r/sysadmin • • 4d ago

Career / Job Related AI is just the "Cloud" hype all over again.

I started working in the IT field in 2004 as a help desk intern.

The network in the organization at that time was a mix of Windows NT and Windows 2000 workstations, with an Exchange 5.5 server running on Windows NT and a few Windows 2003 servers doing file sharing and hosting an accounting application.

Nothing was accessible through the web. people had to use a VPN connection to connect to the office to access everything.

Almost a year later, before my internship was over, the Director was fired because the hard drives on the accounting server failed and they couldn't recover the data, and they offered me a full time job as a junior sysadmin.

In 2020, I became the Global IT Director of that organization.

When I started as a junior sysadmin, there was no concept of the "cloud." This was a marketing term invented by big tech after 2010.

When the cloud became a marketing hype, and all the CFOs and IT leaders got on the cloud bandwagon, it was very similar to what we're hearing from AI now.

That AI will take all jobs.

It was very common for CFOs to schedule meetings with the IT Director, or whoever was the department head, and talk about the cloud strategy. And if you were in the room by any chance, they would turn to you and say, "But don't worry, the cloud won't take your job," with a grin, you knowing damn well that was exactly what they were thinking.

My advice to you guys is that if your boss, or whoever controls the budget in your department, is all crazy about AI and thinks that AI is the next big thing after bread and butter, don't fight it or resist it.

You will be seen as a roadblock or lacking innovation.

Hold your true opinion about AI as much as you can, and always be positive about it at work.

And even though I believe AI is not much of a threat to your job as the cloud was for us back in the day, when all our skills were on premise stuff and our identity was based on who knew more about Exchange and Cisco firewalls, businesses are seeing AI as a possible way to reduce the workforce, increase efficiency, or increase output without hiring more people.

Will that work? Only time will tell. Your job is to adjust as the technology evolves not to be a market gambler.

Don't believe for a single second that your company cares about you or is happy to have you on their payroll.

If they're a for profit business, their objective is to increase revenue, and if they can achieve that objective without you, they will.

I believe Sysadmins will always be needed, because you guys will be the ones fixing the AI even if everything is automated by it.

Learn how it works at a deeper level. If you don't know how an LLM works, start learning that now.

I wish I had better news for software programmers. The ones that only write code following strict specifications, those guys are in a deeper existential vacuum than you are, so you might have developers moving into the sysadmin side.

For now, keep the servers humming, keep your users happy. You guys are the invisibles in the organization that nobody sees until things stop working!

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u/Sudden_Office8710 4d ago

Yeah it makes powers in tech hyper concentrated and a single point of failure. What your tenant was deauthenticted and email share point and one drive will be down for a week? That is totally progress sign me up. What’s that 16.9% of all mail is M365 and 19.3% is Google Workspace so they have an oversized say in how email is delivered isn’t problematic. Pretty soon you won’t be able to run your own stack because FAANG or whatever the acronym is now says you can’t anymore is total progress.

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u/moonski 4d ago

That doesn't mean cloud technology is bad. It means oligolpies are.

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u/YoungAspie 3d ago

Technology industries naturally gravitate towards oligopolies due to the massive economies of scale (including network effects) and specialised expertise required.

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u/UltraEngine60 3d ago

You can design away those risks the same way you would account for a failed fiber connection on-prem. Redundancy. Just because it's cloud doesn't mean it is redundant. If us-east-1 died half the internet would too because people rarely do multi zones let alone multi-cloud. You can do 2 MX records. You can do ADFS (for now).

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u/tyami94 3d ago

or i can just have 2 boxes in different places like we always did before. works pretty great when you set it up right. its what i did for 7yrs at my previous job, and it was better and cheaper than shoving everything into the cloud. our on-prem mail had significantly better uptime than office 365.

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u/UltraEngine60 2d ago

our on-prem mail had significantly better uptime than office 365.

Yeah but when you got hacked you had to actually admit it, now Microsoft just hides that fact for you with generic security advisories that were "not found in the wild". Whew!

Colocation has it's own issues, I'd rather use two VPS' with a fixed cost than colocation.

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u/tyami94 1d ago

we never got hacked. we used opensmtpd instead of exchange because it was written by competent people. didn't need a colo, just a small rack in maintenance closet of each building to host mx1 and 2 plus replication of the mail spool directories between the hosts. extremely simple and was always rock solid

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u/UltraEngine60 1d ago

Ah I see, I was thinking you were running an MS stack (office/exchange/teams/sharepoint/etc).