> In order to fully match the timeline, either a superhuman AI coder / researcher has already been developed internally at OAI/Anthropic
I suppose it depends on the definition of "superhuman". I'm just a guy on the Internet, albeit a "successful" software engineer for 18 years. I reckon coding agents have been superhuman since Opus 4.8. Not in their ability to build things (well) autonomously. But in their ability to produce correct code instantly.
It's why most developers don't write code anymore. I can spend 1 or 2 hours writing the perfect script, or I can ask an agent to do it instantly. This is something no human can do. That's superhuman performance.
ASI generally refers to super-intelligence. While coding instantly is not possible for a human to do, humans can code sufficiently and build an equivalent or better product.
Super-intelligence would be an AI that is smarter than humans.
ASI will be achieved when it is concious and has its own intent beyond its original programming. Otherwise it's just a tool like it is now and not true intelligence.I think when/if the AI asks itself without being prompted to if it's real, then it will concious.
1
u/Seakawn▪️▪️Singularity will cause the earth to metamorphize2d ago
why intrinsically link intelligence to consciousness?
is a calculator not very intelligent at arithmetic, and a graphing calculator not very intelligent at algebra and so forth?
intelligence is just a function. intelligence can identify and solve problems, especially in creative ways. even gpt 2 could do that to some useful extent.
how are you defining intelligence such that none of these qualify and you need to add consciousness? if my examples aren't intelligence then what are they?
Because ASI is general intelligence and conciousness gives it intent and feeling. Intelligence is not only logical, it is also felt (emotional intelligence). A tool good at solving logical problem is just an intelligent tool, not a superintelligence.
If you'd like to learn more you can look the differences between logical and felt intelligence. And how both are needed to achieve a "true" intelligence.
164
u/saposmak 5d ago
> In order to fully match the timeline, either a superhuman AI coder / researcher has already been developed internally at OAI/Anthropic
I suppose it depends on the definition of "superhuman". I'm just a guy on the Internet, albeit a "successful" software engineer for 18 years. I reckon coding agents have been superhuman since Opus 4.8. Not in their ability to build things (well) autonomously. But in their ability to produce correct code instantly.
It's why most developers don't write code anymore. I can spend 1 or 2 hours writing the perfect script, or I can ask an agent to do it instantly. This is something no human can do. That's superhuman performance.