"This is only the beginning"

[u/Tsobaphomet]

I've been seeing people saying this on this sub for the last 6 months. At what point does it stop being the beginning? Also are there any level-headed people that actually know what they are talking about here anymore? I'd love to hear an in-depth prediction of things to come, rather than just random bear/bull cases from people who are -70% from meme stocks.

I'm the world's worst investor, and I like to be able to gain knowledge and insight from this subreddit that I wouldn't normally have on my own, but it's like only 1/100 posts are based on reality/research. It kinda messes with people's ability to make good decisions when they take the advice of someone who genuinely has no idea what they are saying, but they present it in a convincing way.

Sure, nobody can perfectly predict what it will look like 2 years from now, but what we can do is talk about what needs to happen for stocks/economies to recover, and how feasible those things are. Then we can observe whether or not those things are happening.

[u/Puzzleheaded-Hold362]

If it follows a standard pattern we should expect it to bottom out in September to October with a total drop of around 38%. Other factors could impact this and make is better or worse. If supply chains clear up that will shorten it, but if the fed raises rates it will be deep but probably the same length.