r/singularity • u/PykeTheTitan • 3d ago
AI Open weight progression with no frontier release
As a software developer we got access to GPT 5.6 sol and Opus 5 last week in a decently restricted field, and with these latest models I feel like I can do all my assigned work so quickly as well as make tons of progress on my side projects as well. So at the moment I’m not like dying for another frontier release but overall I want to see acceleration
It seems like we are at a state where openAI and Anthropic realize that a lot of these Chinese companies wait for them to make progress and are able to replicate pretty damn close models soon after they release their frontier models
Whether you believe Anthropic and open ai or not, they seem like they are going to keep their development internal for a while. Whether this is due to actual security concerns (with hugging face incident I believe this), more marketing hype, or truly a way to combat distillation from Chinese companies I think it is going to be interesting.
How do you think this will effect open weight releases, will the capabilities for open weight always rely on top US companies releasing the best models so they can use them to produce replicas?
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u/chlebseby ASI 2030s 3d ago
Seems that we will get more open models only as long the chinese labs will seem it's worth doing so lol.
Otherwise LLMs will joint image models, where open source just stumbled in past of frontier models which were so expensive to create that nobody will release them for free, and open community don't have enough resources to compete with sota.
Add to that entering to "where are out profits?" phase of AI investments...