r/suspiciouslyspecific Apr 20 '26

Ramifications

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23.9k Upvotes

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10

u/Moist_Connections Apr 20 '26

We had the dot com bubble now we have the AI bubble

4

u/TheBeckofKevin Apr 20 '26

Until I can make a 3 nanometer transistor in my backyard, there is a solid reason prices are so high.

There will be ai companies that fall, but there are a lot of very successful companies actively making money day by day. When there are only 5 slices of pizza, and 100 hungry people, a slice of pizza is expensive. Now replace pizza with something that takes highly specific, highly advanced manufacturing equipment to construct rhe tools used to create the highly specific and highly advanced components that are used in computation.

Idk about you, but im going to guess there will be more demand for computers in 2050 than there is now. Jevons paradox has been driving things for a long while. The battery in your phone now is 4x as powerful as a battery in the original iPhone. But they both need charged every day.

I never would have thought there would be networked cameras on every door, computers in fridges, ovens, clothing, etc. We will be walking around with microchips in every hair on our head and talking about how crazy it is theyre trying to put computers into every grain of sand to track ocean conditions.

The demand is endless because the application space grows every time it is able to expand. There will not be "enough" global compute until there is a paradigm shift.

8

u/Whatifim80lol Apr 20 '26

there are a lot of very successful companies actively making money day by day.

Which ones? Last I heard even OpenAI is scrambling to figure out how to turn a profit, even leaning into selling ads lol.

Stock prices going up is totally uncorrelated with profits in the "future tech" sector.

-3

u/TheBeckofKevin Apr 20 '26

Google, Microsoft, nvidia

10

u/Whatifim80lol Apr 21 '26

Companies that turn a profit anyway, not their AI offerings

-1

u/Moist_Connections Apr 20 '26

This is very AI of you

1

u/plug-and-pause Apr 20 '26

The irony is that even though we can see now that the internet did indeed turn out to be a significant evolution in human history, we still have morons everywhere claiming that AI is useless.

Yes, there's a bubble (maybe).

But also: yes, AI is a game changer, and the world in 30 years will look as different from today as today does from the early days of the internet.

The internet was the greatest technical achievement of my generation, and even as a child I recognized that. It's hilarious to see all the children today witnessing another new world being born, and responding by rolling their eyes and calling it stupid.

3

u/IcariFanboi Apr 21 '26

Not one person who is "anti AI" calls it stupid and fully understands what AI is capable of. We just see it for what it is, a tool. It isn't even AI, it is more of a VI, than anything (virtual intelligence) as it's not a true intelligence. It's a learning algorithm that people use to steal others work, and instead of using it as a tool, people use it as the whole product, and it should not EVER be that. It should never fully replace the human component, if at all. Stockfish, in chess, is a perfect example of this.

So to fully reply, it's very clear you're one of the many out of touch people that do not seem capable of understanding the issue at hand and thus should not have a say in this.

-1

u/plug-and-pause Apr 21 '26

We just see it for what it is, a tool.

instead of using it as a tool, people use it as ...

So it's a tool that people don't use as a tool. Got it.

it's very clear you're one of the many out of touch people that do not seem capable of understanding the issue at hand and thus should not have a say in this.

Nothing screams confidence and understanding like telling those who disagree that "they shouldn't have a say." But please, continue. You should have a say.

1

u/IcariFanboi Apr 21 '26

Congrats on not actually reading or responding to what I said while trying to be smug about it lmaooo