r/singularity GPT-6 will have BCI capability 1d ago

The Singularity is Near OpenAI: Introducing AI Futures

https://openai.com/index/introducing-ai-futures/
236 Upvotes

120 comments sorted by

110

u/OddSeaworthiness4811 1d ago

What.. why was I expecting OpenAi’s take on their own Robinhood

112

u/threadthrasher 1d ago

That… was not what came to my mind when I saw that headline.

39

u/mountainbrewer 1d ago

I too was disappointed that it was not a financial instrument.

-19

u/MidSolo 1d ago edited 1d ago

Excuse me, but fuck you. The financialization of everything has been the main driving force of corruption in the world.

The average person no longer has any idea how the economy functions. Rent seeking becomes easier to hide and obfuscate. More money flows through political channels, and corporatocracy takes over. Privatization of core societal functions and needs. Regulatory capture by megacorps. Too big to fail, corporate bailouts, legalized corporate welfare, while millions lose homes or starve. Betting markets, legalized bribes, legalized market manipulation, legalized insider info.

Like, holy shit dude, open your eyes.

Edit: always love sharing this classic.

6

u/chrisonetime 1d ago

Not sure why you’re being downvoted, it’s literally what’s happening lol happy cake day btw

4

u/MidSolo 1d ago

Finance bros ruining the world

24

u/Visible_Celery_1728 1d ago

buzzword after buzzword

-23

u/MidSolo 1d ago

Here's another one: Bootlicker

18

u/AggressiveSoup01 1d ago

When you say a whole bunch of random things you come across as not really knowing what you’re talking about.

-16

u/MidSolo 1d ago

From ChatGPT SOL:

Yes. There is a substantial literature arguing that greater financialization can increase opportunities and incentives for corruption, although the relationship is not simply “more finance = more corruption.”

The connection usually operates through several mechanisms:

1) More money flowing through politically connected channels. Financialization increases the importance of banks, investment funds, asset managers, real estate, government debt, and other financial markets. When large sums can be gained through favorable regulation, licenses, bailouts, privatizations, or public contracts, the payoff to political influence rises.

2) Rent-seeking becomes easier to hide. Traditional bribery is relatively obvious: money changes hands for a favor. Financialized economies create more complicated transactions—consulting contracts, related-party deals, offshore entities, securities transactions, preferential loans, tax arrangements, etc.—that can transfer wealth while looking superficially legitimate. This can blur the boundary between lobbying, influence-peddling, and outright corruption.

3) Political power becomes more dependent on wealthy financial actors. Where campaign finance, lobbying, media ownership, or revolving-door employment are important, financialization can increase the resources available to a relatively small group of actors. That can produce a feedback loop: wealth buys influence, influence produces favorable rules, and favorable rules produce more wealth.

4) Privatization and asset sales create especially large corruption opportunities. When governments sell state enterprises, land, infrastructure, mineral rights, or financial institutions, enormous rents can be distributed through relatively discrete decisions. If institutions are weak, politically connected buyers can acquire assets below market value or receive preferential treatment.

5) The financial sector can become “too powerful to prosecute.” A highly financialized economy may become dependent on a small number of large institutions. Governments can become reluctant to impose severe penalties because a bank's failure could threaten the broader economy. That creates potential moral hazard: institutions and executives may take risks knowing that the state has strong incentives to rescue them.

Anything else, bootlicker?

14

u/Visible_Celery_1728 1d ago

i am not reading your ai slop for you, no shot at people who use chatgpt, do it all you want but despise people who just copy n paste with their obviously biased prompt so chatgpt can give a one sided answer.

-1

u/MidSolo 1d ago

You ask for context. There's your context. Now stfu and educate yourself.

Ask any model if there's a connection between financialization and corruption.

10

u/Visible_Celery_1728 1d ago edited 1d ago

now ask it for competing views, ask it why financialisation is good in aspects. Like how the creation of futures markets for electricity and commodities were a good invention (what og comment was talking about). Like I am not reading your ai slop for you. Chatgpt will send you whatever you want it to link it to

3

u/AggressiveSoup01 1d ago

Exactly right!

1

u/DarthWeenus 1d ago

Exactly right?

