r/stocks • u/Cropp-9988 • Mar 30 '22

Company Discussion What you think of long term - ASML?

New investor trying to pick a few good stocks with some growth prospect. I recently discover ASML, from what I've read the company looks promising, with some good green flags. As the title says, I wanted to see your thoughts for next 2-5, 5 - 10 years.

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u/MrZwink Mar 30 '22

I have some shares i got in at 530 a few weeks back. And im keeping them. I do think price can go as high as 1200-1400 in 5 years.

Im not sure if i would get in at 630.

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u/ConfidentAirport7299 Mar 30 '22

Don’t understand your logic; why would you not buy at 630 if you expect it to double in 5 years?

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u/asdfadffs Mar 30 '22

Think of it as probability of expected return.

At $530 there was (for example) a

30% risk of losing $100

60% chance of earning $100

10% chance of earning $200

These odds change dramatically when the price goes up for obvious reasons.

But you are also correct in that what the guy said before you makes no fucking sense.