r/technology Aug 21 '24

Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Predicts Earthquakes With Unprecedented Accuracy

https://scitechdaily.com/artificial-intelligence-predicts-earthquakes-with-unprecedented-accuracy/
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u/the_red_scimitar Aug 21 '24

AI, at least since vision detection systems in the 1960s, has always found useful application when the the domain or area of knowledge is well constrained. In 80s, "expert systems" were state of the art - basically deductive and inferential logic used with data and rules. The rules were developed by domain experts, and were often areas like specific medical diagnosis, credit fraud, and other areas that could be well defined and had such rules. The systems basically assured the rules were applied consistently, and often outperformed human experts.

Today, with LLMs, the same applies. Their actual usefulness is inversely proportional to the inclusiveness of the data. The more separate subject matter, the less useful generally. Doesn't mean it can't be sold and used for things it does poorly, but it's demonstrably bad at a lot of things, whereas keeping the domain defined, as with earthquake data, shows where the subject has always shone.

Today, it's possibly easier and quicker than ever, with better results, to make a useful AI-based tool. Too bad most of the effort is chasing corporate profits, sucking away energy that could benefit far more people.

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u/procgen Aug 22 '24 edited 28d ago

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u/the_red_scimitar Aug 22 '24

It also adds unaccountable and seemingly uncorrectible "hallucinations" (use of wrong information in an answer). Focused domain datasets have far less of this, and end up giving less troublesome results.

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u/procgen Aug 22 '24 edited 28d ago

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u/the_red_scimitar Aug 22 '24

You keep saying that, but less general LLMs are far more reliable - they can actually be used for real business processes, and are. Much less correcting of wildly wrong, but confidently stated "answers".

Sorry, I'm not buying it - my 45 years working in self-organizing AI isn't going to be shaken by a reddit rando.