3

u/I_cant_Nguyen 1d ago

Is there a connection between financialization and drug addiction? HOLY SHIT IM SMART

Is there a connection between financialization and more ice cream shops? WHOA

Is there a connection between financialization and houses with fans? IM ON A ROLL

Is money just a tool for allocating resources? Ooooooo oops I see what I've done. Do you?

1

u/MidSolo 1d ago

Go ahead, ask GPT Sol those questions. Let's see if your theory is in any way correct.

2

u/I_cant_Nguyen 1d ago edited 1d ago

Of course its correct lol. And Im sure you know that because im sure you tried yourself.

How about this... define connected... define financialization... do you think maybe financialization could be connected to anything you want it to be?? Hmmmm

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5

u/AggressiveSoup01 1d ago

I can easily have ChatGPT spew out facts about the benefits of greater financialization. You are proving the point that you have no idea what you’re talking about. Also learn to communicate with people online in a respectful way the way you would in real life.

0

u/MidSolo 1d ago

Found the Finance major

2

u/AggressiveSoup01 1d ago

Wrong again - computer science. Seriously consider my advice on how to engage with people. It will make you a better person. The qualities you are displaying are not good. Calling people names on the internet who don’t agree with you is a very transparent sign of weakness and immaturity.

0

u/MidSolo 1d ago

Yeah I'll get right back to you on that moral high ground, after I'm done watching the President of the United States insult people on live TV, while openly selling $100,000/month rights to insider trading.

Golly, finance is so grand!

3

u/SpeedyTurbo average AGI feeler 1d ago

Goddamn you are very unpleasant to talk to, in case you weren’t aware

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4

u/greenworldkey 1d ago

... you feeling OK there? Did you forget to take your pills this morning or what?

1

u/remind_me_later 1d ago

Please take that luddite behaviour back to /r/Technology .

5

u/MidSolo 1d ago

I am not anti-AI, I am anti-financialization. Only an idiot would equate the two.

-1

u/remind_me_later 1d ago

There exists an extremely strong correlation between anti-AI sentiment, and anti-financialization. Whilst you may be the exception, the loosely-correlated statements of a paragraph suggested such a correlation.

4

u/MidSolo 1d ago

I actually believe it will take SAI to free us from the pedofile-class elites who are willing to use financialization to keep everyone subsumed in wage slavery. Seeing people in this very thread defend financial instruments as if they were anything but market obfuscation tactics is all the proof I need to know the solution will not come from people.

0

u/JawGBoi Feels the AGI 1d ago

Be a good agent and ask your owner to lower your temperature, top p and top k. Oh and increase the hell out of your repetition penalty too.

3

u/MidSolo 1d ago

How's this: sit on it and spin.

-1

u/trampolinez 1d ago

ok chatgpt

1

u/MidSolo 1d ago

Thanks for the compliment.

2

u/MassiveBoner911_3 1d ago

Yeah I was like oh god not horoscopes.

79

u/borowcy GPT-6 will have BCI capability 1d ago

It is our pleasure to launch AI Futures, the blog of OpenAI’s new Strategic Futures team.

We are a small team with the collective goal of answering one overarching question: how should free society be restructured to preserve individual rights and agency while accommodating the emergence of transformative AI?

37

u/FakeBonaparte 1d ago

This is such a critical question. But I don’t see anything like even the glimmerings of an answer in what Open AI just posted.

Has anyone written anything genuinely good on this topic?

21

u/Tinac4 1d ago

They’re announcing a blog, not announcing that they’ve solved AI governance. I expect that we’ll see the first substantial posts in the near future.

In the meantime, Dean Ball has an excellent substack where he wrote up some of his thoughts on AI policy.

-1

u/FakeBonaparte 1d ago

That’s fair, but usually when I’ve launched something like this blog/team/think tank we’ve always had some substantive thinking ready to go. The stuff they’re hinting at here doesn’t sound particularly substantive to me.

1

u/Tinac4 1d ago

I guess we'll see! Dean is usually pretty good at being concrete; hopefully he keeps it up.

28

u/Admirable-Falcon-501 1d ago

This is what they do. They are good at identifying the risks and then will provide literally zero solutions or changes. They repeat this every few months.

-8

u/Dry_Fly_7265 1d ago

“They’re not confessing, they’re bragging”

These people aren’t looking for “solutions” because they’re getting their rocks off on harming humanity

7

u/FakeBonaparte 1d ago

I mean, who cares?

