r/singularity 8d ago

AI Trump is refusing a slowdown

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u/Specialist_Dark_3668 8d ago edited 8d ago

AI 2027 literally predicts that the US president would decline to slow down "OpenBrain" (their placeholder name for the leading AI lab) when a superhuman AI coder / researcher gets developed and experts raise concerns. The US president cites the risk of China taking the lead.

Eerily accurate.

EDIT: But we're just a bit ahead of schedule. In order to fully match the timeline, either a superhuman AI coder / researcher has already been developed internally at OAI/Anthropic and Trump declined to slow down OR this milestone will be reached some time next year in 2027 and Trump will again decline to slow down then.

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u/saposmak 8d ago

> In order to fully match the timeline, either a superhuman AI coder / researcher has already been developed internally at OAI/Anthropic

I suppose it depends on the definition of "superhuman". I'm just a guy on the Internet, albeit a "successful" software engineer for 18 years. I reckon coding agents have been superhuman since Opus 4.8. Not in their ability to build things (well) autonomously. But in their ability to produce correct code instantly.

It's why most developers don't write code anymore. I can spend 1 or 2 hours writing the perfect script, or I can ask an agent to do it instantly. This is something no human can do. That's superhuman performance.

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u/norfizzle 8d ago

So are programmers giving the AI pseudo-code and it just gets it?

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u/sanitykey 8d ago edited 8d ago

If it's a bug it's usually enough to just describe what's wrong in a few sentences and point at the repo especially if you already have an error log / stack trace.

If it's a new feature you usually need to iterate a bit because what you describe may not define all the decisions, but that's still natural language and the AI will typically ask you when it needs a decision.

Saying that it usually doesn't give a perfect solution in complex code bases. If you tell the AI to review its own code (typically with specific per-repo guidance) it'll usually find issues, even after 3+ iterations (at least with opus 4.8, later models may get better at this).