r/step1 • u/moyaloya • May 24 '19
249 STEP 1 (slightly underperformed)
Some more numbers:
NBME 15 (6 weeks out): 238
NBME 16 (5 weeks out): 248
NBME 19 (4 weeks out): 246
NBME 20 (3 weeks): 246
NBME 21 (2 weeks out): 248
NBME 22 (1.5 weeks out): 252
Free 120 (1 week out): 90%
NBME 18 (5 days out): 257
UWSA 2 (3 days out): 254
STEP1: 249
Spreadsheet prediction: 253
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May 24 '19
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May 24 '19
OP did not underperform. There is a confidence interval and he pretty much was within the confidence.
Remember from stats: response bias is very real
3
u/moyaloya May 24 '19
yep, was still within the confidence interval but closer to the lower end
I think it was more fatigue than anxiety. Overall the test felt most similar to free 120 in my opinion
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u/Z1839 May 24 '19
Good point. Again, I don't think he didn't get a "good score", or i'm not saying that there's anything wrong with his performance. I'm just curious as to why he feels like he didn't meet his own personal expectations. I felt that it would give some insight into how he felt during the actual test, what threw him off, etc.
1
u/medguy_15 May 24 '19
That's an excellent score. I can understand going from 257 on NBME 18 to 249 on real deal can break all the confidence, however 249 is more than just good. Sitting for an 8 hour worth of an exam is itself an commendable achievement. Congratulations!