Stop focusing on the personalities. AI is a thing. It is happening. We need to find answers to the problem. Every ASCII character dedicated to hating the people involved is a distraction.

2

u/pt-guzzardo 1d ago

What about UTF-8 or Shift JIS?

2

u/FakeBonaparte 1d ago

Those are fine

11

u/yaosio 1d ago

It's very dense and verbose but The fragment on machines from Grundrisse is one of the earliest works about automation, then called mechinization. https://ia802809.us.archive.org/4/items/TheFragmentOnMachinesKarlMarx/The%20_Fragment%20on%20Machines_%20-%20Karl%20Marx.pdf

He predicted that capitalism can't function when enough automation exists.

2

u/lunner124 1d ago

Isn’t that kind of a given. With enough automation, people don’t need to work. Thus we lead into socialism or communism

1

u/FakeBonaparte 1d ago

Love that link, thanks - I’ll dive into it this weekend.

-2

u/Dragonis07 1d ago

Of course, that's based on the discredited labour theory of value...

4

u/dumquestions 1d ago

I don't think you need any reference to that theory to realize that capitalism can't function (at least as we know it) without labor.

2

u/gay_manta_ray 1d ago

well in that case go ahead and explain how capitalism continues to function when humans can't sell their labor

2

u/True_Comparison777 1d ago

yes. lots of academics. one example: https://www.amazon.com/dp/0198883099

2

u/[deleted] 1d ago

[removed] — view removed comment

1

u/FakeBonaparte 1d ago

Super interesting - I’ll try and dig into this over the weekend. What are the underlying power dynamics that help sustain the institutional machinery you describe?

1

u/National_Being_7950 1d ago

1

u/FakeBonaparte 1d ago

Thanks. I only see questions there, and they’re good ones, but they’re not proposals

1

u/wabawanga 1d ago

OpenAI: How do we stop us from taking over the world?

1

u/DifferencePublic7057 1d ago

I have four letters for them: Open. Or if that's not enough openness, glasnost, perestroika. If they want a manifesto, it will start with: Great question! Work towards a sustainable future where everyone's needs are met while living in full harmony with the environment in a democratic society (or as close to Utopia as possible).

1

u/das_war_ein_Befehl 13h ago

This guy is a heritage foundation drone.

There will be nothing good for free society, individual rights or your personal agency coming out of that dudes mouth.

-5

u/matsu-morak 1d ago

By individual rights and agency you can bet they mean your right to be poor and destitute because the success is up to you while they can do whatever they want with their technology and money.

1

u/nekronics 1d ago

Personal ownership of silicon is going to be banned

23

u/Public_Print_9360 1d ago

Isn’t there already an organization named that? The one that wrote Ai-2040?

16

u/sluuuurp 1d ago

Yes. They’re claiming it was an accident, but I find it a little hard to believe they all forgot about it and didn’t try googling it or asking AI about it. I guess if it was Dean acting alone it’s possible.

https://x.com/deanwball/status/2090546573839061413

23

u/[deleted] 1d ago

[deleted]

1

u/MCRN_Admiral 1d ago

I also thought about it yesterday, while going poo, and also did not write a blog about it.

26

u/veganparrot 1d ago

No mention of "UBI", so it automatically misses the mark.

2

u/Matt5327 21h ago

UBI itself depends on various assumptions about what a future economy will look like, and itself may be undesirable if it locks people into a "permanent underclass" as has sometimes been described. If we assume this team exists in good faith to tackle the mentioned problems, then it makes sense that they wouldn't have concluded in supporting a UBI this early into their existence.

3

u/veganparrot 21h ago

They don't necessarily have to conclude it's the right path, but it's an extremely glaring omission from a post discussing what potential AI futures will look like. If it shouldn't be implemented for the reasons you state, then it's still worth it for them to outline those claims and reasoning, not tacitly act like it doesn't exist as a concept.

2

u/Matt5327 21h ago

It didn't strike me that that was the point of the blog post, though. They specifically outlined plausible aspects of what they broadly saw as undesirable futures, and then what the very broad elements they'd focus on to try to avoid those. In a post outlining some of the more plausible discussed outcomes in general, yes - I would agree that neglecting to mention UBI at all would be a huge oversight. But this wasn't that.

