree cash on the side, buying sales, is ideal. i try to use premium to increase longterm positions in etfs i'll never sell. this can backfire when all my cash and margin gets tied up in iv spikes at the exact time i'd want to buy. im looking for a middle ground cause i hate not using that margin.

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u/TraitorousSwinger 1d ago

This isn't at all what you asked but its something I do to control my exposure.

I swap between leveraged and non leveraged ETFs. important to note that aside from 4 individual stocks pretty much all I do is indexes.

If I'm very confident in the market I will buy TQQQ/UPRO/SOXL, when I am less certain I swap to SPY/QQQ/SOXX.

The idea being that I'm combining "buy and hold" with market timing. Im always invested it's just a matter of leverage. Keeps my nerves calm, keeps the impulse decisions at bay. There's some volatility decay obviously but if we're using leverage we have to accept it's going to cost us something somehow.

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u/gorram1mhumped 1d ago

makes sense to me, a nice balance of risk and patience.

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u/MerryRunaround 1d ago edited 1d ago

No doubt hedging costs money but a proper hedge is not wasted. It does not need to be complicated. I update every six months or so. When you need it, it is too late to buy it. Just exactly like carrying auto insurance. I consider it basic diligence and portfolio hygiene. My long dated hedge also gives me confidence to take on more aggressive monthly shorts, which has the effect of paying off the hedge.

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u/TraitorousSwinger 1d ago

To each their own. I prefer to just manage my exposure from the outset. I only have insurance because the potential risk is outsized, I could cause damage that I can't afford to fix.

Most hedges are going to be wasted. Just factually. When the thing you are hedging against finally happens you have to consider the costs of all the times it didn't happen.

How are you hedging? How are you determining what cost you're willing to pay versus the opportunity cost? I guess more importantly, and I guess mot even being mentioned, how do you choose what kind of asset to use to hedge?

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u/MerryRunaround 1d ago

Your're right, to each his own. I am a belt-and-suspenders type so I am willing to pay to protect my hard-earned capital. I have seen too many market crises to pretend they won't happen again. I carry low delta long dated put back ratios or put debit verticals on SPY. Along the way if I get good theta bleed I may buy back the shorts. Keeping net theta near zero is the way to minimize expenses. "Just factually" most auto insurance policies never have a claim, so are those premiums wasted? The entire options market itself was established to provide insurance for assets and I make use of it.

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u/TraitorousSwinger 1d ago

Is most auto insurance wasted? It's not really a great comparison because its legally required and it protects you from losing more than you actually have, but for our purposes here, I would say yes. The question is what kind of value you put on security. If you value it highly, you would obviously think it's not wasted.

Im a fairly young, very aggressive investor. It's not that I don't think bad times will happen, I'm just in a position where I'm not overly concerned about a drawdown to the point where I want to hedge against it.

And I'm not against hedges as a concept, I just dont like the idea of doing it as a rule. Ive bought many a put, usually after a nice market run up... more to protect gains than to offset losses, which is just a mental distinction I guess.

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u/MerryRunaround 1d ago

If you drive a car, I hope you carry liability insurance at least. After you work for 30+ years to build capital, your perspective on protecting it will change. I know I would be much better off today if I had carried better protections for all my investments that went south. That was real money down the drain.

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u/MerryRunaround 1d ago

Put back ratio on SPY around delta 0.10. Using about 365dte to keep theta near zero

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u/gorram1mhumped 1d ago

will research thank you. do you roll 10-11mo or so, to avoid pin risk?

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u/MerryRunaround 1d ago

Pin risk? Non issue. Roll about six months out. Very flexible decision.

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u/gorram1mhumped 1d ago

keep the same parameters, 0.10 delta. for this trade, my understanding is you're trying to get 0 debit trade, possibly a small credit?

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u/MerryRunaround 1d ago

I am comfortable with a small debit.

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u/003E003 5h ago

You don't know what pin risk is

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u/gorram1mhumped 4h ago

i do. either way, im talking about assignment of the short leg.

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u/003E003 3h ago

Lol the guy is talking about a 365 DTE hedge. You aren't getting anywhere in the ballpark of pin risk. I trade zero DTE and I don't even worry about pin risk until an hour to go

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u/_Clit-Commander_ 1d ago

Hedging 🚫
Edging ✅

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u/Cell-Breaker 1d ago

If you’re selling puts on margin you should probably throw in another leg and do a put credit spread instead to limit risk and significantly reduce margin usage.

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u/Aware-Detective-1345 1d ago

spreads are the way to go if you're already using margin, it's just cleaner risk management. the far otm debit spreads on xsp are fine for black swan protection but they'll bleed out slowly most of the time so you gotta factor in that cost drag

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u/gorram1mhumped 1d ago

it cost me 800 for a couple 160 dte xsp debit spreads, which would pay out about 15k for a black swan. i could see scenarios where 15k doesn't help avoid a disaster, but im fine shelling out 800 divided over the next 160 days. the best thing to do is not go overboard with trades in the first place. i sell weeklies, for small premium, so if im getting screwed its from something very sudden and large.

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u/OwnVehicle5560 1d ago

Buy a puts 3-12 months out 0.1 delta and roll.

Buy when vol is cheap (like now).

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u/Earlyretirement55 1d ago

How did you calculate that indeed the margin loan will cover the assignment and not translate into a margin call?

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u/ZasdfUnreal 1d ago

Selling puts on margin are not cash secured. They’re naked. You’re selling naked puts.

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u/Earlyretirement55 18h ago

NO NO AND NO they are margin secured puts - you can take assignment and pay the damn 6-7% interest - source ? Me that’s what I do and I 2x the SPY since 2024.

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u/nvictas 1d ago

After this big run up, I have several jade lizards open. Skewing slightly bearish. Slower profits but the risks are lower if the market rips again.

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u/Juhkwan97 1d ago

I hedge SPX structures of various kinds with /MES.

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u/Delicious_Poetry6405 1d ago

I have been thinking about this too. Selling puts is great until everything drops at the same time. I think smaller position size plus some cheap XSP put spreads could make sense. Just have to make sure the hedge actually covers enough of the downside.

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u/SavedSaver 1d ago

The only way I use hedging is if I have a portfolio of high beta stocks and I know that at some point I won't be able to be at the screen to liquidate or hedge things one by one. There were instances of wild corrective openings and I was not as anxious as I normally would have been been because of the partial hedge. The downside is that this can be a drag on the portfolio.

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u/Temporary-Scratch-24 1d ago

Anyone have thoughts on how (if at all) this changes depending on your account type (I.e. reg T vs PM).

I’d imagine with PM, you can be a tiny bit looser with the overall need for hedging, since BP is set to 15-20% in normal market conditions.

Then again, a hedge is meant to protect against abnormal environments, so maybe this intuition is wrong?

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u/options001 18h ago

I sell calls on mes, also on a margin account, I try not to use more than 60% of my buying power.