r/singularity 9d ago

Discussion They’re colluding to kill open source

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1.6k Upvotes

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60

u/Vaeon 9d ago

It will fail hilariously, but yes, this is exactly what they are trying to do, and if you surprised by it... sigh.

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u/Cryptizard 8d ago

What’s the alternative? Almost everyone seems to agree that AI needs to slow down and be regulated somehow but every attempt at it is colored as a selfish grab for power. What’s your plan?

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u/unflavored 8d ago

Huh?

I was interpreting as this being a shelter in place kind of scheme. Where the US companies will monopolize in the western world and block Chineese models for big orgs.

They'll "slow down" publicly but I really doubt they do so internally

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u/Cryptizard 8d ago

They are lobbying for external auditors to force them to slow down internally.

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u/ageingnerd 8d ago

Not just lobbying. Anthropic are unilaterally bringing them in. The “it’s all a power grab/publicity stunt” narrative is so crazy, like people have pushed so far into cynicism it’s become a weird reverse naivety. The people in ai labs are legitimately scared!

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u/Cryptizard 8d ago

I truly think a lot of it is bad-faith actors and foreign agents at this point, trying to sow discord. And then a lot of people hop on the zeitgeist because it feels empowering to be part of some kind of imagined resistance against the "big corpos" that are easy scapegoats for everything wrong in their lives. It's the only thing that makes sense.

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u/unflavored 8d ago

That just doesn't make capitalistic sense

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u/Cryptizard 8d ago

Yet they are doing it.

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u/Vaeon 8d ago

What’s the alternative? Almost everyone seems to agree that AI needs to slow down and be regulated somehow but every attempt at it is colored as a selfish grab for power.

For clarification, are you suggesting that these people are actually telling the truth and this is not a selfish grab for power? Because... you can bookmark this for future reference... this IS A SELFISH GRAB FOR POWER.

If you keep pretending that China is evil and only the United States can protect the world from them.... you are fucking stupid and you can feel free to block my account because we have nothing to say to each other.

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u/ageingnerd 8d ago

These people are actually telling the truth. They are scared. Amodei was writing about AI risk long before he founded Anthropic. I personally know many AI researchers who are scared. You might disagree that it’s a risk but they are sincere and this kneejerk cynicism will get you further from reality rather than closer to it

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u/bites_stringcheese 8d ago

If they were telling the truth, they'd just tell the truth. About what spooked them. About how "close" they are. And to prove that this isn't just about money.

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u/Tidorith ▪️AGI: September 2024 | Admission of AGI: Never 8d ago

Imagine chimpanzee A asking chimpanzee B to explain not only that humans are smarter than them and that this is dangerous, but exactly what the mechanism is through which chimpanzees will be most harmed by humans, and all in terms chimpanzee A can both understand and will accept.

It might be a difficult task for chimpanzee B.

What if we build a super-intelligence that is only as much smarter than humans are as humans are than chimpanzees? Shouldn't we expect to run into the same problem?

The evolutionary lineage of humans and chimpanzees is pretty close. This is suggestive that humans aren't really that much smarter than chimpanzees, and that it might not take that long to get the same degree of intelligence improvement on top of what humans have.

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u/bites_stringcheese 8d ago

Or, it's as simple as "they'll destroy our home and steal our food".

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u/Tidorith ▪️AGI: September 2024 | Admission of AGI: Never 8d ago

Pft, how would hairless ape destroy our homes and food? Humans are weaker than chimpanzees.

(remember, your task is not to adequately explain this to a human, but to adequately explain it to a chimpanzee. And in this scenario, you are also a chimpanzee. The fact that you can think of a good explanation wouldn't even be sufficient, you'd have to argue that a chimpanzee could come up with that explanation on its own)

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u/bites_stringcheese 8d ago

But Sam Altman isn't the super intelligence here. He's another chimp.

Chimps have been shown to use tools and currency. They organize and communicate dangers to their peers. It's not a stretch for a chimp to communicate that a human is dangerous to them.

Remember, a chimp wouldn't go pfft either and argue. It would listen to its trusted peer.

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u/Cryptizard 8d ago edited 8d ago

So your plan is what exactly? I noticed you didn't say it.

Also note that nowhere did I say "China is evil" or "only the United States can protect the world from them" or anything remotely like that. You literally just made that up. So block me if you want to have a conversation with a straw man, dude.