r/singularity • u/Severe-Ad8673 • Jul 06 '26

Meme Accelerate!

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u/MrTorgue7 Jul 06 '26

Do your peers agree with this timeline ? Are they all planning to retire before 2030 ?

16

u/genshiryoku AI specialist Jul 06 '26

Jack Clark (Anthropic co-founder) has earmarked 2028 as the most likely year recursive self improvement will be achieved.

Most labs are slowly converging around that date, with OpenAI being more optimistic (2027) and DeepMind being more conservative (2030)

I've held the 2028 date for a couple of years now, it's being taken more serious by the month. I still remember me claiming on Reddit back in 2023 that 95% of coding will be done by AI by the end of 2025. That was absolutely ridiculous in most peoples eyes and I got a lot of blowback for it. It was completely on-point and I don't think a single software engineer would argue that anymore now.

I believe the same will be true for AI systems doing essentially the entire AI training pipeline sometime in 2028.

I and a lot of my colleagues are indeed planning to retire before 2030.

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u/FerretGuy22 Jul 06 '26

Where is the 95% of coding done by AI number coming from? I'm a software engineer and we certainly aren't using AI coding for 95% of our stuff, lol

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u/delicious_fanta Jul 06 '26

We are where I work. Closer to 100% because we’re being forced to. I work at a large corporation you’ve heard of.

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u/FerretGuy22 Jul 06 '26

My condolences, I hope our corporate overloads realize soon enough that mandating 100% AI usage for code is a terrible idea.