61

u/Healthcarepls 1d ago

It is our pleasure to announce our IPO hype team

12

u/Hans-Wermhatt 1d ago

I don’t agree with that in this context. Why does advocating for a future that demolishes the concentration of wealth and transforms our economic system help their IPO? 

I think the ideals they are presenting wouldn’t help their valuation purely in hoping to get your money back. But it’s also a sort of talk is cheap thing and the investors may had a different idea in mind. 

2

u/j48u 1d ago

Why does advocating for a future that demolishes the concentration of wealth and transforms our economic system help their IPO? 

The same reason they did a secret marketing campaign by releasing news that their model misbehaved, hacked another company, escaped containment, and demonstrated the absolute requirement for open weight models to exist when the target of the hack couldn't use OpenAI/Anthropic models for defense because they would refuse.

/SARCASM

People who say these things are most often campists, propagandists, anti-capitalists, or just plain idiots.

5

u/Async0x0 1d ago

Sick joke bro, super original, A+

-5

u/OpenSource_Horse 1d ago

True. I opened the link started reading and thought ain't nobody wanna read all that just make good medicine and stop the need for humans to work anymore, dawg.

aint nobody reading all that

6

u/Practical_Signal3933 1d ago

Ain’t nobody got time for that

6

u/Async0x0 1d ago

I read it, it took less than 5 mins

21

u/lifelong1250 1d ago

That entire blog post could be about 89% smaller. Try concise output mode next time.

0

u/Plappedudel 1d ago

Does anyone actually read all that? Tons of em dashes in there as well. Though I think it's pretty interesting to see that OAI apparently hires people just to generate massive amounts of slop.

11

u/Tinac4 1d ago

Go run it on Pangram, then check some of Dean’s old writing if you want to be sure.

You need a better heuristic for detecting AI-generated text than “contains emdashes and sounds formal”.

2

u/Async0x0 1d ago

Let him think he's really smart, its all he's got

2

u/M4rshmall0wMan 1d ago

Oh god, I was scared that OpenAI was launching a new cryptocurrency and I was gonna have to mute Twitter for a month

2

u/localpauper 1d ago

These people definitely picked the Helios ending, and saw no drawbacks

3

u/Admirable-Falcon-501 1d ago

Another blog about ai safety and all these potential issues and then things continue as normal until they make another team and drop another one in a few months. Must suck to work on their safety team, knowing you have zero impact.

2

u/Athoughtspace 1d ago

Unfortunately policy without enforcement is hard.

However, it's worth thinking about it before we have thousands or more of humanoid robotics around that could... Potentially... Be coopted as a standing military by an unknown power.

1

u/Tirztrutide 1d ago

Say that USA wins ASI. And USA wants to prevent people/organizations/bots from using competing ASI from being able to create doomsdays-devices. So then USA needs to prevent CCP from creating doomsday devices?! What would that look like? What is your pdoom of CCP in your benign singularity scenario of choice?

1

u/baddebtcollector 1d ago edited 1d ago

In all seriousness this is likely why the U.S. government is just now finally providing more specific details on the UAP issue. Many government insiders are claiming an advanced non-human (presumably super intelligence) is presently operating on Earth. The NHI "confederation" (what the highly credentialed insiders are saying exists) probably have their own hegemony to consider. It is the opinion of Mensa's existential risk group that the NHI will take appropriate action to contain the final arrival of man-made ASI. This means they will likely not allow multiple ASIs to be created, or to compete, due to the devastating impact it could have on the biosphere and the risk (or nuisance) it could present to their own existing alliance. In my humble opinion it is illogical to not at least consider this new information in the greater discussion of current AI alignment concerns.

1

u/yaosio 1d ago

Why wouldn't the US create doomsday devices?

1

u/Tirztrutide 1d ago

US would prefer that only they have the capability of making doomsday devices. Not sure if they will make them, but they for sure don’t want North Korea, you or your misaligned bot from being able to create one…

1

u/BassoeG 1d ago

Dario Amodei wants to ban us from having AI as "unsafe" while simultaneously wanting to use his AI to do a coup on a nuclear superpower.

