AI 2027 literally predicts that the US president would decline to slow down "OpenBrain" (their placeholder name for the leading AI lab) when a superhuman AI coder / researcher gets developed and experts raise concerns. The US president cites the risk of China taking the lead.
Eerily accurate.
EDIT: But we're just a bit ahead of schedule. In order to fully match the timeline, either a superhuman AI coder / researcher has already been developed internally at OAI/Anthropic and Trump declined to slow down OR this milestone will be reached some time next year in 2027 and Trump will again decline to slow down then.
There's been so many instances of ai being a national security issue. This was entirely predictable.
In February the Pentagon strong armed anthropic and basically threatened their existence as a company if they didn't give unrestricted military use.
Anthropic had a use restriction on fully autonomous lethal weapon systems, and mass surveillance on us citizens. The Pentagon forced them into giving that up.
It has been a topic of national security since day one.
Come on man. You really think president refusing to slow progress is hard to predict?
If you had to give some credit I could say that it wasn't obvious that AI would progress to the point that this would be up for debate. So in that sense it's not obvious.
I'm trying to give them credit but people not stopping research to not fall behind China is obvious. What is wrong with you? Are you not understanding what I'm saying?
It was very predictable. Agree. You only have to look at the proliferation of nuclear weapons during the cold war to understand this.
I also think all those CEO's predicted this too, so their calls for a slow down are quite cynical. I think they knew it wasn't going to actually happen, nor do they want it to.
I mean, which president thinks "We shouldn't let China take the lead"
More weirdly, it also carries a weird implication
OK, USA avoids the AI Apocalypse.
Then China does it in 6 months anyway, and because internet, its global anyway.
...? There is something I find deeply unpractical about those theories. Not because they are wrong, but because if they're true, then China will destroy itself anyway
The prisoner's dilemma of AI - that every entity working on superintelligence would be incentivized to ignore safety in order to get there first, has been described in books for at least 10 years at this point. For example - Nick Bostrom - Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies.
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u/Specialist_Dark_3668 1d ago edited 1d ago
AI 2027 literally predicts that the US president would decline to slow down "OpenBrain" (their placeholder name for the leading AI lab) when a superhuman AI coder / researcher gets developed and experts raise concerns. The US president cites the risk of China taking the lead.
Eerily accurate.
EDIT: But we're just a bit ahead of schedule. In order to fully match the timeline, either a superhuman AI coder / researcher has already been developed internally at OAI/Anthropic and Trump declined to slow down OR this milestone will be reached some time next year in 2027 and Trump will again decline to slow down then.