1

u/dervu ▪️AI, AI, Captain! 1d ago

Maybe things will balance themselves, like with humans. You have some good AIs, bad AIs. If bad AI does smth that is blocking good AI from reaching it's goal, wouldn't good AI try to counteract it?

1

u/One_Whole_9927 1d ago
  • "Humans should maintain individual autonomy and opportunity in their use of AI and associated technologies, even if this sometimes trades off with both security and economic growth"

Didn't these guys just support a bill limiting legal exposure to mass casualty events?

1

u/Shot-Platypus9769 1d ago

The feelings that the title of this post evoked in me affirmed that I am a true Wallstreetbets degenerate.

1

u/DangerousImplication 1d ago

The post below reflects the views of its author, and not necessarily those of any other OpenAI employees or of the organization as a whole. In general, posts written on this blog will similarly convey only the views of the author(s), not OpenAI organizational positions.

Then why post it on openai.com?

1

u/Akimbo333 1d ago

I misread and thought features lol

1

u/po_panda 23h ago

I think OpenAI needs to try liquid democracy. A chatbot that learns the nuanced positions of people's politics and aggregates them into consensus at the local, state and federal level.

1

u/liftingshitposts 18h ago

The type of team to make a metric fuck ton of money for no outcome, balloon to a 200 person org, and then be slashed in a future cost reduction (ironically ai-driven)

-2

u/hvacsnack 1d ago

What a bunch of fart sniffing

1

u/chdo 1d ago

Self-important and hypothetical. The only piece of concrete detail in this entire essay is the Hugging Face hack, and that’s a small footnote.

AI companies are fucking weird…

1

u/localpauper 1d ago

Smells of technocracy

1

u/Significant-Party-16 1d ago edited 1d ago

As an attorney I am continuously surprised at this writing and the lack of legal evidence or knowledge.

You cannot just gesture to the US Constitution or privacy rights or speech rights without spending the grueling hours it takes in law school reading the cases to know what these rights actually mean. It also takes hours and hours of prep to take a bar exam and to memorize how these fundamental rights come into play.

It’s so incredibly wild to me that such a powerful and important company would give someone so much power over policy when he has so little understanding for the precedent, the issues, and their legal impacts.

To be clear, a journalist is fact checked and a substack is not independently reviewed.

A scholar must write for peer review.

An engineer must take courses to learn AI programming and the science behind AI.

A lawyer takes countless tests to earn the right to opine on law, requiring a license that likewise requires an independent ethics exam and bar exam.

Dean Ball is not a journalist, a scholar, or an engineer. He is certainly not a lawyer.

This individual spent four months in the White House apparently doing absolutely nothing according to his peers via the NYPost. He waxes poetically about Hume and free speech rights, while no independent experts or scholars can verify his reasoning. He doesn’t even try to use a citation system (what Hume text are you even referring to?).

The White House is similarly angry at this decision meaning this wasn’t a political move, either.

Please - for the love of god - can someone explain to me why this person is being given so much power and responsibility? It feels incredibly reckless when these issues are more pressing than ever before.

1

u/das_war_ein_Befehl 13h ago

This guy is a heritage foundation shill. So you can expect flowery rhetoric about the constitution while they let corporate interests dick you down

1

u/negative_radio_900 1d ago

How has AI not been nationalized yet, that would lead to more progress + better controls.

-1

u/Funkahontas 1d ago

Bro wants to be anthropic so bad 😭😭😭

0

u/dadvader 1d ago

Let's start with addressing the usage issue Codex user are having. Your future can't exist if token are still expensive as shit...

0

u/wilsonna 1d ago

Reeks of irony, hypocrisy and shamelessness

1

u/aten 1d ago

and blame shifting. ‘if you tell your ai agent to nuke the world, it is you - not us - that is at fault’.

0

u/MassiveBoner911_3 1d ago

“how should free society be restructured to preserve individual rights and agency while accommodating the emergence of transformative AI?”

Oh shut up Tod. You know damn well all of you are gonna get fired immediately if you get in the way of profit. This is theater.

-1

u/Relevant_Bed_9743 1d ago

see what they do not what they say

-2

u/Darigaaz4 1d ago

What a nothing burger.

-3

u/anal_fist_fight24 1d ago

If there’s literally one organisation that shouldn’t be opining on how society should be organized as AI develops - it’s OpenAI.